Longchamp

13:50

Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (Group 1) (2yo+) (Sprint Course) (Turf)

Date 2025-10-05
Distance 5f
Class Class 1
Going Very Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 2yo+
Prize £165,281

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
17 (3)
Asfoora
b/br
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Henry Dwyer
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Henry Dwyer
133 b 175717
-
123
104
21d -8
13.2
0.75/1
3/1
25%
Australian mare who is smart on her day; won the 5f Group 1 Nunthorpe on penultimate start
13 (1)
Monteille
Bay
J:Cristian Demuro
T:Mario Baratti
J:Cristian Demuro
T:Mario Baratti
133 0-6181
-
123
110
21d -11
4.4
1.13/1
9/2
18%
C&D success (beat Rayevka) took her record for new yard to 2-4; may improve further
15 (5)
Mgheera
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Ed Walker
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Ed Walker
133 -11286
-
122
107
21d +1
10.2
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Dual Group winner for new stable; ran respectably in the Flying Five most recently
11 (4)
Frost At Dawn
Grey Roan
J:William Buick
T:William Knight
J:William Buick
T:William Knight
133 v 221243
-
122
102
44d +4
11.7
2.25/1
9/1
10%
King Charles III Stakes and Nunthorpe efforts suggest there may be a Group 1 in her
9 (11)
Night Raider
Bay
J:James Doyle
T:K R Burke
J:James Doyle
T:K R Burke
137 p 300645
-
118
107
21d -5
1.7
3.00/1
12/1
8%
0-9 on turf but he's in an encouraging vein of form; ran well in Flying Five last time
12 (7)
She's Quality
Bay
J:James Ryan
T:Jack W Davison
J:James Ryan
T:Jack W Davison
133 p 222204
-
121
109
21d 0
6.7
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Largely consistent this season; creditable fourth in the Flying Five most recently
18 (15)
Sky Majesty
Bay
J:Tom Marquand
T:William Haggas
J:Tom Marquand
T:William Haggas
133 -38118
-
120
104
29d +8
14.3
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Generally progressive at 6f; Group winner; bred to be suited by 5f; remains of interest
5 (14)
Jm Jungle
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:John & Sean Quinn
J:Jason Hart
T:John & Sean Quinn
137 312316
-
121
101
44d +7
13.7
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Strong record this term includes two notable wins; respectable sixth in the Nunthorpe
19 (10)
Afjan
Bay
J:Alexis Pouchin
T:H-F Devin
J:Alexis Pouchin
T:H-F Devin
119 t 16221
-
111
100
35d +13
19.9
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Improving 2yo who scored over C&D (Group 3) last time; could go well off low weight
6 (2)
Ponntos
Bay
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Miroslav Nieslanik
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Miroslav Nieslanik
137 t 273313
-
109
103
21d +9
13.8
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Record of 0-6 at Group 1 level includes three Abbaye defeats (form figures 670)
14 (18)
First Instinct
Brown
J:Cieren Fallon
T:William Haggas
J:Cieren Fallon
T:William Haggas
133 132541
-
118
110
15d +10
13
6.25/1
25/1
4%
5f Group 3 win at Newbury took her record to 4-10; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet
8 (16)
Rumstar
Bay
J:Rob Hornby
T:Jonathan Portman
J:Rob Hornby
T:Jonathan Portman
137 p 601556
-
121
105
15d +1
3.9
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Respectable fifth in the Nunthorpe is flanked by lesser efforts at a lower level
3 (6)
Ain't Nobody
Bay
J:Tom Eaves
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Tom Eaves
T:Kevin Ryan
137 p 906200
-
116
94
15d +1
3.1
8.25/1
33/1
3%
Still needs to prove he can back up Nunthorpe effort (100-1 second)
2 (17)
Washington Heights
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
137 243710
-
117
99
44d +7
8.4
12.50/1
50/1
2%
Ran okay (seventh of 16) in this race last year but is not quite up to Group 1 level
7 (9)
Jawwal
Bay
J:Clement Lecoeuvre
T:Vaclav Luka Jr
J:Clement Lecoeuvre
T:Vaclav Luka Jr
137 6-1121
-
103
91
20d -2
0.6
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Trained in Czech Republic; good strike-rate in 2025 but this is a harder task
16 (12)
Star Of Lady M
Grey
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David O'Meara
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David O'Meara
133 v 816-30
-
98
103
16d -1
0.4
20.00/1
80/1
1%
Seen only twice this season and failed to beat a rival last time; opposed
1 (13)
Against The Wind
Chestnut
J:Kevin Stott
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Kevin Stott
T:Kevin Ryan
137 130163
-
106
89
14d +8
8.9
20.00/1
80/1
1%
Useful 3yo handicapper; faces a stiffer assignment on these terms upped in class
4 (8)
Megarry
Bay
J:Ronan Thomas
T:Gianluca Bietolini
J:Ronan Thomas
T:Gianluca Bietolini
137 815363
-
109
79
36d
6.5
Something to prove and find at this level returned to the minimum distance
10 (19)
Rayevka
Bay
J:Mickael Barzalona
T:F-H Graffard
J:Mickael Barzalona
T:F-H Graffard
133 -41372
-
123
105
21d
9.5
Close second to Monteille over C&D (first 5f attempt) most recently; major contender
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Asfoora
11/4 3/1 11/4 11/4 3/1
Monteille
4/1 9/2 4/1 4/1 9/2
Mgheera
8/1 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2
Frost At Dawn
17/2 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1
Night Raider
11/1 11/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
She's Quality
12/1 11/1 12/1 12/1 11/1
Sky Majesty
11/1 11/1 12/1 12/1 11/1
Jm Jungle
12/1 12/1 14/1 14/1 11/1
Afjan
10/1 11/1 14/1 14/1 10/1
Ponntos
16/1 18/1 22/1 22/1 14/1
First Instinct
25/1 22/1 25/1 25/1 25/1
Rumstar
25/1 25/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Ain't Nobody
33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1
Washington Heights
50/1 40/1 50/1 50/1 40/1
Jawwal
33/1 40/1 66/1 66/1 33/1
Star Of Lady M
66/1 66/1 80/1 80/1 50/1
Against The Wind
80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1
Megarry
- - - - -
Rayevka
- - - - -

