Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

19:15

Date 2025-02-21

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Portoro Bay J:George Wood T:Martin Dunne	J:George Wood T:Martin Dunne	133	ht	413-21	58	71	61	15d	—	—	-18	10.9	0.53/1	85/40 32%
Has been holding form well for a while, most recently successful in C&D handicap; up 2lb
7 (5)	Clyde Bay Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	127	t	6648-3	52	69	64	7d	—	—	-10	9.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Favourite when C&D third on last week's stable debut; took keen hold and carried head high
3 (4)	Pinjarra Bay J:Harry Russell T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Harry Russell T:John & Sean Quinn	132	—	/700-6	57	69	59	15d	—	—	-7	5.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Hinted at better to come when denied clear run in C&D handicap latest
4 (2)	Bomb Squad Grey J:Josephine Gordon T:John Mackie	J:Josephine Gordon T:John Mackie	131	p	1-1233	56	73	66	13d	—	—	+1	11.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In fine form including narrow 6f handicap win here in January; has never won over this far
5 (10)	Yorkstone Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	131	t	600-07	56	69	67	17d	—	—	-6	4.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Last success was a dead-heat over 1m here in December 2023; needs to bounce back to form
6 (7)	Autumn Angel Bay J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	130	b	1-3154	55	69	63	18d	—	—	+2	10.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two-time course winner and successful elsewhere twice this winter; probably thereabouts
9 (8)	Lion's Dream Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Derek Shaw	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Derek Shaw	122	v	897754	47	71	61	7d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
On a lengthy losing run; didn't miss out by much when fourth in a C&D handicap last week
10 (1)	Melsmay Chestnut J:Joey Haynes T:Ivan Furtado	J:Joey Haynes T:Ivan Furtado	121	—	9-6345	46	66	64	15d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
0-7; more needed than when unplaced in C&D handicap latest
8 (9)	Create Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	127	p	7606-7	52	67	63	15d	—	—	-2	1.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Has won here but hasn't been running well enough lately to be of interest now
1 (3)	Global Warning Bay J:Grace McEntee T:John Butler	J:Grace McEntee T:John Butler	135	—	138-98	60	71	61	20d	—	—	0	3.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Six 6f-7f AW handicaps wins elsewhere; however, failed to beat a rival on last two starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Portoro	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	85/40
Clyde Bay	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	3/1
Pinjarra	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Bomb Squad	8/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Yorkstone	13/2	8/1	15/2	7/1	13/2
Autumn Angel	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Lion's Dream	22/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	16/1
Melsmay	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Create	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Global Warning	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bomb Squad

11.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

8/1

2nd

Portoro

10.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

85/40

3rd

Autumn Angel

10.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Clyde Bay

9.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Pinjarra

5.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Yorkstone

4.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Global Warning

3.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Lion's Dream

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Create

1.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Melsmay

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Global Warning	60	71	61
Portoro	58	71	61
Pinjarra	57	69	59
Bomb Squad	56	73	66
Yorkstone	56	69	67
Autumn Angel	55	69	63
Clyde Bay	52	69	64
Create	52	67	63
Lion's Dream	47	71	61
Melsmay	46	66	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Clyde Bay	7d ago	Quick return
Lion's Dream	7d ago	Quick return
Bomb Squad	13d ago	Quick return
Portoro	15d ago	Fit
Pinjarra	15d ago	Fit
Melsmay	15d ago	Fit
Create	15d ago	Fit
Yorkstone	17d ago	Fit
Autumn Angel	18d ago	Fit
Global Warning	20d ago	Fit