Virgin Bet Handicap Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)

Ayr

16:20

Date 2025-02-11

Distance 3m20y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Montys Soldier Brown J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	168	—	43-P42	98	103	45	83d	—	—	-3	18.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Good 2nd in novice h'cap on final start for Christian Williams; stable debut; interesting
2	Le Grand Vert Bay J:Mr O McGill(5) T:Noel C Kelly	J:Mr O McGill(5) T:Noel C Kelly	167	tp	4P23U3	97	97	19	21d	—	—	-2	24.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
1-20 over fences; conditions suit; 14lb higher than for his win but has an each-way chance
6	Scalloway Bay Brown J:Bruce Lynn T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn T:N W Alexander	156	t	V45-49	86	106	97	62d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
0-10; fair 4th on chase debut but too free when below par last time; not sure to stay 3m
5	The Jad Factor Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	158	tp	3P2/41	88	109	83	26d	—	—	+3	11.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Off the mark over fences with headgear latest; the longer trip should suit; 4lb higher
7	Cowboy Cooper Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	155	—	63-214	85	101	91	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	11.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Off the mark over fences in May (3m); may have needed latest run; better can be expected
12	Wotsmyname Chestnut J:Conor O'Farrell T:Leonard Kerr	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Leonard Kerr	145	—	6/P993	75	108	83	26d	—	—	0	8.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-18; good run when close third to The Jad Factor last time; step back to 3m should suit
14	Ideal De Romay Bay J:Charlie Maggs(5) T:Leonard Kerr	J:Charlie Maggs(5) T:Leonard Kerr	142	—	6682P5	72	101	88	20d	—	—	+1	9.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Second at Newcastle in December but hasn't run as well since; 5lb out of the handicap
10	Euchan Falls Chestnut J:Nathan Moscrop T:R Mike Smith	J:Nathan Moscrop T:R Mike Smith	152	v	2985P6	82	109	102	22d	—	—	+2	10.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Second to Cowboy Cooper in May but disappointing since; others appeal more
4	Tory Hill Bay J:Brian Hughes T:George Bewley	J:Brian Hughes T:George Bewley	162	—	P2-058	92	-	-	62d	—	—	+7	11.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Close second on four of five starts pointing; interesting up in trip on handicap debut
13	Bowler Jack Bay J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:Sandy Thomson	J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:Sandy Thomson	143	—	75P-7P	73	-	-	64d	—	—	+2	7.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Modest efforts in bumpers and over hurdles; needs to improve for the switch to fences.
3	Hold The Note Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Ewan Whillans	J:Danny McMenamin T:Ewan Whillans	166	tv	P3P-P4	96	107	52	44d	—	—	+7	13.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Patchy form since Carlisle third in April; well treated but a bit to prove at present
9	Toucan Sam Bay J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	153	tp	P9FP35	83	109	-	22d	—	—	+6	10.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
0-19; placed in varied company last season; wind op and two fair runs over hurdles since
11	Eveque Chestnut J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Jane Walton	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Jane Walton	150	p	150-78	80	106	55	16d	—	—	+6	8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
1-16 over fences, the win coming in January 2024; well beaten since; cheekpieces now tried
NR	Don Brocco Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Gary Rutherford	J:NON-RUNNER T:Gary Rutherford	154	tb	-656P1	84	105	-	8d	—	—	—	17.5	—	—
Suited by being able to dominate when winning last week; could go well with his penalty

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Montys Soldier	11/4	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Le Grand Vert	10/3	3/1	2/1	11/4	9/4
Scalloway Bay	15/2	7/1	6/1	15/2	15/2
The Jad Factor	10/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Cowboy Cooper	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Wotsmyname	11/1	11/1	9/1	11/1	10/1
Ideal De Romay	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Euchan Falls	12/1	14/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Tory Hill	22/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Bowler Jack	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Hold The Note	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Toucan Sam	22/1	25/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Eveque	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Don Brocco	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Le Grand Vert

24.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 4.7 Odds: 8

10/3

2nd

Montys Soldier

18.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Don Brocco

17.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 9 Odds: 0

—

Hold The Note

13.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Scalloway Bay

12.3

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

The Jad Factor

11.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Tory Hill

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Cowboy Cooper

11.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Toucan Sam

10.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Euchan Falls

10.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Ideal De Romay

9.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Wotsmyname

8.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Eveque

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Bowler Jack

7.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Montys Soldier	98	103	45
Le Grand Vert	97	97	19
Hold The Note	96	107	52
Tory Hill	92	—	—
The Jad Factor	88	109	83
Scalloway Bay	86	106	97
Cowboy Cooper	85	101	91
Don Brocco	84	105	—
Toucan Sam	83	109	—
Euchan Falls	82	109	102
Eveque	80	106	55
Wotsmyname	75	108	83
Bowler Jack	73	—	—
Ideal De Romay	72	101	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Don Brocco	8d ago	Quick return
Eveque	16d ago	Fit
Ideal De Romay	20d ago	Fit
Le Grand Vert	21d ago	Fit
Cowboy Cooper	22d ago	Fit
Euchan Falls	22d ago	Fit
Toucan Sam	22d ago	Fit
The Jad Factor	26d ago	Fit
Wotsmyname	26d ago	Fit
Hold The Note	44d ago	Fit
Scalloway Bay	62d ago	Fresh
Tory Hill	62d ago	Fresh
Bowler Jack	64d ago	Fresh
Montys Soldier	83d ago	Fresh