Ryanair Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle) (GBB)

Cheltenham

13:20

Date 2025-03-13

Distance 2m179y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £59,084

Runners (24)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
21	Sixandahalf Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	158	—	2-11	-	143	82	61d	—	—	-14	11.1	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Progressive last year on the Flat and did everything right in winning her maiden hurdle
24	Galileo Dame Chestnut J:J J Slevin T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:J J Slevin T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	148	—	22	137	145	84	40d	—	—	+18	35.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
4yo filly who is getting a weight allowance and would have had a fair shout in the Triumph
9	Jubilee Alpha Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	158	—	12-311	128	138	108	53d	—	—	+12	22.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has won her last two without much fuss and trainer rates her chances in this higher grade
2	Aurora Vega Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	158	—	-31P11	141	142	118	47d	—	—	+35	45.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
6-9 under rules; workmanlike in a Grade 3 last time but can no doubt improve further
12	Karoline Banbou Bay J:Mark Walsh T:W P Mullins	J:Mark Walsh T:W P Mullins	158	—	212-21	132	137	105	36d	—	—	+14	23.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
It was a winnable maiden that she won at Fairyhouse but she's going the right way
17	Maughreen Bay J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	158	h	1-1	-	130	62	45d	—	—	+12	19.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Held in high regard by her top team and unextended to win her bumper/maiden; now hooded
6	Diva Luna Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	158	—	11-212	120	128	118	48d	—	—	+14	18.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Hurdling career has yet really to take off but her good bumper form brings her into this
3	Bluey Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Emma Lavelle	J:Harry Skelton T:Emma Lavelle	158	—	1-4121	124	135	122	23d	—	—	+21	27.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
A front-runner who will be prominent to a point but probably not where it matters
1	Air Of Entitlement Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	158	—	311-71	-	129	49	77d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Maiden hurdle win came over 2m4f but assured stamina has proved key before in this race
10	Just A Rose Bay J:Freddie Gingell T:Paul Nicholls	J:Freddie Gingell T:Paul Nicholls	158	—	1-1	-	135	103	54d	—	—	+15	17.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Unexposed dual winner but probably speaks volumes that Harry Cobden prefers Jubilee Alpha
7	Hollygrove Cha Cha Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	158	—	1-1121	127	131	120	28d	—	—	+24	27	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Recent Grade 2 winner but even so she probably has no more than place aspirations
11	Karamoja Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:W P Mullins	J:Jack Kennedy T:W P Mullins	158	h	23-3P1	125	123	86	28d	—	—	+18	19.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Entitled to win her latest maiden but not this on any of her form
8	Jane Eire Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Sean Bowen T:Henry De Bromhead	158	ht	421	123	122	86	130d	—	—	+31	32.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Form is down the pecking order in this company and she's been off since early November
18	Metkayina Chestnut J:Jonathan Burke T:Noel Williams	J:Jonathan Burke T:Noel Williams	158	—	4-2152	117	126	113	40d	—	—	+15	17.2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Capable mare but it's hard to envisage her making an impact at this level
23	Venusienne Brown J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	158	—	2-	-	124	-	541d	—	—	+4	5.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Runner-up in sole French start; this asks a huge question of her after so long out
16	Magic McColgan Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	158	—	12-021	121	121	96	59d	—	—	+17	18.1	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Won her maiden at Punchestown despite jumping markedly left at the last two flights
13	Kimi De Mai Grey J:Sean O'Keeffe T:W P Mullins	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:W P Mullins	158	ht	21-113	-	121	65	61d	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Triple bumper winner in France but was 16l behind Sixandahalf at Fairyhouse
22	Tour Ovalie Bay J:Isabel Williams T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams T:Evan Williams	158	—	311191	118	128	117	37d	—	—	+36	37.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Multiple winner but she makes very limited appeal on this promotion to Graded level
19	Mystical Goddess Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	158	t	C1-164	126	127	113	47d	—	—	+18	19.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Beaten about 10l in her two Grade 3s, latterly behind Aurora Vega; opposable
4	Brendas Asking Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	158	—	-P1325	116	129	115	54d	—	—	+24	24.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Only 1-9 over hurdles and limitations were ruthlessly exposed at this level two months ago
15	Lagertha Bay J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Katy Price	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Katy Price	158	—	64-971	117	114	70	44d	—	—	+16	16.9	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Won easily at Chepstow last time but unlikely to be following up in this company
14	Kitty Foyle Bay J:Harry Reed T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Harry Reed T:Daisy Hitchins	158	—	1253	120	130	104	—	—	—	+26	26.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Useful winning hurdler but Jubilee Alpha has her number on their previous clashes
20	Queenie St Clair Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:E Sheehy	J:Sean Flanagan T:E Sheehy	158	—	7685	110	119	70	26d	—	—	+15	15.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Only 1-18 on the Flat and no closer than 16l in four races over hurdles; out of her depth
5	Disco Dancer b/br J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	158	t	54F145	123	131	108	21d	—	—	—	22.8	—	—
Dual winning hurdler but now exposed and she's very much up against it

