Linda Blackburn Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:50

Linda Blackburn Handicap

Date 2025-07-26

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 44.08s (slow by 7.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Eva Rosie (GB) Jason Hart · Stella Barclay	7/1	Won
2nd	Mr Heinz (GB) Luke Morris · Simon Whitaker	100/30F	3.25
3rd	Calcutta Dream (IRE) Lewis Chalkley · Michael & David Easterby	14/1	1.25
4th	Pop Favorite (GB) Joey Haynes · Scott Dixon	14/1	0.3
5th	Madame Plaintiff (IRE) Shay Farmer · Alan Brown	17/2	.75
6th	Top Gun Tina (GB) William Pyle · David Thompson	4/1	.75
7th	Greenlightforgo (IRE) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	4/1	0.3
8th	Kalganov (FR) Jack Mitchell · Michael Dods	11/2	1.25
9th	Timetobenice (GB) Andrew Elliott · David Thompson	28/1	.5
10th	Royal Justice (IRE) Jay Mackay · Scott Dixon	50/1	.75
11th	Showmethewayhome (IRE) Harry Russell · Ewan Whillans	80/1	1.75
12th	Approachwitcaution (IRE) Amie Waugh · Simon Waugh	80/1	7

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Greenlightforgo Brown J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	132	—	4-8851	52	73	59	30d	—	—	-14	6.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Sprung back to life off his reduced mark to beat 13 rivals over C&D a month ago
6 (8)	Top Gun Tina Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:David Thompson	J:William Pyle(3) T:David Thompson	132	—	742517	52	67	-	14d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	-3	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won well at Carlisle (1m; 9-4 favourite) and a slow start did for her at Hamilton
9 (12)	Mr Heinz Bay J:Luke Morris T:Simon Whitaker	J:Luke Morris T:Simon Whitaker	126	b	353572	46	69	39	26d	—	—	-5	10.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Both wins over C&D so has to be considered after his return to form at Pontefract
5 (9)	Kalganov Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Michael Dods	J:Jack Mitchell T:Michael Dods	132	tp	242356	52	69	-	20d	—	—	-9	8.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Running well until last time; possibilities with cheekpieces replacing a visor
1 (2)	Eva Rosie Bay J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	135	p	521166	55	66	53	29d	—	—	+2	13.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won over 1m2f here in March and followed up over further at Southwell; form dipped since
2 (5)	Madame Plaintiff br/gr J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Alan Brown	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Alan Brown	135	p	7-5504	55	67	-	19d	—	—	-5	3.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Didn't run too badly on previous visit here and was close up at Ayr last time
10 (11)	Calcutta Dream Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	126	b	497630	46	71	58	11d	—	—	-3	4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Six-time winner but unreliable in handicaps and classified races; not the percentage call
8 (1)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	127	b	484145	47	66	55	30d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	6.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has won plenty over C&D and wasn't beaten all that far back from a break last month
3 (6)	Timetobenice Bay J:Andrew Elliott T:David Thompson	J:Andrew Elliott T:David Thompson	133	b	746809	53	65	55	40d	—	—	-2	1.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Strike-rate of 1-18; down the field in three runs for this yard and tries blinkers
12 (10)	Royal Justice Bay J:Jay Mackay(7) T:Scott Dixon	J:Jay Mackay(7) T:Scott Dixon	126	h	700669	46	66	43	37d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
12-race maiden who appears to be going nowhere at the minute; opposable
11 (7)	Showmethewayhome Bay J:Harry Russell T:Ewan Whillans	J:Harry Russell T:Ewan Whillans	126	t	262-09	46	65	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
4yo maiden who has been tailed off in both her races this season; now tongue tied
7 (4)	Approachwitcaution Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Simon Waugh	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Simon Waugh	130	p	78-7	50	61	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Too much to prove on handicap debut with cheekpieces added

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Greenlightforgo	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Top Gun Tina	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mr Heinz	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Kalganov	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Eva Rosie	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1
Madame Plaintiff	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2
Calcutta Dream	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Pop Favorite	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Timetobenice	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Royal Justice	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Showmethewayhome	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Approachwitcaution	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Top Gun Tina

OR: 0.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Eva Rosie

13.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 9 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Mr Heinz

10.3

OR: 0 Form: 5.9 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Kalganov

8.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5

5/1

Greenlightforgo

6.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Pop Favorite

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Calcutta Dream

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Madame Plaintiff

3.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Timetobenice

1.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Royal Justice

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Showmethewayhome

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Approachwitcaution

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eva Rosie	55	66	53
Madame Plaintiff	55	67	—
Timetobenice	53	65	55
Greenlightforgo	52	73	59
Top Gun Tina	52	67	—
Kalganov	52	69	—
Approachwitcaution	50	61	—
Pop Favorite	47	66	55
Mr Heinz	46	69	39
Calcutta Dream	46	71	58
Royal Justice	46	66	43
Showmethewayhome	46	65	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Calcutta Dream	11d ago	Quick return
Approachwitcaution	11d ago	Quick return
Top Gun Tina	14d ago	Fit
Madame Plaintiff	19d ago	Fit
Kalganov	20d ago	Fit
Showmethewayhome	20d ago	Fit
Mr Heinz	26d ago	Fit
Eva Rosie	29d ago	Fit
Greenlightforgo	30d ago	Fit
Pop Favorite	30d ago	Fit
Royal Justice	37d ago	Fit
Timetobenice	40d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.