Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) (3yo+ No Geldings) (Grande Course) (Turf)

Longchamp

15:05

Date 2025-10-05

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 1

Going Very Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,361,157

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
17 (1)	Minnie Hauk Bay J:Christophe Soumillon T:A P O'Brien	J:Christophe Soumillon T:A P O'Brien	121	—	1-1111	-	137	128	45d	—	—	-10	14.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Registered a clearcut win at York to complete an Oaks four-timer; leading contender
6 (15)	Byzantine Dream Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Tomoyasu Sakaguchi	J:Oisin Murphy T:Tomoyasu Sakaguchi	131	h	5-6121	-	131	126	28d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Japanese 4yo who is better than ever; won the Prix Foy over C&D last time; possibilities
10 (12)	Aventure Bay J:Maxime Guyon T:C Ferland	J:Maxime Guyon T:C Ferland	128	—	2-1121	-	132	122	28d	—	—	-5	6.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Good second in this race last year; won the Prix Vermeille most recently; strong claims
16 (4)	Alohi Alii Chestnut J:Christophe-Patrice Lemaire T:Hiroyasu Tanaka	J:Christophe-Patrice Lemaire T:Hiroyasu Tanaka	125	—	1-2381	-	129	50	50d	—	—	+1	9.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Japanese colt; showed clear improvement with easy win in Deauville Group 2 last time
9 (10)	Kalpana Bay J:Colin Keane T:Andrew Balding	J:Colin Keane T:Andrew Balding	128	p	1-3222	-	134	118	29d	—	—	+2	9.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has played the bridesmaid this term but holds major claims on her King George second
11 (2)	Daryz Bay J:Mickael Barzalona T:F-H Graffard	J:Mickael Barzalona T:F-H Graffard	125	—	111162	-	128	93	21d	—	—	+10	16.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Largely progressive at about 1m2f; bred to be suited by 1m4f and he's by an Arc winner
15 (17)	Croix Du Nord b/br J:Yuichi Kitamura T:Takashi Saito	J:Yuichi Kitamura T:Takashi Saito	125	—	11-211	-	131	62	21d	—	—	-6	2.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Japanese Derby winner; followed up in Group 3 at Longchamp; improving and warrants respect
4 (3)	Sosie Bay J:Stephane Pasquier T:A Fabre	J:Stephane Pasquier T:A Fabre	131	—	4-1162	-	132	125	28d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has a strong record at Longchamp; creditable fourth in this race last year; solid
8 (7)	Quisisana Bay J:Alexis Pouchin T:F-H Graffard	J:Alexis Pouchin T:F-H Graffard	128	—	51-111	-	128	77	42d	—	—	-3	1.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Group 1 win at Deauville took her record to 6-8; this is harder but she's progressive
13 (8)	Cualificar Chestnut J:William Buick T:A Fabre	J:William Buick T:A Fabre	125	—	111231	-	126	113	28d	—	—	+17	20.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Prix Niel winner; progressive and his trainer has landed this prize a record eight times
18 (13)	Gezora Bay J:Tom Marquand T:F-H Graffard	J:Tom Marquand T:F-H Graffard	121	t	1-3112	-	131	120	28d	—	—	+5	7.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
French Oaks winner; second to Aventure in the Vermeille; may have further progress in her
1 (5)	Giavellotto Chestnut J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	131	—	31-531	-	132	111	29d	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Beat odds-on Kalpana in the September Stakes; no horse of his age has won this prize
2 (9)	White Birch Grey J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:John Joseph Murphy	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:John Joseph Murphy	131	t	11-245	-	129	116	22d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Smart horse but this belated return to 1m4f needs to prompt a career-best performance
5 (14)	Los Angeles Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	131	p	-11544	-	133	122	28d	—	—	+1	6.4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Creditable third in this contest last year but was in better form than in recent starts
12 (6)	Leffard b/br J:Cristian Demuro T:J-C Rouget	J:Cristian Demuro T:J-C Rouget	125	—	112016	-	128	116	28d	—	—	+9	11	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Won the Grand Prix de Paris over C&D; ran below market expectations in the Prix Niel
14 (11)	Hotazhell Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	125	—	1-3544	-	127	114	22d	—	—	+6	7.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Reasonably consistent but he's below Arc standard and 1m4f is an unknown
3 (16)	Arrow Eagle Bay J:Ioritz Mendizabal T:J-C Rouget	J:Ioritz Mendizabal T:J-C Rouget	131	—	-11116	-	120	116	28d	—	—	+16	17.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Behind some of today's rivals in the Prix Fox when bidding for a five-timer
NR (18)	Estrange Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	128	—	71-112	-	-	-	45d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Lightly raced filly who is 4-4 on good/softer; may still have more to offer; drawn widest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Minnie Hauk	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	11/4
Byzantine Dream	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Aventure	6/1	13/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Alohi Alii	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Kalpana	12/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	12/1
Daryz	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Croix Du Nord	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	17/2
Sosie	14/1	12/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Quisisana	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Cualificar	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Gezora	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Giavellotto	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
White Birch	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	33/1
Los Angeles	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Leffard	50/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Hotazhell	80/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	66/1
Arrow Eagle	125/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	125/1
Estrange	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cualificar

20.7

OR: 0 Form: 19.6 Odds: 1.1

22/1

2nd

Arrow Eagle

17.2

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 0.2

125/1

3rd

Daryz

16.7

OR: 0 Form: 15 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Minnie Hauk

14.3

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Leffard

OR: 0 Form: 10.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Alohi Alii

9.5

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Kalpana

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Gezora

7.8

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Hotazhell

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Aventure

6.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Los Angeles

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

40/1

Byzantine Dream

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Croix Du Nord

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Sosie

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Quisisana

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

White Birch

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Giavellotto

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Estrange

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Minnie Hauk	—	137	128
Byzantine Dream	—	131	126
Aventure	—	132	122
Alohi Alii	—	129	50
Kalpana	—	134	118
Daryz	—	128	93
Croix Du Nord	—	131	62
Sosie	—	132	125
Quisisana	—	128	77
Cualificar	—	126	113
Gezora	—	131	120
Giavellotto	—	132	111
White Birch	—	129	116
Los Angeles	—	133	122
Leffard	—	128	116
Hotazhell	—	127	114
Arrow Eagle	—	120	116
Estrange	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Daryz	21d ago	Fit
Croix Du Nord	21d ago	Fit
White Birch	22d ago	Fit
Hotazhell	22d ago	Fit
Byzantine Dream	28d ago	Fit
Aventure	28d ago	Fit
Sosie	28d ago	Fit
Cualificar	28d ago	Fit
Gezora	28d ago	Fit
Los Angeles	28d ago	Fit
Leffard	28d ago	Fit
Arrow Eagle	28d ago	Fit
Kalpana	29d ago	Fit
Giavellotto	29d ago	Fit
Quisisana	42d ago	Fit
Minnie Hauk	45d ago	Fit
Estrange	45d ago	Fit
Alohi Alii	50d ago	Fresh