£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-02-04

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	One More Dream Brown J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	135	—	0008-6	68	76	59	18d	—	—	-20	15.9	0.34/1	11/8 42%
11lb below last winning mark and would have finished closer with a clear run last time
6 (7)	Bellagio Man Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	131	p	31-258	64	79	71	4d	—	—	-8	7.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Three-time C&D winner; often makes life harder for himself by blowing the start
7 (4)	Beneficiary Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Liam Bailey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Liam Bailey	130	b	9-1221	63	80	61	12d	—	—	-7	7.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In fine form this year but has a bit to find with Tomorrow Day on last month's C&D running
4 (2)	Biplane Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	132	p	868-34	65	82	66	12d	—	—	-5	7.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Has run well over C&D the last twice and remains on her last winning mark; considered
2 (1)	Brian The Snail Grey J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Patrick Morris	135	p	6451-6	68	81	73	10d	—	—	-5	8.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Better over 5f these days having won over that trip here in December; others preferred
3 (6)	Nazca Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	134	—	1880-9	67	76	41	18d	—	—	0	6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three-time C&D winner but has failed to beat a rival in his last three starts
NR (3)	Tomorrow Day Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Mark Usher	J:NON-RUNNER T:Mark Usher	132	tv	15-213	65	80	68	10d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Record over C&D since September reads 111213; capable of bouncing back to winning form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
One More Dream	11/8	5/4	11/8	11/8	5/4
Bellagio Man	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Beneficiary	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	9/2
Biplane	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Brian The Snail	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Nazca	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Tomorrow Day	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

One More Dream

15.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Brian The Snail

8.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Bellagio Man

7.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Biplane

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Beneficiary

7.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Nazca

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Tomorrow Day

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
One More Dream	68	76	59
Brian The Snail	68	81	73
Nazca	67	76	41
Biplane	65	82	66
Tomorrow Day	65	80	68
Bellagio Man	64	79	71
Beneficiary	63	80	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bellagio Man	4d ago	Quick return
Brian The Snail	10d ago	Quick return
Tomorrow Day	10d ago	Quick return
Beneficiary	12d ago	Quick return
Biplane	12d ago	Quick return
One More Dream	18d ago	Fit
Nazca	18d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.