William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

17:45

William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap

Date 2025-02-14

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	The Cola Brasil Chestnut J:Sam Coen(7) T:Michael J Browne	J:Sam Coen(7) T:Michael J Browne	137	p	0163-4	59	67	61	16d	—	—	-8	6.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Holding his form; in front of several of these 16 days ago, capable of reaching the money
3 (12)	Pink Oxalis Grey J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Stephen Thorne	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Stephen Thorne	139	b	0042-9	61	65	53	16d	—	—	-7	6.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Finished behind a few of these rivals last time after a good run in December, blinkered
6 (16)	Mullacash Buzz Bay J:Jack Cleary(5) T:Thomas Dowling	J:Jack Cleary(5) T:Thomas Dowling	134	t	46344-	56	66	55	58d	—	—	-4	5.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
4-19 at this venue; has made the frame on his last three starts, could be in the mix again
9 (11)	Seas And Oceans Bay J:Leigh Roche T:E J O'Neill	J:Leigh Roche T:E J O'Neill	129	b	27327-	51	73	63	107d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Possible excuse for his final run last year, has run well over C&D, not without a chance
12 (13)	Master Garvey Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Joseph Anthony Murray	J:J M Sheridan T:Joseph Anthony Murray	126	—	0933-5	48	66	57	18d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
has run creditably over 1m at this venue on his last three starts, each-way chance.
1 (14)	Senado Square Bay J:Adam Browne-Souza(10) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Adam Browne-Souza(10) T:Andrew Slattery	141	—	512-97	63	65	56	16d	—	—	-4	5.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Winner and second on two visits in December, unplaced last twice, could bounce back
5 (10)	Circles Bay J:Killian Leonard T:Anthony McCann	J:Killian Leonard T:Anthony McCann	136	tb	03-374	58	65	55	28d	—	—	-5	4.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Twice a winner over C&D two years ago, recent course form gives her an each-way chance
8 (5)	Notforalongtime Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Laura Hourigan	J:Robbie Colgan T:Laura Hourigan	130	b	0900-8	52	64	48	16d	—	—	-6	2.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Reduced mark and first-time blinkers may spark a revival but hard to be confident
14 (9)	Knockmore Prince Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:John C McConnell	J:Mikey Sheehy T:John C McConnell	125	p	0360-5	47	67	50	16d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Best form on AW, closely matched with The Cola Brasil on running here 16 days ago
10 (7)	Villemacho Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:John James Feane	J:Nathan Crosse T:John James Feane	129	tp	080-49	51	66	46	18d	—	—	-4	1.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Promising fourth over 1m here on second Irish start, below that level last time.
7 (2)	Profit Surge Bay J:Jessica Maye(7) T:John Geoghegan	J:Jessica Maye(7) T:John Geoghegan	133	—	68760-	55	67	49	98d	—	—	-1	2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Made most of the running when sixth of 11 over 1m on handicap debut, poor run last time
2 (3)	Is That Love Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:P Sweeney	J:Danny Sheehy T:P Sweeney	140	p	3009/9	62	42	-	35d	—	—	0	4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Fair form in claimers in 2023 before losing his way, should be better for a run last month
11 (15)	Holly Woods Dancer Bay J:Neve Bennett(7) T:J F Levins	J:Neve Bennett(7) T:J F Levins	126	—	0500-	48	66	-	213d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Weak form last year, transformation needed on first start for Johnny Levins
13 (17)	Jackandthefox Grey J:Rory Cleary T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J:Rory Cleary T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	125	—	0/0-78	47	63	56	14d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Never in the first six, faced a tough task in a claimer last time, others much preferred.
NR (4)	Winemaker Bay J:Nicola Burns(7) T:Diego Dias	J:Nicola Burns(7) T:Diego Dias	137	—	0009-7	59	64	55	31d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
First reserve, course 5f/7f winner last year, has dropped in the ratings, not ruled out
NR (6)	Wild Mountain Bay J:TBC T:Patrick J McKenna	J: T:Patrick J McKenna	125	tp	4427-4	47	68	65	31d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Second reserve, consistent form at this venue, place chance following fourth on latest
NR (8)	Bucky Larson Bay J:TBC T:R Donohoe	J: T:R Donohoe	133	—	5270-0	55	70	32	16d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Third reserve, veteran has a decent record at this venue, probably needed his recent run

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
The Cola Brasil	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Pink Oxalis	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Mullacash Buzz	8/1	8/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Seas And Oceans	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Master Garvey	13/2	15/2	7/1	13/2	15/2
Senado Square	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
Circles	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Notforalongtime	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Knockmore Prince	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Villemacho	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Profit Surge	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Is That Love	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Holly Woods Dancer	28/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Jackandthefox	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
Winemaker	-	-	-	-	-
Wild Mountain	-	-	-	-	-
Bucky Larson	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Seas And Oceans

9.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 6 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Pink Oxalis

6.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

The Cola Brasil

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Mullacash Buzz

5.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Senado Square

5.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Circles

4.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Is That Love

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Master Garvey

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Notforalongtime

2.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Winemaker

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Profit Surge

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Knockmore Prince

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Villemacho

1.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Bucky Larson

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Holly Woods Dancer

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Jackandthefox

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Wild Mountain

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Senado Square	63	65	56
Is That Love	62	42	—
Pink Oxalis	61	65	53
The Cola Brasil	59	67	61
Winemaker	59	64	55
Circles	58	65	55
Mullacash Buzz	56	66	55
Profit Surge	55	67	49
Bucky Larson	55	70	32
Notforalongtime	52	64	48
Seas And Oceans	51	73	63
Villemacho	51	66	46
Master Garvey	48	66	57
Holly Woods Dancer	48	66	—
Knockmore Prince	47	67	50
Jackandthefox	47	63	56
Wild Mountain	47	68	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jackandthefox	14d ago	Fit
The Cola Brasil	16d ago	Fit
Pink Oxalis	16d ago	Fit
Senado Square	16d ago	Fit
Notforalongtime	16d ago	Fit
Knockmore Prince	16d ago	Fit
Bucky Larson	16d ago	Fit
Master Garvey	18d ago	Fit
Villemacho	18d ago	Fit
Circles	28d ago	Fit
Winemaker	31d ago	Fit
Wild Mountain	31d ago	Fit
Is That Love	35d ago	Fit
Mullacash Buzz	58d ago	Fresh
Profit Surge	98d ago	Long break
Seas And Oceans	107d ago	Long break
Holly Woods Dancer	213d ago	Long break