William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

17:15

William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap

Date 2025-01-17

Distance 2m

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Winning Time 3m 36.42s (slow by 12.62s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Elle Dorado Rock (IRE) Robbie Colgan · A J Martin	8/1	Won
2nd	Scott Lang (IRE) Nicola Burns · Paul W Flynn	4/1	0.3
3rd	Nusra (IRE) Hugh Horgan · G Ahern	10/1	1.5
4th	Mephisto (IRE) Jack Kearney · Gerard Keane	13/2	2
5th	Warrior Lion (GB) Donagh O'Connor · Anthony McCann	12/1	.5
6th	Bright Start (USA) Amy Jo Hayes · S M Duffy	11/1	.5
7th	Jet Times (IRE) Danny Power · Oliver J Power	7/1	1
8th	Wishes And Dreams (IRE) Darragh O'Sullivan · Ciaran Murphy	20/1	0.2
9th	Portarlington (IRE) James Ryan · Ian Patrick Donoghue	3/1F	.5
10th	Movie King (IRE) Declan McDonogh · A J Martin	10/1	1
11th	Gregorina (IRE) Jamie Powell · Adrian McGuinness	50/1	1.5
12th	Quiet Desire (IRE) Ruby Kinkaid · John C McConnell	200/1	3.75
13th	Chartwell's Lady (GB) Sadhbh Tormey · Dermot A McLoughlin	125/1	8

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (9)	Portarlington Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:James Ryan(3) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	128	tp	00/50/	49	64	-	—	—	—	-18	8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Hat-trick over jumps; in the light of that he makes plenty of appeal here off a mark of 49
2 (7)	Scott Lang Grey J:Nicola Burns(7) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Nicola Burns(7) T:Paul W Flynn	141	p	40042-	62	65	10	—	—	—	-3	12.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Good second over 1m4f here in November; should see out the trip and looks a key player
3 (13)	Mephisto Grey J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Gerard Keane	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Gerard Keane	138	v	36682-	59	65	48	28d	—	—	-1	11.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Second in a C&D handicap last month; stable among the winners and unlikely to be far away
8 (6)	Jet Times Chestnut J:Danny Power(10) T:Oliver J Power	J:Danny Power(10) T:Oliver J Power	130	—	88953-	51	67	27	51d	—	—	-5	6.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Unexposed mare ran a solid race over C&D when a staying third in a handicap in November
4 (4)	Nusra Bay J:Hugh Horgan(5) T:G Ahern	J:Hugh Horgan(5) T:G Ahern	138	p	12794-	59	64	35	28d	—	—	-1	8.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
C&D winner; back to form when a close fourth in a 1m4f handicap here last month; contender
10 (10)	Movie King Chestnut J:Declan McDonogh T:A J Martin	J:Declan McDonogh T:A J Martin	129	t	/0077-	50	65	43	28d	—	—	-7	2.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Disappointing effort over C&D last month and the blinkers have been dispensed with
7 (3)	Elle Dorado Rock Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:A J Martin	J:Robbie Colgan T:A J Martin	130	t	60/25/	51	65	-	—	—	—	-5	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fancied when well beaten on his return in a Punchestown handicap hurdle; not discounted
9 (8)	Bright Start Bay J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:S M Duffy	J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:S M Duffy	129	p	00043-	50	66	47	28d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Staying third over C&D last month (Mephisto second); down another 2lb; each-way chance
12 (1)	Wishes And Dreams Chestnut J:Darragh O'Sullivan(7) T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Darragh O'Sullivan(7) T:Ciaran Murphy	128	tp	04977-	49	65	45	28d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Not beaten that far over 1m4f here last month; not certain to get the trip
1 (2)	Warrior Lion Chestnut J:Donagh O'Connor T:Anthony McCann	J:Donagh O'Connor T:Anthony McCann	142	tp	7797-5	63	6	55	13d	—	—	+1	4.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Stepped up to 1m6f to little effect at Wolverhampton two weeks ago; others appeal far more
6 (12)	Gregorina Grey J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	132	v	21600-	57	63	30	28d	—	—	+4	6.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Cut no ice over this trip here last month and readily passed over
5 (5)	Chartwell's Lady Bay J:Sadhbh Tormey(10) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Sadhbh Tormey(10) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	135	—	42454-	60	66	39	—	—	—	+3	4.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Not much to recommend over hurdles in four runs here; makes little appeal at present
13 (11)	Quiet Desire Chestnut J:Ruby Kinkaid(10) T:John C McConnell	J:Ruby Kinkaid(10) T:John C McConnell	126	p	/00/0-	47	64	35	28d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Last in first two starts for this yard and well beaten last month after a year off

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Portarlington	2/1	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Scott Lang	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Mephisto	13/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Jet Times	8/1	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Nusra	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	17/2
Movie King	12/1	12/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Elle Dorado Rock	11/1	12/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Bright Start	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Wishes And Dreams	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Warrior Lion	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Gregorina	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
Chartwell's Lady	150/1	125/1	80/1	100/1	66/1
Quiet Desire	150/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Scott Lang

12.4

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Mephisto

11.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Nusra

8.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Portarlington

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Gregorina

6.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 4 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Jet Times

6.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Bright Start

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Chartwell's Lady

4.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Warrior Lion

4.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Movie King

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

12/1

Elle Dorado Rock

2.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Wishes And Dreams

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Quiet Desire

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Warrior Lion	63	6	55
Scott Lang	62	65	10
Chartwell's Lady	60	66	39
Mephisto	59	65	48
Nusra	59	64	35
Gregorina	57	63	30
Jet Times	51	67	27
Elle Dorado Rock	51	65	—
Movie King	50	65	43
Bright Start	50	66	47
Portarlington	49	64	—
Wishes And Dreams	49	65	45
Quiet Desire	47	64	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Warrior Lion	13d ago	Quick return
Mephisto	28d ago	Fit
Nusra	28d ago	Fit
Movie King	28d ago	Fit
Bright Start	28d ago	Fit
Wishes And Dreams	28d ago	Fit
Gregorina	28d ago	Fit
Quiet Desire	28d ago	Fit
Jet Times	51d ago	Fresh
Portarlington	—	—
Scott Lang	—	—
Elle Dorado Rock	—	—
Chartwell's Lady	—	—