Book Your Event At Ayr Racecourse Handicap

Ayr

16:00

Date 2025-09-30

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Jkr Cobbler Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Archie Young(5) T:Iain Jardine	136	—	275349	60	75	62	12d	—	—	-9	9.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Had an excuse last time; generally in reasonable form otherwise this term
3 (3)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	136	—	-55550	60	77	67	40d	—	—	-9	6.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Close second over C&D in last turf attempt; won this race in 2023
6 (2)	Thunderstorm Katie Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	133	—	175853	57	66	54	1d	—	—	-6	9.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Sprinting filly; something to prove back over 7f after one-paced 3rd at Hamilton yesterday
8 (4)	Alex Belardo Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:John C McConnell	J:Sean Kirrane T:John C McConnell	130	b	0-0038	54	75	49	7d	—	—	-10	5.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Scored off a higher mark at Down Royal exactly a year ago; possibilities
4 (5)	Dumfries Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	—	434D144	59	71	62	15d	—	—	-1	10.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Successful three times during a largely consistent 2025 campaign
7 (8)	Yaxchilan Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Joe Fanning T:Gerard O'Leary	131	tp	580109	55	71	55	31d	—	—	0	8.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Irish 4yo who recorded sole win over 6f at Fairyhouse in May
1 (7)	John L Sullivan Bay J:Cian Horgan(5) T:Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	J:Cian Horgan(5) T:Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	140	tp	753388	64	70	53	12d	—	—	+1	7.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Third in this race last year; likely player if back in similar form
5 (1)	Lima Sierra Bay J:Alex Jary(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	134	—	155151	61	71	63	21d	—	—	+13	19.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Scored at Catterick upped to 7f last time and may show further progress

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Jkr Cobbler	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3
Alpine Sierra	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Thunderstorm Katie	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Alex Belardo	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	11/2
Dumfries	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Yaxchilan	10/1	11/1	10/1	17/2	11/1
John L Sullivan	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Lima Sierra	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lima Sierra

19.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 15 Odds: 1.7

14/1

2nd

Dumfries

10.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

3rd

Jkr Cobbler

9.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Thunderstorm Katie

9.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Yaxchilan

8.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

John L Sullivan

7.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Alpine Sierra

6.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Alex Belardo

5.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
John L Sullivan	64	70	53
Lima Sierra	61	71	63
Jkr Cobbler	60	75	62
Alpine Sierra	60	77	67
Dumfries	59	71	62
Thunderstorm Katie	57	66	54
Yaxchilan	55	71	55
Alex Belardo	54	75	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thunderstorm Katie	1d ago	Quick return
Alex Belardo	7d ago	Quick return
Jkr Cobbler	12d ago	Quick return
John L Sullivan	12d ago	Quick return
Dumfries	15d ago	Fit
Lima Sierra	21d ago	Fit
Yaxchilan	31d ago	Fit
Alpine Sierra	40d ago	Fit