At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:08

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2025-08-25

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,978

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	Willolarupi Bay J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	134	t	212665	69	80	-	19d	—	—	-4	13.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner; needs to bounce back from some lesser runs but a new tongue-tie may help
2 (7)	Beelzebub Bay J:David Egan T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:David Egan T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	134	tp	-42275	69	79	69	38d	—	—	-4	14	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Three-time AW winner; not at best on turf on last two starts; this should be more suitable
6 (4)	Daytona Lady Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	133	p	837328	68	82	75	6d	—	—	+1	13.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two-time C&D winner; flopped at Wolverhampton last week but she's the type to bounce back
9 (5)	Vinatera Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	131	h	337853	66	79	54	30d	—	—	0	10.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Encouraging 3rd at Windsor last month (hooded first time); more needed but she's unexposed
13 (3)	Belsito Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	126	p	2-0449	61	77	-	46d	—	—	+1	8.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Wind surgery prior to his reappearance hasn't had the desired effect yet; others stronger
1 (6)	Rough Diamond Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Mark Loughnane	J:Trevor Whelan T:Mark Loughnane	135	ht	63448-	70	83	28	262d	—	—	+1	7.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Promise on AW for T Davidson last year; dangerous mark for stable debut; betting useful
3 (12)	Blue Force Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	134	—	321-10	69	83	73	129d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	6.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Good record in Tapeta handicaps but perhaps best at 5f; returns from four months off
7 (13)	Royal Musketeer Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	132	p	593264	67	81	51	24d	—	—	+3	9.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Course winner (7f); solid effort in new cheekpieces at Newmarket this month; wide draw
11 (8)	Cash In Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	130	—	-68478	65	78	-	69d	—	—	0	5.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Handicapper firmly in command this year; needs a revival back from ten weeks off
14 (11)	Bomb Squad Grey J:Cieren Fallon T:John Mackie	J:Cieren Fallon T:John Mackie	124	p	314337	59	82	67	140d	—	—	+4	9.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Three AW wins over the winter but in a lower grade; now returns from 140 days off
4 (2)	Manhattan Mirage Bay J:Joe Leavy T:Adrian Wintle	J:Joe Leavy T:Adrian Wintle	134	h	23-686	69	81	41	28d	—	—	+1	6.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
0-10 and yet to shine for new yard; down in the weights but others are stronger
10 (10)	Mattice Bay J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Ian McInnes	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Ian McInnes	130	p	-00815	65	80	22	28d	—	—	+8	11.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
6f turf win last month; not so good at Ayr latest; mixed record on AW but he's capable
8 (14)	Mini Magna Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	131	—	0-6748	66	78	-	17d	—	—	+2	4.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
0-11 for current stable and looks regressive; drawn widest on a rare 6f outing
12 (9)	The Cutest Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	127	h	53/4-6	62	75	31	69d	—	—	+2	3.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Low-key stable/handicap debut here (5f) in June; return to 6f can help but vulnerable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Willolarupi	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Beelzebub	7/2	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2
Daytona Lady	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Vinatera	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Belsito	10/1	11/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Rough Diamond	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Blue Force	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Royal Musketeer	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Cash In	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Bomb Squad	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Manhattan Mirage	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Mattice	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Mini Magna	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
The Cutest	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Beelzebub

OR: 4.8 Form: 4 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Daytona Lady

13.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Willolarupi

13.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

4/1

Mattice

11.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Vinatera

10.5

OR: 4 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Royal Musketeer

9.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Bomb Squad

9.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Belsito

8.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Rough Diamond

7.6

OR: 5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Blue Force

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Manhattan Mirage

6.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Cash In

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Mini Magna

4.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

The Cutest

3.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rough Diamond	70	83	28
Willolarupi	69	80	—
Beelzebub	69	79	69
Blue Force	69	83	73
Manhattan Mirage	69	81	41
Daytona Lady	68	82	75
Royal Musketeer	67	81	51
Vinatera	66	79	54
Mini Magna	66	78	—
Cash In	65	78	—
Mattice	65	80	22
The Cutest	62	75	31
Belsito	61	77	—
Bomb Squad	59	82	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Daytona Lady	6d ago	Quick return
Mini Magna	17d ago	Fit
Willolarupi	19d ago	Fit
Royal Musketeer	24d ago	Fit
Manhattan Mirage	28d ago	Fit
Mattice	28d ago	Fit
Vinatera	30d ago	Fit
Beelzebub	38d ago	Fit
Belsito	46d ago	Fresh
Cash In	69d ago	Fresh
The Cutest	69d ago	Fresh
Blue Force	129d ago	Long break
Bomb Squad	140d ago	Long break
Rough Diamond	262d ago	Long break