Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Thurles

12:20

Date 2025-01-19

Distance 2m3f172y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Romany Brown Bay J:Jack Doyle T:P M J Doyle	J:Jack Doyle T:P M J Doyle	168	t	P-323	-	116	10	34d	—	—	-28	13.3	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Placed in Fairyhouse bumper before narrow defeat at Clonmel; bumper 3rd since; respected
3	Scalpnagoon Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	162	—	72	-	107	101	24d	—	—	-16	14.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Left debut behind when 2nd at Down Royal behind a nice prospect
5	Happy Me Bay J:Ben Harvey T:W J Burke	J:Ben Harvey T:W J Burke	160	—	06-734	103	113	86	21d	—	—	0	18.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improved this season; 10l fourth at Limerick over Christmas but unproven on quicker ground
2	Big Dispute Brown J:Phillip Enright T:Con McSweeney	J:Phillip Enright T:Con McSweeney	164	—	15-080	-	82	55	22d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won a Killarney bumper in May 2023 but has gone backwards in four runs since
8	Written In My Soul Bay J:Harry Sexton(7) T:E D Delany	J:Harry Sexton(7) T:E D Delany	153	—	25	-	78	68	24d	—	—	+2	4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Runner-up in a point but was tailed off on rules bow last month
7	Only You Norah Bay J:Niall Moore(7) T:Donal Commins	J:Niall Moore(7) T:Donal Commins	155	h	678C86	89	92	55	18d	—	—	+9	10.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Shown very little in seven starts so far; now tried with a hood
6	Initiateur Grey J:Kevin A Murphy(7) T:L J Archdeacon	J:Kevin A Murphy(7) T:L J Archdeacon	160	—	74/0-1	-	-	-	—	—	—	+9	10.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Didn't show much in a bumper in 2023 but bolted up on return in point company
NR	Attaboyarchie Bay J:Miss E J Sweeney(7) T:Karl Thornton	J:Miss E J Sweeney(7) T:Karl Thornton	160	—	4U-853	111	117	62	8d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Hasn't matched bumper form of late; step in right direction latest but drops in trip now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Romany Brown	6/5	6/5	6/5	11/10	6/5
Scalpnagoon	7/4	15/8	7/4	7/4	15/8
Happy Me	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Big Dispute	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Written In My Soul	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Only You Norah	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Initiateur	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Attaboyarchie	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Happy Me

18.7

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

2nd

Attaboyarchie

15.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Scalpnagoon

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

Romany Brown

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

6/5

Initiateur

10.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Only You Norah

10.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Written In My Soul

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Big Dispute

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Attaboyarchie	111	117	62
Happy Me	103	113	86
Only You Norah	89	92	55
Romany Brown	—	116	10
Scalpnagoon	—	107	101
Big Dispute	—	82	55
Written In My Soul	—	78	68
Initiateur	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Attaboyarchie	8d ago	Quick return
Only You Norah	18d ago	Fit
Happy Me	21d ago	Fit
Big Dispute	22d ago	Fit
Scalpnagoon	24d ago	Fit
Written In My Soul	24d ago	Fit
Romany Brown	34d ago	Fit
Initiateur	—	—