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sixandahalf	5/2	11/4	5/2	9/4	85/40
Galileo Dame	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Jubilee Alpha	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Aurora Vega	7/1	8/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Karoline Banbou	8/1	9/1	15/2	15/2	9/1
Maughreen	11/1	12/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Diva Luna	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Bluey	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Air Of Entitlement	25/1	25/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Just A Rose	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Hollygrove Cha Cha	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Karamoja	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Jane Eire	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Metkayina	66/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Venusienne	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Magic McColgan	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Kimi De Mai	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1
Tour Ovalie	150/1	150/1	125/1	80/1	100/1
Mystical Goddess	150/1	150/1	125/1	100/1	100/1
Brendas Asking	200/1	150/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Lagertha	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Kitty Foyle	250/1	200/1	250/1	200/1	200/1
Queenie St Clair	250/1	300/1	300/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aurora Vega

45.5

OR: 22.8 Form: 19.9 Odds: 2.9

8/1

2nd

Tour Ovalie

37.2

OR: 17 Form: 20 Odds: 0.2

150/1

3rd

Galileo Dame

35.3

OR: 21.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

4/1

Jane Eire

32.1

OR: 18.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Bluey

27.2

OR: 18.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Hollygrove Cha Cha

OR: 19.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Kitty Foyle

26.2

OR: 17.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Brendas Asking

24.3

OR: 16.5 Form: 7.7 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Karoline Banbou

23.2

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Disco Dancer

22.8

OR: 18.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0

—

Jubilee Alpha

22.6

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Mystical Goddess

19.2

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Maughreen

19.1

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Karamoja

19.1

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Diva Luna

18.9

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Magic McColgan

18.1

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Just A Rose

17.9

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Metkayina

17.2

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Lagertha

16.9

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Queenie St Clair

15.1

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Sixandahalf

11.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.6

11/4

Venusienne

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Air Of Entitlement

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Kimi De Mai

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aurora Vega	141	142	118
Galileo Dame	137	145	84
Karoline Banbou	132	137	105
Jubilee Alpha	128	138	108
Hollygrove Cha Cha	127	131	120
Mystical Goddess	126	127	113
Karamoja	125	123	86
Bluey	124	135	122
Jane Eire	123	122	86
Disco Dancer	123	131	108
Magic McColgan	121	121	96
Diva Luna	120	128	118
Kitty Foyle	120	130	104
Tour Ovalie	118	128	117
Metkayina	117	126	113
Lagertha	117	114	70
Brendas Asking	116	129	115
Queenie St Clair	110	119	70
Sixandahalf	—	143	82
Maughreen	—	130	62
Air Of Entitlement	—	129	49
Just A Rose	—	135	103
Venusienne	—	124	—
Kimi De Mai	—	121	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Disco Dancer	21d ago	Fit
Bluey	23d ago	Fit
Queenie St Clair	26d ago	Fit
Hollygrove Cha Cha	28d ago	Fit
Karamoja	28d ago	Fit
Karoline Banbou	36d ago	Fit
Tour Ovalie	37d ago	Fit
Galileo Dame	40d ago	Fit
Metkayina	40d ago	Fit
Lagertha	44d ago	Fit
Maughreen	45d ago	Fit
Aurora Vega	47d ago	Fresh
Mystical Goddess	47d ago	Fresh
Diva Luna	48d ago	Fresh
Jubilee Alpha	53d ago	Fresh
Just A Rose	54d ago	Fresh
Brendas Asking	54d ago	Fresh
Magic McColgan	59d ago	Fresh
Sixandahalf	61d ago	Fresh
Kimi De Mai	61d ago	Fresh
Air Of Entitlement	77d ago	Fresh
Jane Eire	130d ago	Long break
Venusienne	541d ago	Long break
Kitty Foyle	—	—