Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Date 2025-02-14

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £5,670

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Noble Testimony Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Edward Bethell	J:Billy Loughnane T:Edward Bethell	123	—	2	-	74	-	13d	—	—	-29	22.9	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Turned over at 8-15 here on recent debut but sets standard on that form; the one to beat
3 (4)	Tuscan Star Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	130	—	9-1	66	64	27	21d	—	—	-10	25.4	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Big improvement when justifying support at Southwell last month; respected under a penalty
5 (1)	Kinross Claret Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Andrew Mullen T:Lucinda Russell	121	—	6-6	-	64	25	43d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well-held sixth in both runs so far and he needs improvement upped in trip
1 (3)	Oberon Hill Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	142	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Tailed off in a Wetherby bumper in December and is best watched now switched to the Flat
2 (5)	Woodrafff Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Nicholls	142	—	—	-	-	-	—	1W/1P 2 runs	1W/1P 2 runs	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Yard 1-75 in novice events in recent years; opposable on belated debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Noble Testimony	4/5	4/5	8/11	8/11	8/11
Tuscan Star	11/8	6/4	6/4	11/8	6/4
Kinross Claret	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Oberon Hill	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Woodrafff	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tuscan Star

25.4

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Noble Testimony

22.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 17.9

4/5

3rd

Kinross Claret

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Oberon Hill

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Woodrafff

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tuscan Star	66	64	27
Noble Testimony	—	74	—
Kinross Claret	—	64	25
Oberon Hill	—	—	—
Woodrafff	—	—	—

Last Run

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.