Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:52

Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2025-03-19

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,972

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (3)	Until Dawn Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	123	h	05-411	67	86	81	41d	—	—	-14	12.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Rapidly improving sprinter; up 7lb in a stronger race but may not have reached her ceiling
8 (4)	Early Release Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	120	—	971-33	64	86	69	14d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-10	9.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Three good runs for his new stable; still well treated but so are a few in here
2 (5)	Captain Kinsella Chestnut J:Sam Feilden(5) T:John Gallagher	J:Sam Feilden(5) T:John Gallagher	135	—	00311-	79	87	75	89d	—	—	+14	30.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
2-2 on Tapeta, showing good speed to win 5f novices at Newcastle and here; handicap debut
4 (2)	Havana Gila Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	133	—	95334-	77	85	-	154d	—	—	+2	13.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Reliable 2yo; not fully exposed and she's not discounted after a five-month break
5 (7)	Blinky Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	133	p	63-821	77	84	72	30d	—	—	+1	8.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Conditions fine and comes here on the back of a winning stable debut last month; contender
1 (8)	Rock Hunter Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Lemos De Souza	J:Callum Shepherd T:Lemos De Souza	135	—	03848-	79	86	58	118d	—	—	+4	9.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Came to hand early last year but progress stalled with racing; vulnerable to improvers
3 (1)	Invincible Crown Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	—	23021-	78	84	66	163d	—	—	+18	24.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Well backed when winning cosily at Wolverhampton in October; sold for 22,000gns since
7 (6)	Thurso Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	122	—	778-77	66	82	61	50d	—	—	0	5.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Yet to finish better than 7th in five starts; hopes rest on the drop to 5f sparking extra

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Until Dawn	11/4	2/1	11/4
Early Release	10/3	10/3	10/3
Captain Kinsella	7/2	4/1	7/2
Havana Gila	7/1	8/1	13/2
Blinky	10/1	12/1	9/1
Rock Hunter	12/1	12/1	12/1
Invincible Crown	12/1	11/1	12/1
Thurso	16/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Captain Kinsella

30.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Invincible Crown

24.1

OR: 7 Form: 15.4 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

Havana Gila

13.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Until Dawn

12.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

Rock Hunter

9.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Early Release

9.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Blinky

8.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Thurso

5.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Captain Kinsella	79	87	75
Rock Hunter	79	86	58
Invincible Crown	78	84	66
Havana Gila	77	85	—
Blinky	77	84	72
Until Dawn	67	86	81
Thurso	66	82	61
Early Release	64	86	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Early Release	14d ago	Fit
Blinky	30d ago	Fit
Until Dawn	41d ago	Fit
Thurso	50d ago	Fresh
Captain Kinsella	89d ago	Fresh
Rock Hunter	118d ago	Long break
Havana Gila	154d ago	Long break
Invincible Crown	163d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.