Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified Stakes (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified Stakes (Div I)

Date 2025-02-10

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 29.73s (slow by 3.73s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Outreach (GB) George Bass · Mark Usher	10/1	Won
2nd	You Are Everything (FR) Luke Morris · Tony Carroll	9/2	0.05
3rd	Big Narstie (FR) Rossa Ryan · Michael Appleby	9/2	1
4th	Lupset Flossy Pop (IRE) David Probert · Gary Brown	20/1	0.2
5th	Balmy Breese (GB) Gina Mangan · Sarah Hollinshead	16/1	1
6th	Bernie The Bear (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Linda Perratt	11/2	0.3
7th	Ajrad (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Rod Millman	100/30F	0.1
8th	Miss Calculation (IRE) Jason Hart · Stella Barclay	9/2	.5
9th	Morning Suit (IRE) Grace McEntee · Phil McEntee	20/1	1.5
10th	Socialise (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Damien Wingrove	40/1	4.25
11th	Dodgy Bob (GB) Poppy Scott · Michael Mullineaux	66/1	1.75

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Ajrad Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	135	p	U5-518	49	60	45	5d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Scored over C&D (sole Wolverhampton run) last month; major contender back here
7 (9)	Miss Calculation Bay J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	135	—	60-342	46	58	48	3d	—	—	-16	6.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Only 1-25 on AW but has consistent classified form this year; solid claims
4 (8)	Big Narstie b/br J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	135	p	948-08	49	60	53	14d	—	—	-10	4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Interesting back in a classified race; form figures at this level read 212
3 (1)	Bernie The Bear Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Linda Perratt	J:Paddy Bradley T:Linda Perratt	135	p	2-2772	49	64	55	14d	—	—	-8	7.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ties in closely with Ajrad on C&D running last time; one of the main players
11 (3)	You Are Everything b/br J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	135	—	526-35	47	59	52	16d	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In-form maiden; shapes as if this step back up to 7f will suit; respected
9 (10)	Outreach Grey J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	135	p	0787-4	45	56	56	23d	—	—	-6	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Both wins over C&D; something to find on recent handicap efforts
2 (2)	Balmy Breese Bay J:Gina Mangan T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Gina Mangan T:Sarah Hollinshead	135	b	0-2676	45	54	44	16d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Started the year with a good effort but has failed to back up that form
6 (4)	Lupset Flossy Pop Bay J:David Probert T:Gary Brown	J:David Probert T:Gary Brown	135	b	8430-7	44	58	30	17d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has achieved little in two starts this winter
8 (7)	Morning Suit Grey J:Grace McEntee T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee T:Phil McEntee	135	tv	08800-	46	54	40	56d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Largely poor form in handicaps for current stable
10 (6)	Socialise Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Damien Wingrove	J:Marco Ghiani T:Damien Wingrove	135	p	3797-8	43	58	44	30d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Big turnaround is needed on debut for new yard
5 (5)	Dodgy Bob Bay J:Poppy Scott(7) T:Michael Mullineaux	J:Poppy Scott(7) T:Michael Mullineaux	135	b	053-85	40	50	30	23d	—	—	-2	0.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Veteran who has meagre RPRs this year

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ajrad	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Miss Calculation	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Big Narstie	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Bernie The Bear	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
You Are Everything	11/2	5/1	5/1	9/2	11/2
Outreach	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Balmy Breese	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Lupset Flossy Pop	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	22/1
Morning Suit	22/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Socialise	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Dodgy Bob	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bernie The Bear

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Miss Calculation

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

9/2

3rd

Ajrad

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Big Narstie

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

You Are Everything

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Outreach

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Balmy Breese

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Lupset Flossy Pop

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Morning Suit

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Socialise

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Dodgy Bob

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ajrad	49	60	45
Big Narstie	49	60	53
Bernie The Bear	49	64	55
You Are Everything	47	59	52
Miss Calculation	46	58	48
Morning Suit	46	54	40
Outreach	45	56	56
Balmy Breese	45	54	44
Lupset Flossy Pop	44	58	30
Socialise	43	58	44
Dodgy Bob	40	50	30

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Calculation	3d ago	Quick return
Ajrad	5d ago	Quick return
Big Narstie	14d ago	Fit
Bernie The Bear	14d ago	Fit
You Are Everything	16d ago	Fit
Balmy Breese	16d ago	Fit
Lupset Flossy Pop	17d ago	Fit
Outreach	23d ago	Fit
Dodgy Bob	23d ago	Fit
Socialise	30d ago	Fit
Morning Suit	56d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.