Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:25

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-03-21

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (12)	Michael Scofield Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Kieran Shoemark T:M D O'Callaghan	132	—	1	-	81	38	20d	—	—	-14	21.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Ready win from the front over C&D on debut 3 weeks ago; big player despite draw/penalty
3 (6)	Gunship Brown J:Oisin Murphy T:James Ferguson	J:Oisin Murphy T:James Ferguson	132	t	1-	-	77	50	108d	—	—	-6	16.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Just clung on at Newcastle on debut in December (1m); has big-race entries; respected
10 (3)	Prepare To Strike Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
First foal of a Group 2 winner for the owner; market to guide on debut
6 (1)	Hawaiian King Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Charles Hills	J:Rossa Ryan T:Charles Hills	125	—	5-	-	64	48	158d	—	—	-7	2.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Green but clear promise in one run as a 2yo; Rossa Ryan booked for return; unexposed
7 (2)	Karthon Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	125	—	5-	-	64	-	159d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Well held on heavy ground in one 2yo run; can do better this year but maybe over further
12 (8)	Zarakerjack Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	125	—	7	-	60	28	37d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Last month's debut not without hope but a big step forward is needed to win here
2 (11)	Norflondonforever Chestnut J:Nicola Currie T:Faye Bramley	J:Nicola Currie T:Faye Bramley	142	—	0-3	-	69	34	69d	—	—	+1	3.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Promising 3rd at Wolverhampton ten weeks ago; first runner for owner/trainer
11 (7)	Western Ruler Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	125	—	7	-	46	12	21d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Green and never in the hunt on his 7f debut here three weeks ago; stable also runs Karthon
5 (4)	Deep Water Bay Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	125	—	8	-	60	22	6d	—	—	-1	0.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Never in the hunt over C&D on last week's debut (40-1); longer-term prospect
1 (10)	Admiral Fitz Bay J:George Downing T:Harriet Dickin	J:George Downing T:Harriet Dickin	142	—	66	-	46	27	4d	—	—	0	0.1	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Poor hurdler and neither Flat run suggests he's the answer here
NR (9)	Lights Go Down Chestnut J:TBC T:Michael & David Easterby	J: T:Michael & David Easterby	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Dam an unraced sister to a Group 3 winner in Australia; useful standard to aim at on debut
NR (5)	Oursin Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Charles Hills	J:NON-RUNNER T:Charles Hills	125	—	2-	-	84	66	107d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Promising debut at Kempton (1m) in December, finishing strongly; more to come; yard run 2

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Michael Scofield	11/8	13/8	6/4	11/8	5/4
Gunship	5/2	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Prepare To Strike	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Hawaiian King	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Karthon	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Zarakerjack	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Norflondonforever	40/1	40/1	40/1	25/1	25/1
Western Ruler	100/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	100/1
Deep Water Bay	150/1	100/1	100/1	40/1	40/1
Admiral Fitz	500/1	400/1	500/1	200/1	200/1
Lights Go Down	-	-	-	-	-
Oursin	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Michael Scofield

21.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Gunship

16.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 6.9

11/4

3rd

Oursin

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Prepare To Strike

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Norflondonforever

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Karthon

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Hawaiian King

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Zarakerjack

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Deep Water Bay

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Western Ruler

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Admiral Fitz

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Lights Go Down

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Michael Scofield	—	81	38
Gunship	—	77	50
Prepare To Strike	—	—	—
Hawaiian King	—	64	48
Karthon	—	64	—
Zarakerjack	—	60	28
Norflondonforever	—	69	34
Western Ruler	—	46	12
Deep Water Bay	—	60	22
Admiral Fitz	—	46	27
Lights Go Down	—	—	—
Oursin	—	84	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Admiral Fitz	4d ago	Quick return
Deep Water Bay	6d ago	Quick return
Michael Scofield	20d ago	Fit
Western Ruler	21d ago	Fit
Zarakerjack	37d ago	Fit
Norflondonforever	69d ago	Fresh
Oursin	107d ago	Long break
Gunship	108d ago	Long break
Hawaiian King	158d ago	Long break
Karthon	159d ago	Long break
Prepare To Strike	—	—
Lights Go Down	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.