Irish Stallion Farms EBF Abergwaun Stakes (Listed Race)

Tipperary

16:30

Date 2025-08-31

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €26,550

Winning Time 58.40s (slow by 1.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Grande Marques (IRE) Seamie Heffernan · J A Stack	8/1	Won
2nd	Erosandpsyche (IRE) Gary Carroll · Daniel James Murphy	12/1	.5
3rd	King Cuan (GB) Colin Keane · P Twomey	5/1	2.25
4th	Songhai (IRE) Ben Coen · J P Murtagh	9/4F	0.2
5th	Fandom (GB) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	16/1	1.5
6th	Stella Alpina (IRE) Declan McDonogh · W McCreery	22/1	.5
7th	Fregada (IRE) Jamie Powell · John James Feane	14/1	0.3
8th	Bounty (IRE) Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien	11/1	0.3
9th	Powerful Nation (IRE) Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	100/30	.5
10th	Navassa Island (IRE) Ronan Whelan · M D O'Callaghan	25/1	1
11th	Harry's Hill (GB) Wayne Hassett · Martin Hassett	50/1	0.3
12th	Billie Be Quick (IRE) Keithen Kennedy · Mrs John Harrington	33/1	0.1
13th	Realtin Fantasy (IRE) Robert Whearty · W P Browne	250/1	6

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14 (15)	Songhai Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	126	tp	232633	98	118	108	21d	—	—	+5	25.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Only once out of the first three, could be competitive again now following Deauville third
2 (8)	Powerful Nation Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	134	—	32-218	107	117	86	43d	—	—	+1	20	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Highly consistent before a Grade 2 failure at the Curragh, every chance he can bounce back
6 (3)	King Cuan Bay J:Colin Keane T:P Twomey	J:Colin Keane T:P Twomey	133	—	11/513	104	113	99	63d	—	—	+1	18.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Winner of four of his seven races, first time over this trip, capable of holding his own
8 (10)	Bounty Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	131	—	213-	97	103	88	309d	—	—	+16	27.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
6f winner at two, dam won the Lowther and the Cheveley Park, belated seasonal debut
13 (14)	Grande Marques Chestnut J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	126	b	2-5836	92	116	96	43d	—	—	+9	15.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Listed-placed at Ayr in June, overall form this term not good enough to inspire confidence
3 (6)	Erosandpsyche Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Daniel James Murphy	133	b	02-387	98	110	92	43d	—	—	+8	13.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Merits respect as a three-time C&D winner, questions to answer after two uninspiring runs
15 (7)	Stella Alpina Brown J:Declan McDonogh T:W McCreery	J:Declan McDonogh T:W McCreery	126	—	228621	77	99	89	23d	—	—	+17	22.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Odds-on C&D maiden winner last time, 77-rated filly steps into a different league now
12 (12)	Fregada Bay J:Jamie Powell T:John James Feane	J:Jamie Powell T:John James Feane	126	—	1-2	-	108	66	67d	—	—	+7	13.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Beat today's rival Bounty on her only start at two, still looked raw on her reappearance
4 (5)	Fandom Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	133	—	0/131-	104	112	-	385d	—	—	+10	14.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
American import is a speedy type, any easing in the ground could harm his chance
11 (13)	Billie Be Quick Bay J:Keithen Kennedy T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Keithen Kennedy T:Mrs John Harrington	126	v	921201	81	98	87	24d	—	—	+22	25	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Chepstow win early this month was gained off a rating of 77, looks out of her depth here
9 (4)	Navassa Island Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Ronan Whelan T:M D O'Callaghan	128	b	3-5049	94	109	73	7d	—	—	+11	14	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Sole win came over 6f as a juvenile, useful form last year, not as effective this term
5 (9)	Harry's Hill Bay J:Wayne Hassett T:Martin Hassett	J:Wayne Hassett T:Martin Hassett	133	t	244156	87	99	93	22d	—	—	+12	15	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Winner of nine races including two over C&D, has never run in a stakes race, stiff task
10 (2)	Realtin Fantasy Bay J:Robert Whearty T:W P Browne	J:Robert Whearty T:W P Browne	128	p	-00252	50	76	59	23d	—	—	+7	7.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Twice runner-up in modest C&D handicaps this season, flying much too high in this company
NR (11)	Two Stars Bay J:J M Sheridan T:J A Stack	J:J M Sheridan T:J A Stack	136	—	212-11	108	116	99	125d	—	—	—	14.5	—	—
Absent since 5f Listed win in April, any significant deterioration in the ground will help
NR (1)	Valiant Force Roan J:Chris Hayes T:Adrian Murray	J:Chris Hayes T:Adrian Murray	133	—	180022	104	115	75	16d	—	—	—	22	—	—
2023 Norfolk Stakes winner has gained his other three wins on AW, possibly vulnerable here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Songhai	3/1	10/3	3/1	10/3	11/4
Powerful Nation	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
King Cuan	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Bounty	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Grande Marques	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Erosandpsyche	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Stella Alpina	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Fregada	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Fandom	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Billie Be Quick	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Navassa Island	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	22/1
Harry's Hill	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Realtin Fantasy	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Two Stars	-	-	-	-	-
Valiant Force	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bounty

27.3

OR: 11.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Songhai

25.4

OR: 12 Form: 7.2 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Billie Be Quick

OR: 7.8 Form: 16.5 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Stella Alpina

22.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Valiant Force

OR: 13.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Powerful Nation

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

King Cuan

18.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Grande Marques

15.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Harry's Hill

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Fandom

14.7

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Two Stars

14.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Navassa Island

OR: 11 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Fregada

13.7

OR: 0 Form: 12 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Erosandpsyche

13.6

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Realtin Fantasy

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Two Stars	108	116	99
Powerful Nation	107	117	86
King Cuan	104	113	99
Fandom	104	112	—
Valiant Force	104	115	75
Songhai	98	118	108
Erosandpsyche	98	110	92
Bounty	97	103	88
Navassa Island	94	109	73
Grande Marques	92	116	96
Harry's Hill	87	99	93
Billie Be Quick	81	98	87
Stella Alpina	77	99	89
Realtin Fantasy	50	76	59
Fregada	—	108	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Navassa Island	7d ago	Quick return
Valiant Force	16d ago	Fit
Songhai	21d ago	Fit
Harry's Hill	22d ago	Fit
Stella Alpina	23d ago	Fit
Realtin Fantasy	23d ago	Fit
Billie Be Quick	24d ago	Fit
Powerful Nation	43d ago	Fit
Grande Marques	43d ago	Fit
Erosandpsyche	43d ago	Fit
King Cuan	63d ago	Fresh
Fregada	67d ago	Fresh
Two Stars	125d ago	Long break
Bounty	309d ago	Long break
Fandom	385d ago	Long break