Tennents NI Handicap Hurdle – Downpatrick

Downpatrick

15:21

Tennents NI Handicap Hurdle

Date 2025-09-19

Distance 2m1f165y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Tir Og Bay J:Calum Hogan(7) T:E Seymour	J:Calum Hogan(7) T:E Seymour	159	—	F-2851	93	106	81	30d	—	—	-1	15.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Off the mark at Sligo last time with a good front-running ride; up 5lb but can go in again
6	Silent Dawn Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Adrian Murray	J:Sean Flanagan T:Adrian Murray	156	tp	35-P62	88	104	82	25d	—	—	-3	14.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
No wins from 12 but went close over C&D last time; form is in and out but can go well
11	Centaq Bay J:P J O'Hanlon T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:P J O'Hanlon T:Dermot A McLoughlin	148	—	-90674	80	108	94	40d	—	—	-5	12.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Three h'cap runs have been over C&D with best of those last time when a 5.25l fourth
13	Lily's Choice Bay J:Cian Quirke T:David Harry Kelly	J:Cian Quirke T:David Harry Kelly	146	—	636/06	78	103	76	42d	—	—	0	9.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Tailed off in two starts following long break, although slight improvement last time
8	Blackberry Jack Chestnut J:Jordan Gainford T:Denis Leahy	J:Jordan Gainford T:Denis Leahy	153	—	F/029/	85	105	-	—	—	—	+3	11	2.75/1	11/1 8%
23-race maiden; not bad on Flat back from a break at Tramore; less promising last time
1	Rodney Bay Bay J:Mr N McParlan T:R J Tumilty	J:Mr N McParlan T:R J Tumilty	168	—	/0788-	100	95	79	234d	—	—	+6	15	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Winner on Flat and over hurdles; not a lot of encouragement in recent runs; new stable
10	You Make Me Smile Bay J:Danny Mullins T:P A Fahy	J:Danny Mullins T:P A Fahy	149	—	/951-8	81	105	84	—	—	—	+2	10.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Winner over hurdles and Flat in April/May; hasn't shown anything subsequently
2	Only One Plan Bay J:Philip Donovan(3) T:M Flannery	J:Philip Donovan(3) T:M Flannery	167	—	702198	99	105	90	14d	—	—	+14	20.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Added third hurdles win in July; not at same level in two runs since; down 1lb
15	King Bob Bay J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	143	—	0080	77	104	81	21d	—	—	+3	8.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Enters h'cap company following comprehensive defeats in maidens; needs to step up on that
4	Morell River Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Colin Bowe	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Colin Bowe	159	—	0760-	91	99	45	314d	—	—	+7	11.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Only mild promise in maidens; makes return from long break for new stable; best watched
9	Syosset Chestnut J:Alex Harvey(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Alex Harvey(3) T:John C McConnell	153	—	700-0	87	93	79	23d	—	—	+5	10.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Beat few rivals in juvenile runs last year and similar story on h'cap debut last time
14	Boston Bongo Chestnut J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:E Sheehy	J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:E Sheehy	143	tb	F4-079	75	102	59	42d	—	—	+4	7.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Winless from 18; tailed off on Flat and over hurdles last two runs; new headgear on
7	Eastern Blue Bird Bay J:Harry Sexton(7) T:P A Fahy	J:Harry Sexton(7) T:P A Fahy	155	—	786-04	89	103	70	36d	—	—	+6	11.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Slight promise in bumpers and maidens; can't be ruled out now entering handicaps
12	Marvellous Margo b/br J:Ivan Ryan(7) T:Conor David Maxwell	J:Ivan Ryan(7) T:Conor David Maxwell	148	—	7-76	82	95	62	76d	—	—	+5	9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Makes handicap debut following poor runs at Bellewstown and Kilbeggan; unlikely
3	Chasing Crowns Bay J:Paddy Cody(7) T:E Sheehy	J:Paddy Cody(7) T:E Sheehy	162	p	P-8588	94	101	43	21d	—	—	+9	11.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
PU in four points; decent fifth in a Wexford maiden hurdle last month; may improve
NR	Leroy Leroy Bay J:TBC T:John Joseph Hanlon	J: T:John Joseph Hanlon	147	—	4/0-P5	79	102	93	21d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Dual-purpose winner in Britain years ago; not a lot of runs in recent times; reserve
NR	Rock Ya Boy Ya Bay J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Francis Casey	J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Francis Casey	161	—	/424/0	93	103	51	11d	—	—	—	10.8	—	—
28-race maiden on Flat and over hurdles, breakthrough doesn't look imminent; reserve

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Tir Og	4/1	4/1	4/1
Silent Dawn	4/1	4/1	4/1
Centaq	4/1	4/1	4/1
Lily's Choice	10/1	10/1	10/1
Blackberry Jack	11/1	11/1	11/1
Rodney Bay	9/1	8/1	17/2
You Make Me Smile	11/1	12/1	11/1
Only One Plan	12/1	12/1	12/1
King Bob	16/1	16/1	16/1
Morell River	25/1	25/1	25/1
Syosset	18/1	16/1	16/1
Boston Bongo	28/1	28/1	25/1
Eastern Blue Bird	28/1	25/1	25/1
Marvellous Margo	40/1	33/1	33/1
Chasing Crowns	66/1	50/1	50/1
Leroy Leroy	-	-	-
Rock Ya Boy Ya	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Only One Plan

20.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

2nd

Tir Og

15.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Rodney Bay

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Silent Dawn

14.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Centaq

12.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Chasing Crowns

11.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Morell River

11.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Eastern Blue Bird

11.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

28/1

Blackberry Jack

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Syosset

10.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Rock Ya Boy Ya

10.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

You Make Me Smile

10.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Lily's Choice

9.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Marvellous Margo

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

40/1

King Bob

8.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Leroy Leroy

7.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Boston Bongo

7.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rodney Bay	100	95	79
Only One Plan	99	105	90
Chasing Crowns	94	101	43
Tir Og	93	106	81
Rock Ya Boy Ya	93	103	51
Morell River	91	99	45
Eastern Blue Bird	89	103	70
Silent Dawn	88	104	82
Syosset	87	93	79
Blackberry Jack	85	105	—
Marvellous Margo	82	95	62
You Make Me Smile	81	105	84
Centaq	80	108	94
Leroy Leroy	79	102	93
Lily's Choice	78	103	76
King Bob	77	104	81
Boston Bongo	75	102	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rock Ya Boy Ya	11d ago	Quick return
Only One Plan	14d ago	Fit
King Bob	21d ago	Fit
Chasing Crowns	21d ago	Fit
Leroy Leroy	21d ago	Fit
Syosset	23d ago	Fit
Silent Dawn	25d ago	Fit
Tir Og	30d ago	Fit
Eastern Blue Bird	36d ago	Fit
Centaq	40d ago	Fit
Lily's Choice	42d ago	Fit
Boston Bongo	42d ago	Fit
Marvellous Margo	76d ago	Fresh
Rodney Bay	234d ago	Long break
Morell River	314d ago	Long break
Blackberry Jack	—	—
You Make Me Smile	—	—