attheraces.com/marketmovers EBF Mares' "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Southwell

16:42

Date 2025-03-03

Distance 2m4f88y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-7yo

Prize £4,901

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Jasmine Bliss Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	162	t	11-241	118	119	102	26d	—	—	-15	33.3	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Opened her hurdles account last time and may build on that success; respected
4	La Pinsonniere Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	162	—	362-21	125	118	74	39d	—	—	-3	28.8	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Off the mark at Huntingdon (second British start) last time; leading player on the figures
1	Jakana Chestnut J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	166	—	9-3211	112	105	83	36d	—	—	+8	18.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
2-2 since upped to 2m4f, winning at Southwell and Sedgefield; could improve further
2	I Am The Moon Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	162	—	54412	107	109	81	23d	—	—	+21	28.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Something to find on ratings but is steadily progressive and can't be dismissed
8	Dance The Moon Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	156	—	4-70	-	-	-	220d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Has failed to back up her initial effort in bumpers; hurdles debut
9	My Dream Grey J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah Humphrey	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah Humphrey	156	—	94/P5	-	94	-	272d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Absent since running to a modest RPR in C&D event nine months ago
6	Big Ange Bay J:James Turner(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:James Turner(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	156	—	7P-P	-	-	-	105d	—	—	0	0.1	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Dismal claims on form
NR	Annacassar Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Charles & Adam Pogson	J:NON-RUNNER T:Charles & Adam Pogson	156	—	2P-24	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Seems to have a stiff task on rules debut, taking on four previous winners
NR	Carro Attrezzi Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ryan Potter	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ryan Potter	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Sole newcomer in the field; will need to be talented to beat four previous winners

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Jasmine Bliss	4/5	8/11	4/5	4/5	4/5
La Pinsonniere	13/8	15/8	13/8	6/4	13/8
Jakana	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
I Am The Moon	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Dance The Moon	150/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	200/1
My Dream	200/1	150/1	150/1	200/1	200/1
Big Ange	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1	500/1
Annacassar	-	-	-	-	-
Carro Attrezzi	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jasmine Bliss

33.3

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 16.3

4/5

2nd

La Pinsonniere

28.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10

15/8

3rd

I Am The Moon

28.2

OR: 14.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Jakana

18.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Dance The Moon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

My Dream

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Big Ange

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Annacassar

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Carro Attrezzi

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
La Pinsonniere	125	118	74
Jasmine Bliss	118	119	102
Jakana	112	105	83
I Am The Moon	107	109	81
Dance The Moon	—	—	—
My Dream	—	94	—
Big Ange	—	—	—
Annacassar	—	—	—
Carro Attrezzi	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
I Am The Moon	23d ago	Fit
Jasmine Bliss	26d ago	Fit
Jakana	36d ago	Fit
La Pinsonniere	39d ago	Fit
Big Ange	105d ago	Long break
Dance The Moon	220d ago	Long break
My Dream	272d ago	Long break
Annacassar	—	—
Carro Attrezzi	—	—