Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Novice Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Leopardstown

13:20

Date 2025-03-02

Distance 2m

Class

Going Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Honesty Policy Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	164	—	221	132	133	109	21d	—	—	-4	56.5	8/15 65%
Won by 8l at Navan, rated 132, the one to beat if handling the likely quicker ground
4	Champagne Jury Grey J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	161	t	P-21	-	-	-	35d	—	—	-14	5.7	7/2 22%
Placed in a point, won a Naas bumper on Rules' debut, in good hands, can't discount
5	Coral River Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Thomas Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Thomas Mullins	158	—	2-2013	120	128	82	22d	—	—	+13	24.3	15/2 12%
Won a maiden at Gowran, beaten 4.25l in a Naas novice latest, drop back to 2m a plus
6	Rockymountainbleu Bay J:Tiernan Power Roche(5) T:P J Rothwell	J:Tiernan Power Roche(5) T:P J Rothwell	158	—	72-133	125	131	86	40d	—	—	+14	20.5	14/1 7%
40-1 winner at Punchestown over 2m4f, has a chance on ratings but may want further
1	One And Only Brown J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	166	tp	24F122	99	101	92	6d	—	—	+24	25.9	66/1 1%
In good form recently, rating has risen to 99, has to give weight to higher rated rivals
NR	Great Attitude Bay J:Philip Donovan(5) T:Thomas Cleary	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:Thomas Cleary	162	—	1	-	129	115	8d	—	—	—	10	—
Landed a touch on debut at Fairyhouse, could be more to come if as good going left-handed
NR	Sommesky Chestnut J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	158	—	1-417	127	130	113	29d	—	—	—	26.3	—
Bumper and maiden hurdle winner, out of depth in Gr1 latest, trip may be on the sharp side

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Honesty Policy	4/9	8/15	4/9	4/11	8/15
Champagne Jury	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1
Coral River	15/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Rockymountainbleu	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
One And Only	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1
Great Attitude	-	-	-	-	-
Sommesky	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Honesty Policy

56.5

OR: 20.5 Form: 16 Odds: 20

8/15

2nd

Sommesky

26.3

OR: 19.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

3rd

One And Only

25.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 13.1 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Coral River

24.3

OR: 17.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Rockymountainbleu

20.5

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Great Attitude

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Champagne Jury

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Honesty Policy	132	133	109
Sommesky	127	130	113
Rockymountainbleu	125	131	86
Coral River	120	128	82
One And Only	99	101	92
Champagne Jury	—	—	—
Great Attitude	—	129	115

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
One And Only	6d ago	Quick return
Great Attitude	8d ago	Quick return
Honesty Policy	21d ago	Fit
Coral River	22d ago	Fit
Sommesky	29d ago	Fit
Champagne Jury	35d ago	Fit
Rockymountainbleu	40d ago	Fit