Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:30

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-01-17

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (7)	A Fine Claret Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	132	—	8236-1	52	62	47	13d	—	—	-10	19.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Ready winner over C&D latest; has more to come for in-form yard off 4lb higher
5 (12)	Grey Operations Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	134	b	0083-2	54	60	47	13d	—	—	-4	10	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Running well in C&D handicaps; needs extra to turn tables on A Fine Claret from latest
9 (9)	Top Biller Bay J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	131	b	0060-1	51	60	47	6d	—	—	0	14.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Made all at Wolverhampton (6f; first-time blinkers) latest; 2lb badly in under penalty
6 (1)	Causin A Commotion Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	133	tp	04719-	53	61	54	29d	—	—	0	10.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Narrow winner of 5f handicap at Wolverhampton in November; down the field over C&D since
11 (10)	The Last Time Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Richard Spencer	J:Rob Hornby T:Richard Spencer	127	—	008-5	47	57	41	13d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Modest improvement for handicap debut (5f); pedigree suggests he could do better at 6f
3 (8)	Lima Sierra Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	135	—	56326-	55	65	46	20d	—	—	0	8.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Unraced here but 2 solid efforts at Newcastle (5f/6f) before up against it there latest
2 (11)	Wondrous Ways Chestnut J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Ollie Pears	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Ollie Pears	135	—	71326-	55	61	-	123d	—	—	+3	11.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Promising in sprint handicaps on turf as 2yo; AW debut; may do better this year
8 (3)	Prada On Parole Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Amy Murphy	J:Hector Crouch T:Amy Murphy	131	—	92637-	51	64	54	78d	—	—	-1	5.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Never involved in October but previously close up in 6f handicaps on turf and Polytrack
4 (5)	Little Bittern Bay J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	134	—	660-	54	57	42	21d	—	—	-3	2.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Shown ability at 7f on Tapeta; likely to do better now handicapping; drop to 6f could suit
1 (6)	Baileys Honeymoon Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Amy Murphy	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Amy Murphy	135	p	47744-	55	60	-	151d	—	—	-1	2.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
No improvement for switch to 6f handicaps in the summer; off since; AW debut
10 (4)	Miss Pocket Rocket Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Fionn McSharry	J:Sean Kirrane T:Fionn McSharry	129	t	604-9	49	59	34	13d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Might have needed the run behind A Fine Claret over C&D latest; now tongue tied
12 (2)	Lily's Symphony Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Alex Hales	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Alex Hales	127	—	87-5	47	52	17	13d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Found little in qualifying events at 6f/5f; can't rule out improvement now handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
A Fine Claret	15/8	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1
Grey Operations	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Top Biller	13/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Causin A Commotion	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
The Last Time	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Lima Sierra	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Wondrous Ways	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	10/1
Prada On Parole	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Little Bittern	22/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Baileys Honeymoon	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Miss Pocket Rocket	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Lily's Symphony	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

A Fine Claret

19.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Top Biller

14.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4

15/2

3rd

Wondrous Ways

11.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Causin A Commotion

10.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Grey Operations

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 4

5/1

Lima Sierra

8.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Prada On Parole

5.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

14/1

The Last Time

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Little Bittern

2.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Baileys Honeymoon

2.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Miss Pocket Rocket

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Lily's Symphony

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lima Sierra	55	65	46
Wondrous Ways	55	61	—
Baileys Honeymoon	55	60	—
Grey Operations	54	60	47
Little Bittern	54	57	42
Causin A Commotion	53	61	54
A Fine Claret	52	62	47
Top Biller	51	60	47
Prada On Parole	51	64	54
Miss Pocket Rocket	49	59	34
The Last Time	47	57	41
Lily's Symphony	47	52	17

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Top Biller	6d ago	Quick return
A Fine Claret	13d ago	Quick return
Grey Operations	13d ago	Quick return
The Last Time	13d ago	Quick return
Miss Pocket Rocket	13d ago	Quick return
Lily's Symphony	13d ago	Quick return
Lima Sierra	20d ago	Fit
Little Bittern	21d ago	Fit
Causin A Commotion	29d ago	Fit
Prada On Parole	78d ago	Fresh
Wondrous Ways	123d ago	Long break
Baileys Honeymoon	151d ago	Long break