Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-02-14

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,297

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Mrbluesky Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	134	p	0329-4	59	68	42	28d	—	—	-18	11.1	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Has shown winning potential but his best runs have come over a mile at Southwell
4 (3)	Love Games Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	129	—	06639-	54	67	-	129d	—	—	-11	8.8	0.83/1	10/3 23%
No progress in nurseries last season; up in trip and tackling AW but needs improvement
6 (8)	Manton Road Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	127	eb	3-2113	52	68	49	2d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-13	9.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
On the up for new yard but he didn't find much off the bridle at Kempton on Wednesday
1 (7)	Bantz Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Gemma Tutty	135	—	5-9317	60	69	46	6d	—	—	-8	6.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
C&D win last month before held in a stronger race over a mile last week
5 (6)	Kilo Sunshine Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Danny Brooke	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Danny Brooke	128	—	87-0	53	67	-	20d	—	—	-3	2.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Uncompetitive in three sprints but better expected up in trip for his handicap debut
2 (1)	Rogue Endeavour Bay J:David Nolan T:Neil Mulholland	J:David Nolan T:Neil Mulholland	134	p	009-75	59	64	47	11d	—	—	0	3.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
More encouragement at Wolverhampton 11 days ago; market confidence would look significant
7 (5)	Nave Force Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Linda Perratt	J:Harrison Shaw T:Linda Perratt	126	—	05-6	51	60	49	22d	—	—	-2	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Poor form in three 6f runs this winter; up in trip for handicap debut; may do better
8 (2)	Crangy Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	123	—	6-86	48	63	-	31d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Modest form in three C&D runs this winter; more realistic task now handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mrbluesky	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1
Love Games	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3	3/1
Manton Road	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Bantz	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Kilo Sunshine	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Rogue Endeavour	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Nave Force	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Crangy	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mrbluesky

11.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Manton Road

9.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Love Games

8.8

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Bantz

6.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Rogue Endeavour

3.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Kilo Sunshine

2.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Nave Force

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Crangy

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bantz	60	69	46
Mrbluesky	59	68	42
Rogue Endeavour	59	64	47
Love Games	54	67	—
Kilo Sunshine	53	67	—
Manton Road	52	68	49
Nave Force	51	60	49
Crangy	48	63	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Manton Road	2d ago	Quick return
Bantz	6d ago	Quick return
Rogue Endeavour	11d ago	Quick return
Kilo Sunshine	20d ago	Fit
Nave Force	22d ago	Fit
Mrbluesky	28d ago	Fit
Crangy	31d ago	Fit
Love Games	129d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.