Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:58

Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2025-01-31

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (4)	Our Dagger Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Daragh Bourke	J:Oisin Orr T:Daragh Bourke	130	—	/0610-	52	71	-	101d	—	—	-8	14.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Landed gamble at Ffos Las last summer; two trainer changes since; may still be unexposed
4 (8)	Pallas Lord Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Donald Whillans	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Donald Whillans	134	t	558-74	56	67	52	23d	—	—	-13	7.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Now well handicapped again, shaped nicely last time and most recent win came over C&D
1 (3)	Al Baahy Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Kevin Frost	J:Billy Loughnane T:Kevin Frost	135	h	8242-7	57	68	56	11d	—	—	-9	6.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
1-35 but was a good second after Christmas and had an excuse last time; high on the list
8 (7)	Yaahobby Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	127	ht	573-52	49	72	52	21d	—	—	-8	3.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won two C&D handicaps last autumn and has remained in form; should be thereabouts
3 (6)	Lumenbourg Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	134	v	81327-	56	68	58	113d	—	—	+3	12	3.00/1	12/1 8%
7f specialist; winner at Doncaster in 2024; has had four months off since below-par run
5 (1)	Odd Socks Havana Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	133	tp	28768-	55	68	52	59d	—	—	-4	4.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
No impact recently but return of headgear is a positive; interesting from a reduced mark
2 (5)	Drakeholes Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	135	—	4137-0	57	70	51	23d	—	—	-4	4.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two C&D wins last autumn but last two runs have been below par (especially poor on latest)
6 (2)	Bitacora Brown J:David Nolan T:Daragh Bourke	J:David Nolan T:Daragh Bourke	132	h	4/658/	54	-	-	—	—	—	-4	2.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Lightly raced and hard to weigh up but needs watching in market for new yard after absence
9 (9)	Top Gun Tina Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:David Thompson	J:Andrew Mullen T:David Thompson	125	p	660-49	47	66	40	8d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	-3	1.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
12-race maiden; well held over 1m here last week; unconvincing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Our Dagger	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Pallas Lord	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Al Baahy	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Yaahobby	9/1	8/1	9/1	7/1	9/1
Lumenbourg	12/1	10/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Odd Socks Havana	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	12/1
Drakeholes	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Bitacora	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	10/1
Top Gun Tina	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Our Dagger

14.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 7 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Lumenbourg

OR: 1.5 Form: 8 Odds: 2.5

12/1

3rd

Pallas Lord

7.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Al Baahy

6.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Odd Socks Havana

4.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Drakeholes

4.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Yaahobby

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Bitacora

2.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Top Gun Tina

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Al Baahy	57	68	56
Drakeholes	57	70	51
Pallas Lord	56	67	52
Lumenbourg	56	68	58
Odd Socks Havana	55	68	52
Bitacora	54	—	—
Our Dagger	52	71	—
Yaahobby	49	72	52
Top Gun Tina	47	66	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Top Gun Tina	8d ago	Quick return
Al Baahy	11d ago	Quick return
Yaahobby	21d ago	Fit
Pallas Lord	23d ago	Fit
Drakeholes	23d ago	Fit
Odd Socks Havana	59d ago	Fresh
Our Dagger	101d ago	Long break
Lumenbourg	113d ago	Long break
Bitacora	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.