Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Maiden Stakes (Rider Restricted Race) (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

17:30

Date 2025-02-19

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (5)	Rajwa Brown J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	122	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-29	14.2	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Half-sister to German 2,000 Guineas winner from a fine family; may well prove good enough.
6 (7)	Target Man Chestnut J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:George Boughey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:George Boughey	127	tb	232-36	78	84	63	19d	—	—	-18	18.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Didn't see out 7f on Tapeta latest; player if responding positively to the blinkers.
4 (6)	Massimo Blue Bay J:Grace McEntee T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee T:Phil McEntee	127	—	5-34	-	71	48	6d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
3rd at Chelmsford (7f) penultimate start; below that level since; needs to settle better.
3 (3)	Double Mocha b/br J:Jonny Peate T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jonny Peate T:Hugo Palmer	127	h	75	-	62	30	11d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Some ability on the first of two 7f starts but he needs to settle better to progress.
5 (1)	Rupert The Prince Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Paddy Butler	J:Shane Kelly T:Paddy Butler	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Abundance of Flat winners in immediate family offers hope; probably worth market check.
2 (2)	Cosmic Spirit Chestnut J:George Downing T:Ben Case	J:George Downing T:Ben Case	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Nephew to hurdle/chase winners; nothing about his immediate pedigree says sprinter.
1 (4)	Wild Nephin Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Ryan Potter	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Ryan Potter	142	—	—	-	48	20	8d	—	—	-1	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Irish point winner; trip and concession of weight all round both rate major negatives.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Rajwa	6/5	11/8	6/5	6/5	11/10
Target Man	11/8	11/8	11/8	6/5	6/4
Massimo Blue	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Double Mocha	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Rupert The Prince	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Cosmic Spirit	200/1	125/1	150/1	80/1	150/1
Wild Nephin	300/1	250/1	250/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Target Man

18.8

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

6/4

2nd

Rajwa

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

11/8

3rd

Massimo Blue

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Double Mocha

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Rupert The Prince

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Cosmic Spirit

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Wild Nephin

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Target Man	78	84	63
Rajwa	—	—	—
Massimo Blue	—	71	48
Double Mocha	—	62	30
Rupert The Prince	—	—	—
Cosmic Spirit	—	—	—
Wild Nephin	—	48	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Massimo Blue	6d ago	Quick return
Wild Nephin	8d ago	Quick return
Double Mocha	11d ago	Quick return
Target Man	19d ago	Fit
Rajwa	—	—
Rupert The Prince	—	—
Cosmic Spirit	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.