Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-03-01

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,670

Winning Time 1m 41.48s (slow by 3.78s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Michael Scofield (USA) Kieran Shoemark · M D O'Callaghan	2/1J	Won
2nd	Motawaared (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	12/1	2.25
3rd	Bouquet De Paris (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	16/1	1.25
4th	Ledanis (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	8/1	.5
5th	Dancing Tiger (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Roger Teal	33/1	0.3
6th	Man Of La Mancha (GB) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	2/1J	0.05
7th	Island Hero (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Heather Main	15/2	4.5
8th	Dancing With Drums (IRE) William Carson · Martin Dunne	200/1	1.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (9)	Man Of La Mancha Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	5-	-	85	67	87d	—	—	-22	10	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Promising late headway into fifth on his 1m Kempton debut; sure to progress
9 (2)	Michael Scofield Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Kieran Shoemark T:M D O'Callaghan	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-20	8.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Half-brother to a US Grade 1 dirt winner and stable 3-10 on AW in Britain
6 (4)	Ledanis Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	3	-	65	21	31d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Bumped into a smart one when third on 1m debut and looks sure-fire improver for top yard
5 (3)	Island Hero Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	130	—	7-2	-	84	37	32d	—	—	-1	7.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fair form in two Wolverhampton runs, finishing second latterly; thereabouts
10 (7)	Motawaared Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	130	—	4	-	84	36	26d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Led long way when fair fourth of five on 9.4f Wolverhamapton debut; down in trip
11 (6)	Prepare To Strike Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
In good hands and out of a 1m Group 2 winner in these silks
2 (11)	Bouquet De Paris Chestnut J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Useful pedigree and needs monitoring in the betting on debut
3 (1)	Dancing Tiger Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	130	p	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Cheekpieces on debut but has some useful sorts in his pedigree
7 (10)	Lights Go Down Chestnut J:Sam James T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Sam James T:Michael & David Easterby	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Gelded son of Postponed who is probably best watched on debut
4 (8)	Dancing With Drums Bay J:William Carson T:Martin Dunne	J:William Carson T:Martin Dunne	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Half-brother to a couple of smart sorts but changed hands for only 2,000gns in October
NR (5)	Zeus Olympios Chestnut J:TBC T:K R Burke	J: T:K R Burke	137	—	1	-	86	50	38d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Landed short odds on 7f Kempton debut and definitely more to come up at 1m

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Man Of La Mancha	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8	13/8
Michael Scofield	15/8	5/2	2/1	5/2	15/8
Ledanis	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2	7/1
Island Hero	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Motawaared	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Prepare To Strike	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Bouquet De Paris	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Dancing Tiger	40/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	33/1
Lights Go Down	200/1	150/1	200/1	125/1	125/1
Dancing With Drums	250/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1
Zeus Olympios	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Man Of La Mancha

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Zeus Olympios

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Michael Scofield

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

5/2

Island Hero

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ledanis

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Motawaared

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Prepare To Strike

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Bouquet De Paris

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Dancing Tiger

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Lights Go Down

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Dancing With Drums

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Man Of La Mancha	—	85	67
Michael Scofield	—	—	—
Ledanis	—	65	21
Island Hero	—	84	37
Motawaared	—	84	36
Prepare To Strike	—	—	—
Bouquet De Paris	—	—	—
Dancing Tiger	—	—	—
Lights Go Down	—	—	—
Dancing With Drums	—	—	—
Zeus Olympios	—	86	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Motawaared	26d ago	Fit
Ledanis	31d ago	Fit
Island Hero	32d ago	Fit
Zeus Olympios	38d ago	Fit
Man Of La Mancha	87d ago	Fresh
Michael Scofield	—	—
Prepare To Strike	—	—
Bouquet De Paris	—	—
Dancing Tiger	—	—
Lights Go Down	—	—
Dancing With Drums	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.