Sky Bet Acca Freeze Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Fakenham

13:05

Date 2025-01-19

Distance 2m3y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,433

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Kalif d'Airy Bay J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	167	t	33-772	99	108	94	24d	—	—	-26	32.3	0.13/1	8/15 65%
Second to a subsequent winner at Fontwell last time; drops back in trip but still a player
1	Realistic Optimism Brown J:Will Featherstone(8) T:Jamie Snowden	J:Will Featherstone(8) T:Jamie Snowden	168	ht	52/534	100	107	45	35d	—	—	+2	16.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
May have a better chance now making his handicap debut at a modest level
4	Runaway Train Bay J:Ben Bromley T:James Owen	J:Ben Bromley T:James Owen	159	—	65F624	91	101	64	24d	—	—	+5	16.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Runner-up on handicap debut, but longer trip and soft ground found him out last time
6	Character Testing Bay J:Tristan Durrell T:T Ellis	J:Tristan Durrell T:T Ellis	152	h	332F2	97	107	77	38d	—	—	+14	22.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Placed in all four completed starts over hurdles; respected on handicap debut
2	Mavis Pike Bay J:James Turner(3) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:James Turner(3) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	168	—	3-5136	100	101	56	35d	—	—	+9	16.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Regressed in two starts since winning over C&D but the return here may help
5	Order Of Progress Bay J:Cameron Iles(3) T:Louise Allan	J:Cameron Iles(3) T:Louise Allan	155	—	P-3397	87	90	60	34d	—	—	+8	9.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
This looks easier on handicap debut but she does still need to find plenty of improvement
7	Eklil Bay J:Philip Armson T:Andy Irvine	J:Philip Armson T:Andy Irvine	150	—	P-388	82	89	53	34d	—	—	+7	8.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has been out of form for some time including in three starts since returned to hurdling

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kalif d'Airy	8/15	1/2	8/15	8/15	8/15
Realistic Optimism	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Runaway Train	8/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Character Testing	8/1	10/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Mavis Pike	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Order Of Progress	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Eklil	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kalif d'Airy

32.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

8/15

2nd

Character Testing

22.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 8 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

Realistic Optimism

16.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Mavis Pike

16.8

OR: 12.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Runaway Train

16.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Order Of Progress

9.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Eklil

8.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Realistic Optimism	100	107	45
Mavis Pike	100	101	56
Kalif d'Airy	99	108	94
Character Testing	97	107	77
Runaway Train	91	101	64
Order Of Progress	87	90	60
Eklil	82	89	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kalif d'Airy	24d ago	Fit
Runaway Train	24d ago	Fit
Order Of Progress	34d ago	Fit
Eklil	34d ago	Fit
Realistic Optimism	35d ago	Fit
Mavis Pike	35d ago	Fit
Character Testing	38d ago	Fit