£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Novice Stakes (Rider Restricted Race) (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

16:45

Date 2025-02-21

Distance 1m4f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Sugar Road Chestnut J:William Carver T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver T:Andrew Balding	130	—	434-	82	93	68	182d	—	—	-18	23.9	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Three starts last summer, notably finishing useful third in 1m3f novice here
1 (7)	Java Raja Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Luke Catton(3) T:John & Thady Gosden	137	t	61-	-	84	75	67d	—	—	-15	21.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Improved to win ordinary 1m4f AW maiden at Wolverhampton in December; has a penalty
3 (4)	Foxlight Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won 2m AW bumper at Lingfield on debut; could have more to give now switching to the Flat
2 (1)	Agathon Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	132	—	4/0/	-	-	-	498d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two starts for Joseph O'Brien in Ireland separated by more than a year; off 498 days
8 (3)	Miss Applejack Chestnut J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Longsdon	127	—	26	-	72	44	10d	—	—	+2	4.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Moderate in two AW Flat starts over a bit shorter at Wolverhampton; this trip may help
5 (2)	Courageous Gold Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:David Simcock	J:Josephine Gordon T:David Simcock	130	—	5-0	-	63	27	32d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Moderate in two starts, hanging left both times
4 (6)	Jysuis Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Simon West	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Simon West	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Placed in bumpers in France 2023; more recently a moderate maiden over hurdles in Britain
6 (5)	Paradise Circus Bay J:Harry Russell T:Joe Tickle	J:Harry Russell T:Joe Tickle	130	—	00	-	55	29	10d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
No sign of ability yet; best to look elsewhere

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sugar Road	evn	11/10	evn	evn	Evens
Java Raja	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Foxlight	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Agathon	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Miss Applejack	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Courageous Gold	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Jysuis	150/1	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1
Paradise Circus	300/1	300/1	300/1	150/1	300/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sugar Road

23.9

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 13.8

11/10

2nd

Java Raja

21.8

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.8

6/4

3rd

Miss Applejack

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Foxlight

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Agathon

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Courageous Gold

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Jysuis

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Paradise Circus

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sugar Road	82	93	68
Java Raja	—	84	75
Foxlight	—	—	—
Agathon	—	—	—
Miss Applejack	—	72	44
Courageous Gold	—	63	27
Jysuis	—	—	—
Paradise Circus	—	55	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Applejack	10d ago	Quick return
Paradise Circus	10d ago	Quick return
Courageous Gold	32d ago	Fit
Java Raja	67d ago	Fresh
Sugar Road	182d ago	Long break
Agathon	498d ago	Long break
Foxlight	—	—
Jysuis	—	—