Unibet Proudly Supports racinghome.org.uk Handicap (Div I)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Date 2025-03-05

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Lessay Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	134	b	55-345	73	89	73	11d	—	—	-14	14.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
0-14 since debut win but he's in fair form and has claims if he can find something extra
1 (4)	Ernie's Valentine Grey J:Finley Marsh T:Jim Boyle	J:Finley Marsh T:Jim Boyle	135	—	06641-	74	84	62	73d	—	—	+2	21.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Made it 5-21 on AW when scoring off reduced mark at Lingfield; respected on stable debut
8 (7)	Fat Gladiator Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:George Baker	J:Hollie Doyle T:George Baker	122	h	12/44/	61	84	-	709d	—	—	-6	6.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
His win came off this mark over C&D but he returns after a long absence; best watched
5 (1)	City Cyclone Chestnut J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	130	—	4-1134	69	86	79	21d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-4	8.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two 7f Tapeta wins in January; held at 6f last twice but he's in the mix back up in trip
6 (3)	Tronido Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	127	—	2338-7	66	80	73	28d	—	—	-3	6.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual AW winner but she's lost her way in last two runs and needs to get back on track
3 (6)	Revolutionise Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	134	—	25-068	73	80	72	21d	—	—	0	7.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Eight-time AW winner but he's been quiet recently and needs to rediscover his spark
4 (8)	Starshiba Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jack Morland	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jack Morland	133	v	61-574	72	80	76	22d	—	—	+2	6.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won over 1m at Lingfield in December but he's not posed a threat in three runs since
7 (2)	Soar Above Grey Roan J:David Egan T:John Butler	J:David Egan T:John Butler	126	—	38-900	65	81	76	22d	—	—	+2	4.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Course specialist but last win was in 2022 and he's struggled this winter

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Lessay	15/8	2/1	15/8	7/4	15/8
Ernie's Valentine	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2
Fat Gladiator	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
City Cyclone	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2
Tronido	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Revolutionise	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Starshiba	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Soar Above	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ernie's Valentine

21.7

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

4/1

2nd

Lessay

14.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

City Cyclone

8.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Revolutionise

7.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Tronido

6.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Starshiba

6.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Fat Gladiator

6.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Soar Above

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ernie's Valentine	74	84	62
Lessay	73	89	73
Revolutionise	73	80	72
Starshiba	72	80	76
City Cyclone	69	86	79
Tronido	66	80	73
Soar Above	65	81	76
Fat Gladiator	61	84	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lessay	11d ago	Quick return
City Cyclone	21d ago	Fit
Revolutionise	21d ago	Fit
Starshiba	22d ago	Fit
Soar Above	22d ago	Fit
Tronido	28d ago	Fit
Ernie's Valentine	73d ago	Fresh
Fat Gladiator	709d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.