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Afjan
19.9
OR: 0 Form: 18 Odds: 1.9
14/1
2nd Sky Majesty
14.3
OR: 0 Form: 12.6 Odds: 1.7
12/1
3rd Ponntos
13.8
OR: 0 Form: 12.4 Odds: 1.4
22/1
4 Jm Jungle
13.7
OR: 0 Form: 12 Odds: 1.7
14/1
5 Asfoora
13.2
OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2
3/1
6 First Instinct
13
OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0.9
25/1
7 Frost At Dawn
11.7
OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.2
9/1
8 Mgheera
10.2
OR: 0 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.7
8/1
9 Rayevka
9.5
OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0
10 Against The Wind
8.9
OR: 0 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.3
80/1
11 Washington Heights
8.4
OR: 0 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0.5
50/1
12 She's Quality
6.7
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7
12/1
13 Megarry
6.5
OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0
14 Monteille
4.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
9/2
15 Rumstar
3.9
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9
28/1
16 Ain't Nobody
3.1
OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.6
33/1
17 Night Raider
1.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
12/1
18 Jawwal
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
66/1
19 Star Of Lady M
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
80/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Asfoora
123
104
Monteille
123
110
Mgheera
122
107
Frost At Dawn
122
102
Night Raider
118
107
She's Quality
121
109
Sky Majesty
120
104
Jm Jungle
121
101
Afjan
111
100
Ponntos
109
103
First Instinct
118
110
Rumstar
121
105
Ain't Nobody
116
94
Washington Heights
117
99
Jawwal
103
91
Star Of Lady M
98
103
Against The Wind
106
89
Megarry
109
79
Rayevka
123
105

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Against The Wind 14d ago Fit
First Instinct 15d ago Fit
Rumstar 15d ago Fit
Ain't Nobody 15d ago Fit
Star Of Lady M 16d ago Fit
Jawwal 20d ago Fit
Asfoora 21d ago Fit
Monteille 21d ago Fit
Mgheera 21d ago Fit
Night Raider 21d ago Fit
She's Quality 21d ago Fit
Ponntos 21d ago Fit
Rayevka 21d ago Fit
Sky Majesty 29d ago Fit
Afjan 35d ago Fit
Megarry 36d ago Fit
Frost At Dawn 44d ago Fit
Jm Jungle 44d ago Fit
Washington Heights 44d ago Fit