Play At The Races Stableduel Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Southwell

17:00

Date 2025-04-15

Distance 3m60y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,591

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Dublin To Milan Bay J:Ned Fox T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	J:Ned Fox T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	162	—	U77002	91	99	76	17d	—	—	0	21.9	11/4 27%
Well beaten on handicap debut in January but last month's Stratford second was much better
1	Ballyvaughan Bay Bay J:Lewis Stones T:D J Jeffreys	J:Lewis Stones T:D J Jeffreys	168	—	-61554	97	102	83	24d	—	—	+4	19.2	9/2 18%
C&D winner off 2lb lower last spring and returned from break with pleasing run last month
2	Heaven Smart Bay J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	166	tb	436P4P	95	104	86	54d	—	—	+1	15.3	5/1 17%
Out of form over hurdles and fences since the autumn; needs to stop the rot
8	Jumble Jury Grey J:Freddie Gingell T:Neil King	J:Freddie Gingell T:Neil King	148	—	5-0P43	77	89	70	19d	—	—	-3	10.8	11/2 15%
No threat to front pair when third on handicap debut here; moves up from 2m4f today
3	Kankin Chestnut J:Luke Scott T:Alex Hales	J:Luke Scott T:Alex Hales	165	—	277F44	94	96	67	29d	—	—	+2	14.6	13/2 13%
Kept on from the rear for never-dangerous fourth on last month's hurdling return (2m5f)
5	Marengo Bay Bay J:Freddie Gordon(3) T:Nicky Henderson	J:Freddie Gordon(3) T:Nicky Henderson	157	p	7PP	86	98	52	53d	—	—	+1	12.3	15/2 12%
Showed little in his qualifying races but represents a top stable and is very unexposed
6	Jewel Eyed Judy Grey J:James Turner(3) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:James Turner(3) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	151	—	08-65P	80	92	58	92d	—	—	+4	8.9	18/1 5%
Made underwhelming start to handicap career over 2m5f; tries a new trip today
7	East Eagle Bay J:Aaron Anderson T:Mike Sowersby	J:Aaron Anderson T:Mike Sowersby	149	t	S2PP5P	78	98	66	26d	—	—	+4	8.1	33/1 3%
Second on handicap debut in October but form has nosedived; had wind op last month
9	Top Drawer Bay J:Tom Buckley T:Tracey Leeson	J:Tom Buckley T:Tracey Leeson	142	—	6/F9-0	71	-	32	17d	—	—	+4	5.6	100/1 1%
0-20 over hurdles; 5lb wrong here and has too much to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dublin To Milan	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Ballyvaughan Bay	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Heaven Smart	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1
Jumble Jury	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Kankin	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	5/1
Marengo Bay	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Jewel Eyed Judy	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	14/1
East Eagle	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1	22/1
Top Drawer	100/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dublin To Milan

21.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Ballyvaughan Bay

19.2

OR: 11.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Heaven Smart

15.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Kankin

14.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Marengo Bay

12.3

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Jumble Jury

10.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Jewel Eyed Judy

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

East Eagle

8.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Top Drawer

5.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ballyvaughan Bay	97	102	83
Heaven Smart	95	104	86
Kankin	94	96	67
Dublin To Milan	91	99	76
Marengo Bay	86	98	52
Jewel Eyed Judy	80	92	58
East Eagle	78	98	66
Jumble Jury	77	89	70
Top Drawer	71	—	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dublin To Milan	17d ago	Fit
Top Drawer	17d ago	Fit
Jumble Jury	19d ago	Fit
Ballyvaughan Bay	24d ago	Fit
East Eagle	26d ago	Fit
Kankin	29d ago	Fit
Marengo Bay	53d ago	Fresh
Heaven Smart	54d ago	Fresh
Jewel Eyed Judy	92d ago	Long break