Outcider Handicap (GBBplus Race) – Ayr

Ayr

16:05

Outcider Handicap (GBBplus Race)

Date 2025-07-28

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,154

Winning Time 2m 10.24s (slow by 5.24s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Crown Of Oaks (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	EvensF	Won
2nd	Hornsea Bay (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	100/30	.75
3rd	Sure And Stedfast (IRE) Aiden Brookes · Ewan Whillans	18/1	3.5
4th	Born Ruler (GB) Cam Hardie · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	11/1	0.3
5th	Austrian Theory (IRE) Warren Fentiman · Tim Easterby	5/1	6
6th	Jujubella (IRE) Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	16/1	0.1
7th	Glasses Up (USA) David Allan · R Mike Smith	40/1	0.3
8th	Tee Aitch Aye (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	25/1	8
9th	Bint Al Karama (GB) Greg Fairley · Iain Jardine	125/1	5.5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Crown Of Oaks Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	127	—	3-33	79	92	65	63d	—	—	-24	27	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Gelded since last run; open to improvement now handicapping for yard with fine record here
3 (4)	Hornsea Bay Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	134	—	2-4744	86	90	63	24d	—	—	-3	19.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Encouraging fourth at Epsom last month and interference was costly at Doncaster next time
2 (6)	Austrian Theory Bay J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Tim Easterby	J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Tim Easterby	142	—	-22775	85	90	78	16d	—	—	+1	15.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Fifth in the John Smith's Cup two weeks ago and could be in the mix now back down in grade
1 (9)	Born Ruler Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Cam Hardie T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	143	b	13-546	86	90	71	44d	—	—	+3	11.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Fair efforts this year and he won by 4l over C&D last July on his last visit to Ayr
4 (3)	Jujubella Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	132	p	391231	75	87	76	25d	—	—	+20	25.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three AW wins this year and also on scoresheet at Haydock latest; can go well once more
8 (2)	Tee Aitch Aye Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	123	—	446364	66	89	81	23d	—	—	+3	6.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Promise over 1m1f at Carlisle in two of his three h'caps; today's trip could prove ideal
9 (8)	Sure And Stedfast Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Ewan Whillans	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Ewan Whillans	114	—	4-8481	66	87	65	14d	—	—	+1	5.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Off mark at ninth attempt over C&D two weeks ago; this is warmer but he's just 3lb higher
7 (1)	Glasses Up Chestnut J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	125	—	411186	68	90	82	14d	—	—	+13	15.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won three in a row here this spring but not at the same level on his last two starts
6 (7)	Bint Al Karama Bay J:Greg Fairley T:Iain Jardine	J:Greg Fairley T:Iain Jardine	127	—	9316-8	70	88	68	14d	—	—	+4	5.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Won Musselburgh seller last October on stable debut but down the field on both runs since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Crown Of Oaks	evn	evn	evn	10/11	Evens
Hornsea Bay	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Austrian Theory	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Born Ruler	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Jujubella	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Tee Aitch Aye	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Sure And Stedfast	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Glasses Up	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Bint Al Karama	150/1	100/1	125/1	80/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crown Of Oaks

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 17.7

Evens

2nd

Jujubella

25.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 17.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Hornsea Bay

19.2

OR: 9 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.7

7/2

Austrian Theory

15.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Glasses Up

15.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Born Ruler

11.5

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Tee Aitch Aye

6.6

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Bint Al Karama

5.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Sure And Stedfast

5.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hornsea Bay	86	90	63
Born Ruler	86	90	71
Austrian Theory	85	90	78
Crown Of Oaks	79	92	65
Jujubella	75	87	76
Bint Al Karama	70	88	68
Glasses Up	68	90	82
Tee Aitch Aye	66	89	81
Sure And Stedfast	66	87	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sure And Stedfast	14d ago	Fit
Glasses Up	14d ago	Fit
Bint Al Karama	14d ago	Fit
Austrian Theory	16d ago	Fit
Tee Aitch Aye	23d ago	Fit
Hornsea Bay	24d ago	Fit
Jujubella	25d ago	Fit
Born Ruler	44d ago	Fit
Crown Of Oaks	63d ago	Fresh