Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div I) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:50

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div I)

Date 2025-01-24

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (1)	Neptune Legend Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	135	tb	74073-	47	59	49	64d	—	—	-21	14.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Conditions to suit and he ran well when last seen nine weeks ago; key player
10 (8)	So Chic Bay J:Gina Mangan T:Stephanie Cassidy	J:Gina Mangan T:Stephanie Cassidy	135	—	68968-	47	59	25	42d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D win last winter; low-key return to action six weeks ago; better than that
2 (7)	Fact Or Fable Grey J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:J S Moore	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:J S Moore	135	p	5084-9	49	61	54	20d	—	—	-10	4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Not at his best last time but earlier Wolverhampton fourth reads well; each-way claims
6 (9)	Mount Mogan Bay J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	135	p	7406-8	47	57	53	21d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Conditions to suit but well beaten on his last three starts; others look safer
4 (5)	Irrelevant Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:Mark Pattinson	J:Clifford Lee T:Mark Pattinson	135	ht	43750-	46	56	37	85d	—	—	-6	3.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Placed over C&D on stable debut last summer; a repeat of that would see him involved
8 (6)	Reel Power Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	135	v	4/030-	49	59	25	36d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three runs for new yard, running well at Kempton either side of two heavy defeats; risky
3 (3)	Haveagobeau Bay J:Jack Dace(7) T:Jim Boyle	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Jim Boyle	135	—	94706-	44	51	48	33d	1W/1P 1 run	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Ran one of his better races here last month but he's now been unplaced in all 20 starts
9 (2)	Run Joy Run Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	135	—	46660-	45	54	39	105d	—	—	-3	1.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Chance on last winter's best but ended 2024 quietly; makes stable debut with no headgear
5 (4)	Jazz State Bay J:Sean Levey T:Robert Cowell	J:Sean Levey T:Robert Cowell	135	p	5/9-97	42	51	23	15d	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor form over sprint trips; low mileage but the new, longer trip isn't enough to tempt
1 (10)	Close Of Play Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	135	t	0888-8	43	51	30	9d	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Poor form last year and again over 5f last week; new trip not enough to tempt

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Neptune Legend	6/4	13/8	6/4	6/4	11/8
So Chic	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Fact Or Fable	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Mount Mogan	10/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Irrelevant	8/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Reel Power	14/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Haveagobeau	16/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Run Joy Run	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Jazz State	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Close Of Play	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Neptune Legend

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

So Chic

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Fact Or Fable

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Irrelevant

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Mount Mogan

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Reel Power

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Haveagobeau

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Run Joy Run

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Jazz State

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Close Of Play

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fact Or Fable	49	61	54
Reel Power	49	59	25
Neptune Legend	47	59	49
So Chic	47	59	25
Mount Mogan	47	57	53
Irrelevant	46	56	37
Run Joy Run	45	54	39
Haveagobeau	44	51	48
Close Of Play	43	51	30
Jazz State	42	51	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Close Of Play	9d ago	Quick return
Jazz State	15d ago	Fit
Fact Or Fable	20d ago	Fit
Mount Mogan	21d ago	Fit
Haveagobeau	33d ago	Fit
Reel Power	36d ago	Fit
So Chic	42d ago	Fit
Neptune Legend	64d ago	Fresh
Irrelevant	85d ago	Fresh
Run Joy Run	105d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.