Weldon's Supplier Of John Deere Grass Machinery Beginners Chase

Cork

14:50

Date 2025-01-17

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Yielding To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €7,375

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Mighty Oak Lad Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Karl Thornton	J:Donagh Meyler T:Karl Thornton	166	—	1P3-83	100	100	75	33d	—	—	-8	21.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Two placed efforts in handicap chases at Navan suggest he could go close in this company
5	Glady Max Brown J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:James Joseph Mangan	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:James Joseph Mangan	166	—	1F124-	-	103	39	270d	—	—	-4	15.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Two point-to-point wins last season, jumps well and could feature in this modest grade
6	Jay Pee M Bay J:John Shinnick(5) T:Terence O'Brien	J:John Shinnick(5) T:Terence O'Brien	166	—	235-6F	-	-	-	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	-13	5.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Fell at the last in a maiden point with the race at his mercy, interesting in this company
7	John The Diva Bay J:Niall Moore(7) T:M A Cahill	J:Niall Moore(7) T:M A Cahill	166	—	8418-3	-	104	93	52d	—	—	-9	8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Encouraging third at Tramore on seasonal debut, strong contender with fitness advanced
11	The Miracle Man Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:A L T Moore	J:Ricky Doyle T:A L T Moore	166	p	4/0P17	-	91	79	52d	—	—	-6	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has a bit to find with John The Diva on running at Tramore; cheekpieces on now
10	On Your Way Brown J:Sean O'Keeffe T:C Byrnes	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:C Byrnes	166	—	93F796	-	-	-	21d	—	—	-4	1.8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Twice placed in maiden hurdles, recent handicap form raises doubts, unwise to discount
9	Natural Breeze Chestnut J:Tiernan Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Tiernan Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	166	b	1-5520	95	101	60	52d	—	—	+15	19.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Best form at Tramore but held by John The Diva on his most recent run at that venue
13	Cloudy Fountain Bay J:Cian Quirke(5) T:W J Burke	J:Cian Quirke(5) T:W J Burke	159	h	1-2709	-	-	-	56d	0W/1P 1 run	—	+4	8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won a point, fell on only hunter chase start, moderate form last four starts
4	Danny The Fence Bay J:Ben Harvey T:Karl Thornton	J:Ben Harvey T:Karl Thornton	166	—	357-00	93	93	22	33d	—	—	+9	11.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Possibly flattered by his current 93 rating, stablemate Mighy Oak Lad looks superior
15	Whotookthebiscuit Brown J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	159	t	61P-F0	-	-	-	35d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Fell on chase debut, hard to fancy after a poor hurdle run at this venue last time
1	Callmedusty Bay J:Carl Millar(5) T:Cian Collins	J:Carl Millar(5) T:Cian Collins	166	tp	9-7407	-	-	-	16d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
An 87-rated hurdler, only once in the first four, faces a daunting task on chase debut.
12	Notimelikedpresent b/br J:Simon Torrens T:Robert Tyner	J:Simon Torrens T:Robert Tyner	160	—	P-000	-	-	-	40d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Dam won three bumpers and two hurdle races for this yard, no sign of ability over hurdles
2	Chasing Chances Bay J:Harry Sexton(7) T:E Sheehy	J:Harry Sexton(7) T:E Sheehy	166	—	55-00U	-	-	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Weak form in three races over hurdles since October, unlikely to feature
14	Fire Force Bay J:E Walsh T:Ciaran Murphy	J:E Walsh T:Ciaran Murphy	159	tb	-6053P	-	-	-	16d	—	—	0	0.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Placed in points, ordinary form over hurdles, pulled up in a Tramore handicap last time
3	Da Big Fella Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Eamon Courtney	J:Phillip Enright T:Eamon Courtney	166	p	7-356P	74	84	51	19d	—	—	+5	6.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Has occasionally run well off a low handicap mark, very difficult task on these terms

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mighty Oak Lad	2/1	15/8	2/1	2/1	2/1
Glady Max	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1
Jay Pee M	7/2	4/1	7/2	4/1	10/3
John The Diva	5/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
The Miracle Man	12/1	10/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
On Your Way	16/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Natural Breeze	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Cloudy Fountain	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Danny The Fence	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
Whotookthebiscuit	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Callmedusty	40/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Notimelikedpresent	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Chasing Chances	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1
Fire Force	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1
Da Big Fella	100/1	100/1	100/1	125/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mighty Oak Lad

21.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Natural Breeze

19.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

22/1

3rd

Glady Max

15.8

OR: 0 Form: 10.1 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Danny The Fence

11.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

John The Diva

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5

5/1

Cloudy Fountain

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1

25/1

Da Big Fella

6.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Jay Pee M

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

4/1

The Miracle Man

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

On Your Way

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 0.2 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Fire Force

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Whotookthebiscuit

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Callmedusty

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Notimelikedpresent

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Chasing Chances

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mighty Oak Lad	100	100	75
Natural Breeze	95	101	60
Danny The Fence	93	93	22
Da Big Fella	74	84	51
Glady Max	—	103	39
Jay Pee M	—	—	—
John The Diva	—	104	93
The Miracle Man	—	91	79
On Your Way	—	—	—
Cloudy Fountain	—	—	—
Whotookthebiscuit	—	—	—
Callmedusty	—	—	—
Notimelikedpresent	—	—	—
Chasing Chances	—	—	—
Fire Force	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Callmedusty	16d ago	Fit
Chasing Chances	16d ago	Fit
Fire Force	16d ago	Fit
Da Big Fella	19d ago	Fit
On Your Way	21d ago	Fit
Mighty Oak Lad	33d ago	Fit
Danny The Fence	33d ago	Fit
Whotookthebiscuit	35d ago	Fit
Notimelikedpresent	40d ago	Fit
John The Diva	52d ago	Fresh
The Miracle Man	52d ago	Fresh
Natural Breeze	52d ago	Fresh
Cloudy Fountain	56d ago	Fresh
Glady Max	270d ago	Long break
Jay Pee M	—	—