Newcastle (AW)

19:15

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-01-21
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £5,234

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
3 (3)
Brazilian Rose
Bay
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:Rebecca Menzies
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:Rebecca Menzies
135 08-111
73
91
71
4d -19
17.2
0.34/1
11/8
42%
Up a furlong bidding for a four-timer; only 1lb higher and a major player if seeing it out
11 (8)
Ahamoment
Bay
J:Billy Loughnane
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Billy Loughnane
T:David & Nicola Barron
124 1044-2
62
86
73
13d -3
12.4
1.38/1
11/2
15%
3lb lower than when winning a division of this race last year and worth a second look
1 (11)
Quandary
Chestnut
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Edward Bethell
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Edward Bethell
135 p 23600-
73
88
61
179d -2
11.7
1.38/1
11/2
15%
0-10 in handicaps and enough to prove back from six months off
9 (7)
Tasever
Bay
J:Warren Fentiman(7)
T:Patrick Morris
J:Warren Fentiman(7)
T:Patrick Morris
128 p 773-14
66
87
75
7d -6
8
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Has won three times here since November; may not face much competition for the lead
8 (4)
Streak Lightning
Chestnut
J:Joanna Mason
T:Ruth Carr
J:Joanna Mason
T:Ruth Carr
130 p 833-22
68
87
67
10d -3
7.4
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Four-time course winner, capable of a big run if getting a solid pace to aim at
10 (9)
Bobby Joe Leg
Chestnut
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
128 b 747-63
66
86
63
10d -1
5.9
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Behind stablemate Streak Lightning in his last three starts, but capable of a big effort
7 (5)
Alreet Cha
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Craig Lidster
J:Shane Gray
T:Craig Lidster
132 p 1762-8
70
85
66
13d +1
6.6
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Mixed bag in five starts since returning here in the autumn; not sure what to expect
6 (6)
Super Hit
Bay
J:Jason Watson
T:Darryll Holland
J:Jason Watson
T:Darryll Holland
133 ht 5871-6
71
85
65
8d +2
6.3
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Two wins at Chelmsford for Marco Botti; possible to forgive his stable debut at Lingfield
5 (10)
Petra Celera
Bay
J:Clifford Lee
T:Roger Fell
J:Clifford Lee
T:Roger Fell
134 4245-0
72
84
73
13d +4
6
12.50/1
50/1
2%
Plenty to prove after finishing tailed off over C&D 13 days ago
2 (2)
Dream Show
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Antony Brittain
J:Cam Hardie
T:Antony Brittain
135 t /008R-
73
80
25
60d +5
6.1
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Lightly raced and has shown little for this yard; refused to race last time; tongue-tie on
NR (1)
Parthenopaeus
Bay
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
134 2366-
72
82
50
98d
8.5
Promise in two starts here early last year but not so good in two outings in the autumn
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Brazilian Rose
5/4 11/8 11/8 11/8 5/4
Ahamoment
11/2 5/1 5/1 5/1 11/2
Quandary
11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 5/1
Tasever
13/2 6/1 13/2 13/2 15/2
Streak Lightning
8/1 8/1 8/1 17/2 17/2
Bobby Joe Leg
16/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Alreet Cha
14/1 16/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Super Hit
25/1 28/1 25/1 28/1 18/1
Petra Celera
50/1 50/1 40/1 40/1 40/1
Dream Show
66/1 66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1
Parthenopaeus
- - - - -

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Brazilian Rose
17.2
OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4
11/8
2nd Ahamoment
12.4
OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4
11/2
3rd Quandary
11.7
OR: 5.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 4
11/2
4 Parthenopaeus
8.5
OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0
5 Tasever
8
OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4
15/2
6 Streak Lightning
7.4
OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
17/2
7 Alreet Cha
6.6
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
16/1
8 Super Hit
6.3
OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
28/1
9 Dream Show
6.1
OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
66/1
10 Petra Celera
6
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
50/1
11 Bobby Joe Leg
5.9
OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9
16/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Brazilian Rose
73
91
71
Quandary
73
88
61
Dream Show
73
80
25
Petra Celera
72
84
73
Parthenopaeus
72
82
50
Super Hit
71
85
65
Alreet Cha
70
85
66
Streak Lightning
68
87
67
Tasever
66
87
75
Bobby Joe Leg
66
86
63
Ahamoment
62
86
73

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Brazilian Rose 4d ago Quick return
Tasever 7d ago Quick return
Super Hit 8d ago Quick return
Streak Lightning 10d ago Quick return
Bobby Joe Leg 10d ago Quick return
Ahamoment 13d ago Quick return
Alreet Cha 13d ago Quick return
Petra Celera 13d ago Quick return
Dream Show 60d ago Fresh
Parthenopaeus 98d ago Long break
Quandary 179d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.