Tennent's Lager Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

15:00

Tennent's Lager Handicap

Date 2025-07-28

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Kelpie Grey Grey J:Daniel Tudhope T:Jim Goldie	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Jim Goldie	142	—	2644-2	80	87	65	22d	—	—	-7	20.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won first three races last term, third over C&D; good 2nd on comeback this time; chance
6 (3)	Boy Douglas Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	139	—	9-7031	77	87	68	7d	—	—	-9	13.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Three wins have ben over 1m here, latest last Monday; not sure drop to 7f is ideal
5 (7)	Benacre Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	139	—	154647	77	83	75	12d	—	—	-4	11.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Mixed form since AW win in May; could go well; turf wins have been on undulating tracks
2 (9)	Abduction Bay J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Jim Goldie	142	—	824417	80	86	77	21d	—	—	+6	19.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
All wins at 6f/7f, latest at Hamilton in June; not to so good last time; could bounce back
4 (4)	Redarna Chestnut J:Gina Mangan T:Dianne Sayer	J:Gina Mangan T:Dianne Sayer	140	—	1-9503	78	89	72	23d	—	—	+7	16.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Seven of his 16 wins have been over C&D; sound run over 1m here latest; each-way chance
10 (6)	Jkr Cobbler Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Archie Young(5) T:Iain Jardine	126	—	119-27	64	85	65	18d	—	—	-2	5.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Three C&D wins in 2023; sound C&D second on reappearance and not without a chance
1 (2)	Silent Move Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	143	—	19-070	81	85	33	17d	—	—	+4	9.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Mainly disappointng after reappearance win last term; last at York latest; bit to prove
7 (10)	Count Palatine Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	135	—	-73297	73	84	75	21d	—	—	+5	10.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Both wins were over 7f last September; two fair runs in April/May but not as good since
9 (8)	Animate Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Clifford Lee T:Geoffrey Harker	134	—	0-4920	72	84	73	23d	—	—	+3	6.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won over 6f at Catterick in 2024; sound run when 2nd at Ripon in June; not easy to predict
8 (5)	Sli Na Ghealai Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Katie Scott	J:Joanna Mason T:Katie Scott	135	—	52366-	73	86	70	292d	—	—	+7	9.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Two wins over 7f for Jim Bolger; bought 10,000gns; perhaps best watched on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kelpie Grey	5/2	11/4	5/2	9/4	11/4
Boy Douglas	3/1	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Benacre	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Abduction	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1	13/2
Redarna	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Jkr Cobbler	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Silent Move	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Count Palatine	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Animate	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Sli Na Ghealai	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kelpie Grey

20.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

11/4

2nd

Abduction

19.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 8 Odds: 4

13/2

3rd

Redarna

16.9

OR: 7 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Boy Douglas

13.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Benacre

11.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Count Palatine

10.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Silent Move

9.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Sli Na Ghealai

9.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Animate

6.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Jkr Cobbler

5.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Silent Move	81	85	33
Kelpie Grey	80	87	65
Abduction	80	86	77
Redarna	78	89	72
Boy Douglas	77	87	68
Benacre	77	83	75
Count Palatine	73	84	75
Sli Na Ghealai	73	86	70
Animate	72	84	73
Jkr Cobbler	64	85	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Boy Douglas	7d ago	Quick return
Benacre	12d ago	Quick return
Silent Move	17d ago	Fit
Jkr Cobbler	18d ago	Fit
Abduction	21d ago	Fit
Count Palatine	21d ago	Fit
Kelpie Grey	22d ago	Fit
Redarna	23d ago	Fit
Animate	23d ago	Fit
Sli Na Ghealai	292d ago	Long break