European Breeders' Fund Betfair 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Final (Premier H'cap) (GBB)

Sandown

13:50

Date 2025-03-08

Distance 2m3f173y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-7yo

Prize £45,016

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Belliano Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	164	—	1-211	125	131	112	32d	—	—	+9	33	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Met his sole defeat behind a very classy rival; progressive sort who has strong claims
2	Meetmebythesea Bay J:Callum Pritchard(5) T:Ben Pauling	J:Callum Pritchard(5) T:Ben Pauling	167	—	2-111	128	126	109	43d	—	—	+9	28.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Promising sort who is 3-3 under rules and represents last year's winning yard; respected
5	George's Lad Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Emma Lavelle	J:Liam Harrison T:Emma Lavelle	165	—	F-5221	126	128	112	43d	—	—	+10	22.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has improved with each start; won on the bridle at Doncaster most recently; interesting
3	Kepler's Law Bay J:Brian Hughes T:L J Morgan	J:Brian Hughes T:L J Morgan	167	—	1-331	128	131	108	46d	—	—	+20	28.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Hit with a 12lb hike for Leicester win but could progress further; not dismissed
1	The Kemble Brewery Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	168	t	13-112	129	127	110	80d	—	—	+14	21.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Overall record is 4-6 and form has substance; remains the type to improve further
8	It's Hard To Know Chestnut J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	163	—	1-116	124	121	89	70d	—	—	+21	27.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Absent since a heavy defeat in the Challow; unbeaten previously; could go well
10	Elysian Knight Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:Neil Mulholland	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Neil Mulholland	160	—	336413	121	126	103	22d	—	—	+24	30	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has shown improvement the last twice; shapes as if this stiffer course will suit
11	Not So Woolly Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	157	p	5-3332	118	126	116	32d	—	—	+13	18.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Chance of opening his account depends on how well he responds to cheekpieces
17	Malinificent Chestnut J:Sean Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:Sean Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	153	—	U-2342	114	129	105	29d	—	—	+12	17.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Maiden whose pedigree suggests this new trip is a possible source of improvement
12	Silver Thorn Grey J:Jonathan Burke T:Emma Lavelle	J:Jonathan Burke T:Emma Lavelle	157	t	2-1532	118	131	115	32d	—	—	+17	21.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ties in with Belliano but that rival is progressing better; tongue-tie applied
16	Followcato Chestnut J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	153	—	23-453	114	127	108	35d	—	—	+13	17	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Still a maiden and looks held by a couple of these rivals; needs improvement
4	Off The Jury Bay J:Mr David Maxwell T:Alan King	J:Mr David Maxwell T:Alan King	165	—	3-223O	126	130	103	10d	—	—	+19	22	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Proved errant (2l down when running out at final flight) last time; risky
14	Aviation Grey J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	155	—	43221	116	125	109	22d	—	—	+31	34.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Consistent at sharp tracks; goes into unknown territory on this stiffer course
9	Laurens Bay Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	162	—	1-2214	123	118	103	49d	—	—	+23	26	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Latest effort suggests he's not the percentage call over this stiff 2m4f
13	Disco Davis Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	155	—	5FF512	116	127	98	15d	—	—	+26	28.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Improved the last twice but the form isn't dazzling; this is much harder
18	Ken Roy Bay J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Paul Nicholls	153	p	33-42P	114	124	82	66d	—	—	+15	16.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Stiff task in this field and stable has a much stronger chance with Belliano
NR	Peso Grey J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	164	—	3/412	125	133	115	44d	—	—	—	20.9	—	—
Has progressive 2m form under rules; bred to be suited by this new trip
NR	Illegal d'Ainay Grey J:Freddie Gordon(3) T:Chris Gordon	J:Freddie Gordon(3) T:Chris Gordon	155	—	/U1234	116	133	77	48d	—	—	—	23.8	—	—
Proving consistent but lacks the potential of several of these opponents

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Belliano	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Meetmebythesea	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	4/1
George's Lad	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Kepler's Law	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
The Kemble Brewery	10/1	12/1	10/1	12/1	11/1
It's Hard To Know	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Elysian Knight	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Not So Woolly	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Malinificent	14/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Silver Thorn	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	18/1
Followcato	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Off The Jury	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Aviation	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Laurens Bay	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Disco Davis	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
Ken Roy	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Peso	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aviation

34.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 16.9 Odds: 0.8

33/1

2nd

Belliano

OR: 18.8 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Elysian Knight

OR: 17.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Kepler's Law

28.9

OR: 19.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Meetmebythesea

28.7

OR: 19.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Disco Davis

28.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 11.3 Odds: 0.7

50/1

It's Hard To Know

27.1

OR: 18.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Laurens Bay

OR: 18.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Illegal d'Ainay

23.8

OR: 16.5 Form: 7.3 Odds: 0

—

George's Lad

22.6

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Off The Jury

OR: 19 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

33/1

The Kemble Brewery

21.9

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Silver Thorn

21.7

OR: 17 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Peso

20.9

OR: 18.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Not So Woolly

18.6

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Malinificent

17.4

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Followcato

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ken Roy

16.4

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Kemble Brewery	129	127	110
Meetmebythesea	128	126	109
Kepler's Law	128	131	108
George's Lad	126	128	112
Off The Jury	126	130	103
Belliano	125	131	112
Peso	125	133	115
It's Hard To Know	124	121	89
Laurens Bay	123	118	103
Elysian Knight	121	126	103
Not So Woolly	118	126	116
Silver Thorn	118	131	115
Aviation	116	125	109
Disco Davis	116	127	98
Illegal d'Ainay	116	133	77
Malinificent	114	129	105
Followcato	114	127	108
Ken Roy	114	124	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Off The Jury	10d ago	Quick return
Disco Davis	15d ago	Fit
Elysian Knight	22d ago	Fit
Aviation	22d ago	Fit
Malinificent	29d ago	Fit
Belliano	32d ago	Fit
Not So Woolly	32d ago	Fit
Silver Thorn	32d ago	Fit
Followcato	35d ago	Fit
Meetmebythesea	43d ago	Fit
George's Lad	43d ago	Fit
Peso	44d ago	Fit
Kepler's Law	46d ago	Fresh
Illegal d'Ainay	48d ago	Fresh
Laurens Bay	49d ago	Fresh
Ken Roy	66d ago	Fresh
It's Hard To Know	70d ago	Fresh
The Kemble Brewery	80d ago	Fresh