Take The Lead With X3 Consulting Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:10

Take The Lead With X3 Consulting Handicap

Date 2025-06-27

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (14)	King Of The Jungle Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	353436	56	69	64	20d	—	—	-8	9.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
No joy in visor latest but was in good form before that; dangerous with headgear removed
9 (12)	Miss Rainbow Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Tracy Waggott	J:William Pyle(3) T:Tracy Waggott	131	v	7-6911	54	73	41	17d	—	—	-10	5.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won with visor added in last two starts and she's a big player in hat-trick bid
11 (8)	Newyorkstateofmind Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	130	p	925673	53	72	-	8d	—	—	-5	8.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Bounced back with near-miss at Wetherby last week and he's 2lb lower here; interesting
6 (13)	Clipsham La Habana Grey J:Rowan Scott T:Alice Haynes	J:Rowan Scott T:Alice Haynes	134	—	-79460	57	70	70	28d	—	—	-7	5.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Had difficult track position at Chepstow latest but he needs a big turnaround back in trip
8 (6)	Pockley Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:Linda Perratt	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Linda Perratt	132	b	124657	55	71	60	8d	—	—	-6	5.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Three wins here in February/March and he looks interesting on this return to AW
10 (3)	Gis A Sub Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	130	p	7-3096	53	72	70	20d	—	—	-5	3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Just two wins from 35 starts and he's hard to predict; others preferred
4 (1)	The Real McKay Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	135	—	447546	58	68	49	25d	—	—	-3	3.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
On dangerous mark but he's not threatened for new yard this season; down the list
3 (9)	Cuban Storm Grey J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	135	b	109-06	58	71	-	39d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has struggled since his Redcar win last May and has lots to prove back on AW
2 (11)	Highjacked Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:John Davies	J:Sean Kirrane T:John Davies	135	—	5237-8	58	70	-	79d	—	—	-2	3.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Just one win since 2021 and his AW record is 0-12; others preferred
14 (10)	Poet Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	126	—	7-5187	49	70	63	15d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Poor on turf last twice but that was after a C&D win; not ruled out back on Tapeta
13 (5)	Black Cab Brown J:Ben Robinson T:Alison Hamilton	J:Ben Robinson T:Alison Hamilton	127	t	447516	50	69	57	42d	—	—	+4	8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won at Wolverhampton in April but was last of six on stable debut at Hamilton last month
1 (4)	Crafty Spirit Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	135	p	382-97	58	73	53	25d	—	—	0	2.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Failed to beat a rival in two runs for new yard and needs a major revival back on AW
12 (2)	Free Pic Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	J:Cam Hardie T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	127	—	7607	50	66	58	15d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Unexposed 4yo but she needs a transformation back up in trip
NR (7)	Nazca Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	134	—	-96870	57	66	41	69d	—	—	—	1.8	—	—
Little to shout about in the last 12 months and he remains opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
King Of The Jungle	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Miss Rainbow	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	4/1
Newyorkstateofmind	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Clipsham La Habana	11/2	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2
Pockley	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	11/2
Gis A Sub	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2
The Real McKay	10/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Cuban Storm	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Highjacked	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Poet	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1
Black Cab	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Crafty Spirit	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Free Pic	100/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	66/1
Nazca	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

King Of The Jungle

9.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Newyorkstateofmind

8.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 4 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Black Cab

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1

28/1

Pockley

5.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Miss Rainbow

5.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Clipsham La Habana

5.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

The Real McKay

3.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Cuban Storm

3.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Highjacked

3.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Gis A Sub

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Crafty Spirit

2.8

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Nazca

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Poet

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Free Pic

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Real McKay	58	68	49
Cuban Storm	58	71	—
Highjacked	58	70	—
Crafty Spirit	58	73	53
Clipsham La Habana	57	70	70
Nazca	57	66	41
King Of The Jungle	56	69	64
Pockley	55	71	60
Miss Rainbow	54	73	41
Newyorkstateofmind	53	72	—
Gis A Sub	53	72	70
Black Cab	50	69	57
Free Pic	50	66	58
Poet	49	70	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Newyorkstateofmind	8d ago	Quick return
Pockley	8d ago	Quick return
Poet	15d ago	Fit
Free Pic	15d ago	Fit
Miss Rainbow	17d ago	Fit
King Of The Jungle	20d ago	Fit
Gis A Sub	20d ago	Fit
The Real McKay	25d ago	Fit
Crafty Spirit	25d ago	Fit
Clipsham La Habana	28d ago	Fit
Cuban Storm	39d ago	Fit
Black Cab	42d ago	Fit
Nazca	69d ago	Fresh
Highjacked	79d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.