JW4X4 Northallerton Handicap (GBBPlus Race) – Thirsk

Thirsk

18:10

JW4X4 Northallerton Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Date 2025-04-12

Distance 1m4f8y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (6)	Majestic Warrior Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	135	—	141/	89	101	-	698d	—	—	+6	32.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Still an entire; unexposed 5yo whose only defeat came in a good novice at Newmarket
4 (3)	Baltic Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Harry Charlton	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Harry Charlton	131	p	11182-	85	101	36	163d	—	—	+13	28.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
5-10; perhaps high in the weights as when second at Southwell in October only four ran
6 (7)	Knightswood Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	57409-	82	106	86	175d	—	—	-2	12	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Exposed but on a perfectly good mark and 1m4f on good ground is probably ideal
3 (5)	Arrange Grey J:David Nolan T:Martin Todhunter	J:David Nolan T:Martin Todhunter	132	—	49212-	86	98	84	182d	—	—	+15	26.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Effective at this trip but signed off last season with good runs over 1m6f/2m
5 (1)	Lady La Fay Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	130	—	42413-	84	99	79	169d	—	—	+12	23.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Only 1-6 but the novice win was at this trip; ground was heavy on handicap debut
7 (9)	Forza Orta Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Ryan	J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	66000-	82	102	74	231d	—	—	+1	10.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Drew a blank last year and likely to be returning to further sooner rather than later
2 (8)	Ensured Chestnut J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	134	v	11006-	88	101	67	189d	—	—	+10	16.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won two 1m4f turf handicaps last year before his form tapered away
8 (4)	Saratoga Gold Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Kevin Frost	J:Joanna Mason T:Kevin Frost	122	p	32464-	76	102	96	163d	—	—	+6	9.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Lacks a recent run and always needs a strong pace to chase
9 (2)	Masekela Bay J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	118	—	30558-	72	101	83	210d	—	—	+4	6.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Former Listed winner but hasn't threatened in six races for Tim Easterby

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Majestic Warrior	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	85/40
Baltic	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Knightswood	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Arrange	7/1	11/2	13/2	6/1	6/1
Lady La Fay	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Forza Orta	9/1	8/1	17/2	15/2	15/2
Ensured	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Saratoga Gold	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Masekela	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Majestic Warrior

32.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 15 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Baltic

28.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 15 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Arrange

26.8

OR: 9 Form: 14.5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Lady La Fay

23.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Ensured

16.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Knightswood

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Forza Orta

10.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Saratoga Gold

9.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Masekela

6.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Majestic Warrior	89	101	—
Ensured	88	101	67
Arrange	86	98	84
Baltic	85	101	36
Lady La Fay	84	99	79
Knightswood	82	106	86
Forza Orta	82	102	74
Saratoga Gold	76	102	96
Masekela	72	101	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baltic	163d ago	Long break
Saratoga Gold	163d ago	Long break
Lady La Fay	169d ago	Long break
Knightswood	175d ago	Long break
Arrange	182d ago	Long break
Ensured	189d ago	Long break
Masekela	210d ago	Long break
Forza Orta	231d ago	Long break
Majestic Warrior	698d ago	Long break