N&L Franklin Developments Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:25

N&L Franklin Developments Handicap

Date 2025-08-25

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,234

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Breakdancer Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	135	h	7-861	75	87	73	19d	—	—	-24	21.3	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Well on top at the finish on recent handicap debut (7f, AW); up 7lb but still unexposed
10 (4)	Looks Fantastic Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	128	—	-24839	68	85	59	29d	—	—	0	10.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
No progress in handicaps for Ed Bethell; best run came over C&D; interesting for new yard
5 (7)	Mahogany Bay Bay J:Joe Leavy T:Brian Meehan	J:Joe Leavy T:Brian Meehan	133	—	8-325	73	81	47	93d	—	—	-3	9.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Promise in the spring, including on AW; could well have more to offer now handicapping
3 (9)	Chesneys Charm Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	135	b	685514	75	85	-	16d	—	—	+6	15.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Three AW wins last year; beat 15 rivals at York (7f) last month; still feasibly weighted
9 (6)	Barry's Boy Bay J:David Egan T:Denis Coakley	J:David Egan T:Denis Coakley	129	—	4-4190	69	84	-	45d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
May's form gives him claims and there have been excuses since; Tapeta debut
8 (2)	Flightofthephoenix Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Charles Hills	J:Trevor Whelan T:Charles Hills	131	—	2-663	71	82	50	20d	—	—	+3	11	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Lightly raced filly; creditable 3rd on this month's h'cap debut; more needed to break duck
7 (5)	Kameel Bay J:George Wood T:Jessica Macey	J:George Wood T:Jessica Macey	132	p	150075	72	82	68	16d	—	—	+1	7.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Three solid efforts on Tapeta, including two wins; cheekpieces added on 2nd stable start
4 (10)	Blue Eclipse Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	134	—	5-16	74	82	40	173d	—	—	+4	6.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
7f Chelmsford win looks ordinary form; well held on handicap debut; absent since March
6 (11)	Beltadaay Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	132	—	1-7018	72	82	58	48d	—	—	+10	13.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Both wins have come by wide margin on testing ground; others safer under these conditions
11 (1)	Thunder Earthlight Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	126	v	465-0	66	80	32	16d	—	—	+2	4.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Hopes rest on the longer trip/addition of a visor giving him a lift
1 (3)	Stitching Wheel Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Chris Grant	J:Tom Eaves T:Chris Grant	135	—	32-96	75	78	-	111d	—	—	+5	6.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Ex-French; promise as a 2yo (1m); less good over 1m2f this year; sold 6,000gns last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Breakdancer	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	6/5
Looks Fantastic	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Mahogany Bay	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Chesneys Charm	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Barry's Boy	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	11/1
Flightofthephoenix	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1
Kameel	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Blue Eclipse	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Beltadaay	28/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1
Thunder Earthlight	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Stitching Wheel	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Breakdancer

21.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 15

5/4

2nd

Chesneys Charm

15.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Beltadaay

13.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Flightofthephoenix

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Looks Fantastic

10.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Mahogany Bay

9.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Kameel

7.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Barry's Boy

7.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Blue Eclipse

6.8

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Stitching Wheel

6.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Thunder Earthlight

4.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Breakdancer	75	87	73
Chesneys Charm	75	85	—
Stitching Wheel	75	78	—
Blue Eclipse	74	82	40
Mahogany Bay	73	81	47
Kameel	72	82	68
Beltadaay	72	82	58
Flightofthephoenix	71	82	50
Barry's Boy	69	84	—
Looks Fantastic	68	85	59
Thunder Earthlight	66	80	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chesneys Charm	16d ago	Fit
Kameel	16d ago	Fit
Thunder Earthlight	16d ago	Fit
Breakdancer	19d ago	Fit
Flightofthephoenix	20d ago	Fit
Looks Fantastic	29d ago	Fit
Barry's Boy	45d ago	Fit
Beltadaay	48d ago	Fresh
Mahogany Bay	93d ago	Long break
Stitching Wheel	111d ago	Long break
Blue Eclipse	173d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.