Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:00

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-01-31

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10 (5)	Joolianoss Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:James Evans	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:James Evans	130	—	753-11	73	89	63	10d	—	—	-16	15.8	15/8 35%
Form figures of 311 since handicapping; badly treated under a penalty but he's progressive
4 (4)	Master Of Combat Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	134	—	1842-2	77	92	74	22d	—	—	0	16.8	9/2 18%
Creditable second at Lingfield last time; has a consistent record at Southwell; solid
1 (9)	Not Me Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	136	—	45/2-	79	88	-	303d	—	—	-2	18	9/2 18%
Solid effort in Kempton maiden when last seen; open to progress in handicaps; interesting
5 (6)	Commander Of Life Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Jessica Macey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Jessica Macey	133	p	453-91	76	91	73	13d	—	—	-3	10.1	13/2 13%
Took well to cheekpieces at Wolverhampton two weeks ago; respected in retained headgear
7 (8)	Dawn Of Liberation Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	131	p	55556-	74	94	52	144d	—	—	0	8.4	10/1 9%
Stagnated towards the end of last term but market support should be heeded on reappearance
9 (2)	Youarenotforgiven Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	130	p	64455-	73	91	67	35d	—	—	+1	7.5	16/1 6%
Yet to win on AW; chance of improvement depends on whether the cards drop right
2 (10)	The Cookstown Cafu Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	135	v	10286-	78	92	63	41d	—	—	+8	12.7	25/1 4%
Below par last twice; chance of rebound depends on how well he responds to new headgear
3 (7)	Warren Hill Bay J:Zacharia Clarke(7) T:Roger Varian	J:Zacharia Clarke(7) T:Roger Varian	134	—	1958-5	77	88	78	15d	—	—	+4	7.6	33/1 3%
All wins over 1m2f; drops back to 1m for first time since 2023; not the percentage call
8 (1)	Kingdom Of Time Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	130	p	45/3-5	73	86	-	21d	—	—	+5	8.9	28/1 3%
Has steadily regressive RPRs; could turn things around now handicapping
6 (3)	Mr Mistoffelees Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	132	—	03400-	75	84	70	—	—	—	+5	7.9	33/1 3%
Pulled up (made a respiratory noise) in novice hurdle last month on debut for new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Joolianoss	7/4	6/4	7/4	13/8	15/8
Master Of Combat	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
Not Me	7/2	4/1	4/1	9/2	3/1
Commander Of Life	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Dawn Of Liberation	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Youarenotforgiven	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
The Cookstown Cafu	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Warren Hill	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Kingdom Of Time	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Mr Mistoffelees	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Not Me

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

9/2

2nd

Master Of Combat

16.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Joolianoss

15.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10

15/8

The Cookstown Cafu

12.7

OR: 7 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Commander Of Life

10.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Kingdom Of Time

8.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Dawn Of Liberation

8.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Mr Mistoffelees

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Warren Hill

7.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Youarenotforgiven

7.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Not Me	79	88	—
The Cookstown Cafu	78	92	63
Master Of Combat	77	92	74
Warren Hill	77	88	78
Commander Of Life	76	91	73
Mr Mistoffelees	75	84	70
Dawn Of Liberation	74	94	52
Joolianoss	73	89	63
Youarenotforgiven	73	91	67
Kingdom Of Time	73	86	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Joolianoss	10d ago	Quick return
Commander Of Life	13d ago	Quick return
Warren Hill	15d ago	Fit
Kingdom Of Time	21d ago	Fit
Master Of Combat	22d ago	Fit
Youarenotforgiven	35d ago	Fit
The Cookstown Cafu	41d ago	Fit
Dawn Of Liberation	144d ago	Long break
Not Me	303d ago	Long break
Mr Mistoffelees	—	—