Get Raceday Ready With Lucas Bookies Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

16:20

Get Raceday Ready With Lucas Bookies Handicap

Date 2025-09-02

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (8)	Papabella Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Stuart Kittow	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Stuart Kittow	133	—	241924	65	76	65	28d	—	—	-4	16.4	3/1 25%
Added C&D win in June to two over 6f in 2024; shade below best latest but can't rule out
4 (1)	Connie's Rose Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Grace Harris	J:Ray Dawson T:Grace Harris	133	tp	332532	65	76	64	8d	—	—	-1	18.7	7/2 22%
Six course wins, the latest 12 months ago; has her share of weight on current form
6 (5)	Vape Grey J:Charlie Tucker(7) T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Charlie Tucker(7) T:John & Rhys Flint	131	p	670211	63	77	53	14d	—	—	+10	28	4/1 20%
Three of last four wins have been over C&D; in fine form and the hat-trick is on the cards
1 (6)	Last Outlaw Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Keady	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Keady	133	t	443954	65	76	67	30d	—	—	-5	8.3	13/2 13%
Both wins at 5f, good to firm and soft; has run creditably over 6f and on a good mark now
7 (7)	Rikissa Bay J:Jack Dace(5) T:Ralph Beckett	J:Jack Dace(5) T:Ralph Beckett	131	—	37-8	65	72	57	28d	—	—	-5	7.1	13/2 13%
Beaten favourite both 2yo starts; never showed on August return; improve now handicapping
5 (2)	Sub Thirteen Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	131	—	6456-6	63	77	58	47d	—	—	-2	5.2	12/1 8%
Three sprint wins in 2024; 2lb lower than the latest win but remote last of six on return
3 (4)	Valsharah Grey J:Charles Bishop T:Charles Hills	J:Charles Bishop T:Charles Hills	133	—	335627	67	75	48	13d	—	—	+4	10.2	14/1 7%
Maiden; on virtually the same mark all year but the change in the weather might be a plus
NR (3)	Dragonfly In Amber Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Edward Greatrex T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	130	—	570-1	64	78	71	36d	—	—	—	13.5	—
Promising 2yo debut; had excuses later; winning handicap debut/reappearance (6f); improve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Papabella	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	3/1
Connie's Rose	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Vape	4/1	4/1	18/5	7/2	7/2
Last Outlaw	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	13/2
Rikissa	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Sub Thirteen	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Valsharah	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Dragonfly In Amber	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Vape

OR: 3.3 Form: 19.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Connie's Rose

18.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 9.2 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Papabella

16.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Dragonfly In Amber

13.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Valsharah

10.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.8

14/1

Last Outlaw

8.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Rikissa

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sub Thirteen

5.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Valsharah	67	75	48
Papabella	65	76	65
Connie's Rose	65	76	64
Last Outlaw	65	76	67
Rikissa	65	72	57
Dragonfly In Amber	64	78	71
Vape	63	77	53
Sub Thirteen	63	77	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Connie's Rose	8d ago	Quick return
Valsharah	13d ago	Quick return
Vape	14d ago	Fit
Papabella	28d ago	Fit
Rikissa	28d ago	Fit
Last Outlaw	30d ago	Fit
Dragonfly In Amber	36d ago	Fit
Sub Thirteen	47d ago	Fresh