Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:28

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-01-31

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Buzz Box Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Bryan Smart	J:Billy Loughnane T:Bryan Smart	132	—	45325-	72	88	75	34d	—	—	-8	18.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Good second here in December and repeatedly met trouble next time; might be the answer
1 (4)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Tristan Davidson	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Tristan Davidson	135	t	843-64	75	86	73	6d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-8	12.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Mostly in good form of late and better than bare result last time; unlikely to be far away
2 (2)	Strong Johnson Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	133	—	8544-2	73	90	78	23d	—	—	0	15.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Found only the revitalised Mondammej too strong over C&D; fair chance off unchanged mark
6 (10)	Darlo Pride Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	129	tb	113-46	69	87	80	17d	—	—	-4	8.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Reliable sort who had an excuse when a beaten favourite last time; has to be considered
3 (6)	Winter Crown Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	133	p	2660-8	73	86	54	6d	—	—	-1	8.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-8 since 3yo win and no threat here on reappearance; others have less to prove
10 (7)	Ramon Di Loria Chestnut J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Ewan Whillans	118	h	2346-5	58	87	33	21d	—	—	-3	3.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Encouraging reappearance when fifth over C&D; has dropped below his last winning mark
5 (8)	Cast No Shadow Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Hugo Palmer	J:Cieren Fallon T:Hugo Palmer	131	b	1800-3	71	86	78	17d	—	—	+4	9.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Signs of return to form when third over C&D 17 days ago; not ruled out
7 (1)	Wrestling Revenue Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	128	—	3222-7	68	88	41	29d	—	—	+2	5.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Didn't show much on stable debut four weeks ago and his AW record is modest
9 (9)	Sugar Baby Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	119	—	8786/8	59	76	28	21d	—	—	0	3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Should come on for C&D reappearance run (80-1) but might need today's as well
NR (3)	Show Me Show Me Bay J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	122	v	4-1425	62	85	69	1d	—	—	—	3	—	—
C&D winner this month; just failed at Southwell two weeks ago; no impression yesterday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Buzz Box	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Our Absent Friends	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Strong Johnson	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Darlo Pride	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Winter Crown	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Ramon Di Loria	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Cast No Shadow	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Wrestling Revenue	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Sugar Baby	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Show Me Show Me	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Buzz Box

18.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Strong Johnson

15.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Our Absent Friends

12.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Cast No Shadow

9.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Darlo Pride

8.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Winter Crown

8.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Wrestling Revenue

5.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ramon Di Loria

3.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Sugar Baby

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Show Me Show Me

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Our Absent Friends	75	86	73
Strong Johnson	73	90	78
Winter Crown	73	86	54
Buzz Box	72	88	75
Cast No Shadow	71	86	78
Darlo Pride	69	87	80
Wrestling Revenue	68	88	41
Show Me Show Me	62	85	69
Sugar Baby	59	76	28
Ramon Di Loria	58	87	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Show Me Show Me	1d ago	Quick return
Our Absent Friends	6d ago	Quick return
Winter Crown	6d ago	Quick return
Darlo Pride	17d ago	Fit
Cast No Shadow	17d ago	Fit
Ramon Di Loria	21d ago	Fit
Sugar Baby	21d ago	Fit
Strong Johnson	23d ago	Fit
Wrestling Revenue	29d ago	Fit
Buzz Box	34d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.