BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:45

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2025-01-21

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 42.72s (slow by 5.72s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hartswood (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	9/1	Won
2nd	L'Ennemi (FR) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	28/1	1
3rd	Volenti (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam	5/1	0.2
4th	Time Tested (GB) Hector Crouch · Michael Bell	5/2F	0.3
5th	Cusack (GB) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	17/2	.75
6th	Wyvern (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Patrick Morris	12/1	0.3
7th	Parish Councillor (IRE) Billy Loughnane · David & Nicola Barron	12/1	0.3
8th	Miners Gamble (IRE) Harry Russell · Brian Ellison	5/1	0.2
9th	Electric Avenue (GB) Clifford Lee · Ivan Furtado	14/1	.75
10th	Yorkstone (GB) Lewis Chalkley · Michael & David Easterby	22/1	2
11th	Mariner (IRE) George Wood · Jennie Candlish	33/1	1
12th	Breakwater (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	11/1	.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Time Tested Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	138	—	1212-1	69	79	59	8d	—	—	-4	22.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Form since handicapping reads 12121; has a 5lb penalty to carry but remains unexposed
8 (8)	Miners Gamble Bay J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	132	p	7413-3	63	80	52	7d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-5	11	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Beaten less than a length by Cusack on return over C&D a week ago and is 4lb better off
2 (2)	Cusack Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	137	p	8943-1	68	81	51	7d	—	—	+6	17.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Seven wins here; 4lb penalty for latest makes things harder but he has to be considered
12 (10)	Volenti Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	130	—	2116-6	61	81	67	10d	—	—	-5	5.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won three times over C&D late last year and may have excuses the last twice
6 (5)	Hartswood Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	134	—	1079-6	65	81	61	20d	—	—	-2	6.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner as a 4yo; only one piece of worthwhile form since last summer
3 (9)	Breakwater Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	134	p	4/955-	65	74	54	22d	—	—	-2	6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has shown ability in all three AW starts; still open to further progress; cheekpieces on
11 (3)	Parish Councillor Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Billy Loughnane T:David & Nicola Barron	130	p	9885-5	61	77	39	13d	—	—	-2	4.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
C&D winner as a 3yo but out of the frame in all nine starts since; cheekpieces go on
9 (12)	Wyvern Brown J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Patrick Morris	131	p	1462-7	62	77	59	13d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won narrowly over C&D in November but needs to bounce back from a lesser effort last time
4 (1)	Electric Avenue Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Ivan Furtado	J:Clifford Lee T:Ivan Furtado	134	t	35291-	65	77	56	31d	—	—	+13	18.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
4lb higher than when making a successful stable debut over C&D last month; shortlisted
10 (4)	Yorkstone Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	131	t	78600-	62	79	67	24d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/2P 2 runs	-1	4.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won three times in 2023 but has regressed since; tongue-tie goes on
5 (11)	L'Ennemi Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	134	p	75788-	65	74	45	25d	—	—	+2	4.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Yet to fire in handicaps since joining this yard, despite a sliding mark; cheekpieces now
7 (6)	Mariner Bay J:George Wood T:Jennie Candlish	J:George Wood T:Jennie Candlish	133	p	22577-	64	72	-	—	—	—	+4	6.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
0-14 under rules; first-time cheekpieces need to have a positive effect

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Time Tested	2/1	9/4	9/4	9/4	85/40
Miners Gamble	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Cusack	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Volenti	17/2	17/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Hartswood	12/1	11/1	11/1	9/1	12/1
Breakwater	9/1	10/1	9/1	11/1	9/1
Parish Councillor	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Wyvern	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Electric Avenue	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Yorkstone	25/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
L'Ennemi	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Mariner	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Time Tested

22.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Electric Avenue

18.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 13.1 Odds: 1.4

16/1

3rd

Cusack

17.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Miners Gamble

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Mariner

6.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Hartswood

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Breakwater

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Volenti

5.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Wyvern

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Parish Councillor

4.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

L'Ennemi

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Yorkstone

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Time Tested	69	79	59
Cusack	68	81	51
Hartswood	65	81	61
Breakwater	65	74	54
Electric Avenue	65	77	56
L'Ennemi	65	74	45
Mariner	64	72	—
Miners Gamble	63	80	52
Wyvern	62	77	59
Yorkstone	62	79	67
Volenti	61	81	67
Parish Councillor	61	77	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miners Gamble	7d ago	Quick return
Cusack	7d ago	Quick return
Time Tested	8d ago	Quick return
Volenti	10d ago	Quick return
Parish Councillor	13d ago	Quick return
Wyvern	13d ago	Quick return
Hartswood	20d ago	Fit
Breakwater	22d ago	Fit
Yorkstone	24d ago	Fit
L'Ennemi	25d ago	Fit
Electric Avenue	31d ago	Fit
Mariner	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.