BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

16:12

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2025-03-05

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Kitaro Kich Brown J:Tom Marquand T:George Baker	J:Tom Marquand T:George Baker	140	t	42-131	67	74	61	6d	—	—	-25	18.4	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Won two of last three starts and won in fine style last time; 5lb penalty may not stop him
3 (9)	Runaround Sioux Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	134	—	55-832	61	75	57	8d	—	—	-9	7.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1-13 but ran well when second over 8.6f at Wolverhampton recently; 7f may suit her better
11 (6)	Rabinal Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Dow	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Dow	129	h	109-73	56	73	68	31d	—	—	-6	4.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has become inconsistent, but is 6lb lower than when winning this race last year
12 (11)	Ashford Hill Bay J:Harry Davies T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Harry Davies T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	125	—	47-428	52	72	68	28d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	2.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
1lb higher than for her win over C&D in November, but has been done no favours by the draw
4 (4)	Split Elevens Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	134	—	13-341	61	74	60	21d	—	—	-3	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has won six of his last 12 starts including two over C&D; should go well again.
6 (3)	Kondratiev Wave Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	133	p	7-2422	60	74	65	21d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-3	4.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Just beaten by Split Elevens at Kempton last time; 1lb better off; shouldn't be far away
7 (1)	Portoro Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	133	ht	13-212	60	73	61	12d	—	—	-1	3.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Running consistently well at Southwell lately, but has won on Polytrack; hard to rule out
5 (2)	Shot Of Love Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	133	v	97-574	60	74	68	15d	—	—	0	3.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
8lb below last winning mark and shaped as though the return to 7f would suit last time
8 (5)	Twitch Brown J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	132	b	21144-	59	73	65	139d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/1P 2 runs	+9	12	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Dual winner at Chelmsford last year, but has no great record after a break of this length
10 (10)	Global Warning Bay J:Grace McEntee T:John Butler	J:Grace McEntee T:John Butler	131	—	38-985	58	69	65	12d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+1	2.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
2lb lower than for his win over C&D in September; below form lately and drawn wide
NR (7)	Land Lover Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Mark Loughnane	135	b	28-309	62	69	59	11d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Has gone backwards from a promising stable debut; 1-26 and enough to prove back up in trip
NR (12)	Triggered Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	132	—	04-655	59	74	58	32d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Losing run up to 15 despite a sliding mark; outside stall no help in bid for a resurgence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kitaro Kich	evn	10/11	evn	evn	11/10
Runaround Sioux	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Rabinal	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Ashford Hill	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Split Elevens	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Kondratiev Wave	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Portoro	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	14/1
Shot Of Love	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Twitch	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Global Warning	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Land Lover	-	-	-	-	-
Triggered	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kitaro Kich

18.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Twitch

OR: 2.3 Form: 9 Odds: 0.8

40/1

3rd

Runaround Sioux

7.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Split Elevens

4.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Rabinal

4.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Kondratiev Wave

4.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Portoro

3.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Shot Of Love

3.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Land Lover

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ashford Hill

2.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Global Warning

2.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Triggered

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kitaro Kich	67	74	61
Land Lover	62	69	59
Runaround Sioux	61	75	57
Split Elevens	61	74	60
Kondratiev Wave	60	74	65
Portoro	60	73	61
Shot Of Love	60	74	68
Twitch	59	73	65
Triggered	59	74	58
Global Warning	58	69	65
Rabinal	56	73	68
Ashford Hill	52	72	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kitaro Kich	6d ago	Quick return
Runaround Sioux	8d ago	Quick return
Land Lover	11d ago	Quick return
Portoro	12d ago	Quick return
Global Warning	12d ago	Quick return
Shot Of Love	15d ago	Fit
Split Elevens	21d ago	Fit
Kondratiev Wave	21d ago	Fit
Ashford Hill	28d ago	Fit
Rabinal	31d ago	Fit
Triggered	32d ago	Fit
Twitch	139d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.