At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:45

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2025-10-03

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (10)	Piperstown Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Kevin Frost	J:Billy Loughnane T:Kevin Frost	134	—	145587	49	60	51	29d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
C&D winner; back to a dangerous mark and he's a major player back at 5f
2 (1)	Arlington Chestnut J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Bryan Smart	J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Bryan Smart	135	p	294230	50	59	43	14d	—	—	-8	9.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Easy C&D win in May; several good runs since; should be in the thick of it again
3 (5)	Desert Master Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	134	b	909274	49	63	52	14d	—	—	-9	6.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Conditions to suit and he comes here in form; slow starts becoming more regular now
5 (9)	Marcus Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Charlie Wallis	J:Charles Bishop T:Charlie Wallis	133	b	353523	48	60	53	19d	—	—	-1	10.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Exposed maiden but he's consistent and this is his level; each-way shout once again
7 (8)	Red Walls Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:Lisa Williamson	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Lisa Williamson	132	—	032982	47	62	51	11d	—	—	+1	9.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ran well at Wolverhampton 11 days ago but that was 6f and it seems his preferred trip now
6 (4)	Payforanother Daay Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Simon Hodgson	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Simon Hodgson	132	p	900-33	47	55	-	49d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
3rd in 0-50 classified events on last two starts; best RPR came over C&D; headgear back on
8 (6)	Master Zack Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Martin Dunne	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Martin Dunne	131	ht	83463V	46	60	-	46d	—	—	-2	4.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Landed a gamble over C&D in April; in and out since; nasty experience at Windsor latest
1 (2)	It's Showtime Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Conrad Allen	J:Charlie Bennett T:Conrad Allen	135	t	6553R8	50	62	49	15d	—	—	-4	2.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Conditions fine & on a dangerous mark; refusal to race on penultimate start is a concern
10 (7)	Happy Happy Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	130	—	57-68	45	26	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Poor form in four starts, including her handicap debut, and she's hard to fancy
9 (3)	Tilsworth Turf Chestnut J:Jonny Peate T:J R Jenkins	J:Jonny Peate T:J R Jenkins	130	b	076009	45	12	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Two soft-ground wins last year but he's barely beaten a rival in 2025

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Piperstown	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	3/1
Arlington	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	9/2
Desert Master	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Marcus	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Red Walls	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Payforanother Daay	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Master Zack	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
It's Showtime	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Happy Happy	125/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	100/1
Tilsworth Turf	150/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marcus

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 7.4 Odds: 3.3

6/1

2nd

Arlington

9.8

OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Red Walls

9.6

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Desert Master

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Piperstown

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Master Zack

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.7 Odds: 1.8

14/1

Payforanother Daay

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

It's Showtime

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.5 Odds: 1.8

14/1

Tilsworth Turf

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Happy Happy

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Arlington	50	59	43
It's Showtime	50	62	49
Piperstown	49	60	51
Desert Master	49	63	52
Marcus	48	60	53
Red Walls	47	62	51
Payforanother Daay	47	55	—
Master Zack	46	60	—
Happy Happy	45	26	—
Tilsworth Turf	45	12	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Red Walls	11d ago	Quick return
Tilsworth Turf	11d ago	Quick return
Arlington	14d ago	Fit
Desert Master	14d ago	Fit
It's Showtime	15d ago	Fit
Marcus	19d ago	Fit
Happy Happy	19d ago	Fit
Piperstown	29d ago	Fit
Master Zack	46d ago	Fresh
Payforanother Daay	49d ago	Fresh