Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places/British EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

15:50

Date 2025-03-29

Distance 1m

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £15,462

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Bermuda Longtail Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	132	—	21-	-	94	84	150d	—	—	-10	24.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
2nd and 1st in novice events here (6f/7f); shapes as if 1m will help with further progress
6 (5)	Rhapsody Chestnut J:William Buick T:William Haggas	J:William Buick T:William Haggas	132	—	1-	-	91	-	173d	—	—	-2	15	1.00/1	4/1 20%
14-1 for Yarmouth novice (1m, good to soft) in October but passed all of her eight rivals
3 (1)	Ellaria Sand Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Ollie Sangster	J:Jamie Spencer T:Ollie Sangster	132	—	23951-	96	105	-	154d	—	—	+12	27.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
7 runs, has best form in this thanks to Newbury Listed win (7f, heavy; 14-1) final start
1 (6)	American Gal Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	135	—	11-	85	91	61	134d	—	—	+18	28.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Knuckled down well to finish well on top in 2 AW novice events at about 1m, including here
4 (7)	Glittering Surf Bay J:David Probert T:Owen Burrows	J:David Probert T:Owen Burrows	132	—	1-	-	93	55	101d	—	—	+2	13.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
11-8 favourite for C&D maiden (7 ran) in December and made virtually all, hugely on top
5 (3)	Qarlyga Chestnut J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	132	—	61-	-	94	63	126d	—	—	+4	12.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Newcastle win (7f, Tapeta) on second start; similar form to most of these and potential
7 (4)	Elizabeth Bay Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	45-	-	85	-	234d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Two 6f races; the only maiden in this, with work to do, but she should improve this term

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bermuda Longtail	6/4	13/8	7/4	6/4	13/8
Rhapsody	7/2	4/1	18/5	7/2	4/1
Ellaria Sand	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
American Gal	15/2	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Glittering Surf	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Qarlyga	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Elizabeth Bay	33/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

American Gal

28.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 17 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Ellaria Sand

27.8

OR: 11.5 Form: 11.9 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Bermuda Longtail

24.1

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 10.6

7/4

Rhapsody

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

4/1

Glittering Surf

13.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Qarlyga

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Elizabeth Bay

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ellaria Sand	96	105	—
American Gal	85	91	61
Bermuda Longtail	—	94	84
Rhapsody	—	91	—
Glittering Surf	—	93	55
Qarlyga	—	94	63
Elizabeth Bay	—	85	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Glittering Surf	101d ago	Long break
Qarlyga	126d ago	Long break
American Gal	134d ago	Long break
Bermuda Longtail	150d ago	Long break
Ellaria Sand	154d ago	Long break
Rhapsody	173d ago	Long break
Elizabeth Bay	234d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.