Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cairn Rouge Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies)

Killarney

18:50

Date 2025-07-16

Distance 1m40y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €29,500

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (13)	Red Letter Grey J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	—	214-72	107	119	99	39d	—	—	-21	32.9	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Beaten under 3l in 1,000 Guineas and close second in Navan Listed; looks the one to beat
4 (8)	Fiery Lucy Bay J:Robert Whearty T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Robert Whearty T:Gavin Cromwell	128	—	24-234	100	116	87	17d	—	—	+4	15.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Smart form last two starts in Listed company; every chance
13 (9)	Wannabe Royal Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	-22175	92	110	91	39d	—	—	+13	20.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Plenty to find on recent Navan Listed run; soft ground a positive
3 (3)	Ecstatic Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	128	—	5-2758	96	109	97	27d	—	—	+6	13.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
1m4f seemed beyond her in Ribblesdale and now reverts to 1m; claims
1 (2)	And So To Bed Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	t	82-023	92	107	100	21d	—	—	+6	12.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Back in trip so rain would suit; needs to improve to play major role
10 (6)	Shiota Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Ben Coen T:Joseph G Murphy	128	—	3-4110	93	107	97	17d	—	—	+8	14.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Didn't get home over 1m1f latest; upped in class here and more needed
7 (1)	Orchidaceae Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:A Oliver	J:Andrew Slattery T:A Oliver	128	—	11-601	96	110	87	40d	—	—	+8	12.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Fairyhouse handicap winner with good chance of staying this 1m so not one to rule out
2 (11)	Bella Isabella Grey J:Leigh Roche T:D K Weld	J:Leigh Roche T:D K Weld	128	—	0-2136	94	104	82	17d	—	—	+7	12.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Tries 1m again and needs to improve for it
11 (7)	Sweet Chariot Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:A P O'Brien	J:Ronan Whelan T:A P O'Brien	128	b	51-257	91	106	75	17d	—	—	+7	11.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Superbly-bred filly but will do well to nick some black type here
12 (10)	Tamam Desert Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:E J O'Neill	J:Seamie Heffernan T:E J O'Neill	128	p	01-50	89	98	65	52d	—	—	+9	10.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Cheekpieces tried and any rain would suit but appears out of her depth
NR (4)	Mojave River b/br J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	t	166-50	98	107	68	26d	—	—	—	12	—	—
Found a bit wanting in stakes company to-date so needs to find more
NR (5)	Nancy J Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	128	p	5-8558	90	101	89	26d	—	—	—	10	—	—
0-6 since debut Gowran maiden win last August, highly tried on occasions; hard to fancy
NR (12)	Rion Rubette Bay J:Wayne Hassett T:Michael Butler	J:Wayne Hassett T:Michael Butler	128	—	888212	86	104	86	2d	—	—	—	23.5	—	—
Limerick winner ran well over C&D on Monday on similar ground; stiffer task here

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Red Letter	4/6	8/11	8/11
Fiery Lucy	6/1	13/2	6/1
Wannabe Royal	10/1	9/1	10/1
Ecstatic	11/1	17/2	11/1
And So To Bed	12/1	12/1	12/1
Shiota	16/1	16/1	14/1
Orchidaceae	18/1	20/1	18/1
Bella Isabella	20/1	20/1	18/1
Sweet Chariot	20/1	18/1	18/1
Tamam Desert	66/1	66/1	50/1
Mojave River	-	-	-
Nancy J	-	-	-
Rion Rubette	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Red Letter

32.9

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 18.7

8/11

2nd

Rion Rubette

23.5

OR: 9 Form: 14.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Wannabe Royal

20.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Fiery Lucy

15.8

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Shiota

14.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ecstatic

13.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Orchidaceae

12.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Bella Isabella

12.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

And So To Bed

12.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Mojave River

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sweet Chariot

11.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Tamam Desert

10.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Nancy J

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Red Letter	107	119	99
Fiery Lucy	100	116	87
Mojave River	98	107	68
Ecstatic	96	109	97
Orchidaceae	96	110	87
Bella Isabella	94	104	82
Shiota	93	107	97
Wannabe Royal	92	110	91
And So To Bed	92	107	100
Sweet Chariot	91	106	75
Nancy J	90	101	89
Tamam Desert	89	98	65
Rion Rubette	86	104	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rion Rubette	2d ago	Quick return
Fiery Lucy	17d ago	Fit
Shiota	17d ago	Fit
Bella Isabella	17d ago	Fit
Sweet Chariot	17d ago	Fit
And So To Bed	21d ago	Fit
Mojave River	26d ago	Fit
Nancy J	26d ago	Fit
Ecstatic	27d ago	Fit
Red Letter	39d ago	Fit
Wannabe Royal	39d ago	Fit
Orchidaceae	40d ago	Fit
Tamam Desert	52d ago	Fresh