Happy Birthday Lucia Stevens Novices' Handicap Chase – Newton Abbot

Newton Abbot

15:18

Happy Birthday Lucia Stevens Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2025-05-28

Distance 2m4f216y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £4,285

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Daring Plan Bay J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	167	—	P456-3	85	92	87	13d	—	—	-13	23.2	13/8 38%
First run after wind surgery when rallying for a close third at Fontwell 13 days ago
5	Radharc Na Slaine Bay J:Conor Ring T:David Rees	J:Conor Ring T:David Rees	152	t	2FP3-5	70	91	71	22d	—	—	-6	9.4	5/1 17%
Competitive form over fences (2m5f-3m1f) last year; might be sharper for recent outing
4	Tellairsue Chestnut J:Caoilin Quinn T:David Bridgwater	J:Caoilin Quinn T:David Bridgwater	155	p	4P2V-3	73	-	-	20d	—	—	-1	12.8	5/1 17%
Capable hurdler but rarely impresses with his jumping and this is his chase debut
1	Illogical Logic Chestnut J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	168	p	5234P-	86	89	82	100d	—	—	+1	14.1	6/1 14%
Maiden but has shown enough to be of interest and last run was too bad to be true
3	Ryder's Rock Bay J:Freddie Gingell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Freddie Gingell T:Joe Tizzard	165	t	53U4P-	83	-	-	153d	—	—	0	11.6	15/2 12%
Not bred for fences but of interest on peak hurdling form; had wind surgery
6	Sevenofus Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Carroll Gray	J:Micheal Nolan T:Carroll Gray	152	tp	62525-	70	90	60	35d	—	—	+5	12.1	11/1 8%
Twice placed over fences (0-7) and twice runner-up over hurdles this year
7	Blue Ribbon Bay J:David Noonan T:Ryan Chapman	J:David Noonan T:Ryan Chapman	151	p	P/64-4	69	90	78	21d	—	—	+1	6.4	16/1 6%
Winning hurdler; no wins in 11 over fences and hard to make a compelling case

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Daring Plan	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	13/8
Radharc Na Slaine	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Tellairsue	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Illogical Logic	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Ryder's Rock	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1
Sevenofus	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Blue Ribbon	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Daring Plan

23.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 3 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Illogical Logic

14.1

OR: 9 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Tellairsue

12.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

5/1

Sevenofus

12.1

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ryder's Rock

11.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Radharc Na Slaine

9.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Blue Ribbon

6.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Illogical Logic	86	89	82
Daring Plan	85	92	87
Ryder's Rock	83	—	—
Tellairsue	73	—	—
Radharc Na Slaine	70	91	71
Sevenofus	70	90	60
Blue Ribbon	69	90	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Daring Plan	13d ago	Quick return
Tellairsue	20d ago	Fit
Blue Ribbon	21d ago	Fit
Radharc Na Slaine	22d ago	Fit
Sevenofus	35d ago	Fit
Illogical Logic	100d ago	Long break
Ryder's Rock	153d ago	Long break