London Essence Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

5:05

London Essence Handicap

Date 2025-10-09

Distance 1m5f26y

Class Class 6

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (6)	Alfred Spero b J:Jake Dickson(7) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Jake Dickson(7) T:Gemma Tutty	127	—	9944	55	69	-	11d	—	—	-18	9.7	2/1 33%
Eyecatching fourth on handicap debut on AW; very much of interest if taking to turf
6 (1)	Aighear b J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	127	—	008531	49	66	49	9d	—	—	-5	19.4	5/2 29%
Ended long losing run when winning by 3l here last week; a 4lb penalty may not stop her
3 (5)	Amalfina b J:Jack Nicholls(5) T:K R Burke	J:Jack Nicholls(5) T:K R Burke	135	v	-54954	63	64	61	22d	—	—	-9	8.5	7/2 22%
Late headway when fourth of six over 1m2f at Sandown; worth another go at this trip
4 (4)	Velvet Vulcan b J:Sean Kirrane T:R Mike Smith	J:Sean Kirrane T:R Mike Smith	127	t	720715	49	65	52	35d	—	—	+3	9.9	11/1 8%
Unraced on slow going but won on AW two runs ago and is not ruled out on stable debut
2 (10)	Vampire Slayer b J:David Nolan T:Daragh Bourke	J:David Nolan T:Daragh Bourke	137	p	22-727	59	66	52	10d	—	—	-3	4.1	14/1 7%
Longstanding maiden who was well beaten last time but after a break; not written off today
8 (9)	Millbuie b J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	123	v	456404	45	64	57	10d	—	—	-5	1.8	14/1 7%
Not at the top of his game on his last two runs and now 0-18; others are preferred
1 (7)	Inspire Hope b J:Kaiya Fraser T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Rebecca Menzies	142	—	64-44	64	61	24	161d	—	—	+1	4.5	25/1 4%
Maiden hurdle winner but didn't make an impact here on her Flat handicap debut
10 (3)	Angelardo gr J:William Pyle(3) T:Liam Bailey	J:William Pyle(3) T:Liam Bailey	117	p	707	45	62	56	30d	—	—	-3	1	33/1 3%
Makes handicap debut off basement mark; market check advised but improvement is required
7 (2)	Elvington b J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	124	b	5-8826	46	67	17	18d	—	—	-1	0.5	100/1 1%
Flopped last time but ran well in first-time cheekpieces before that; now gets blinkers
9 (8)	Royal Countess b J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:R Mike Smith	J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:R Mike Smith	123	p	-59887	45	57	54	26d	—	—	-1	0.4	125/1 1%
All 3 wins here but latest in 2023; this 9yo has struggled to get competitive this year

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Alfred Spero	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1
Aighear	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Amalfina	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Velvet Vulcan	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Vampire Slayer	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Millbuie	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Inspire Hope	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Angelardo	33/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Elvington	100/1	66/1	80/1	66/1	66/1
Royal Countess	125/1	80/1	80/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aighear

19.4

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Velvet Vulcan

9.9

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 1.9

11/1

3rd

Alfred Spero

9.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

2/1

Amalfina

8.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Inspire Hope

4.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Vampire Slayer

4.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

14/1

Millbuie

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

14/1

Angelardo

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Elvington

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Royal Countess

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Inspire Hope Top Rated	64	61	24
Amalfina	63	64	61
Vampire Slayer	59	66	52
Alfred Spero	55	69	—
Aighear	49	66	49
Velvet Vulcan	49	65	52
Elvington	46	67	17
Millbuie	45	64	57
Angelardo	45	62	56
Royal Countess	45	57	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aighear	9d ago	Quick return
Vampire Slayer	10d ago	Quick return
Millbuie	10d ago	Quick return
Alfred Spero	11d ago	Quick return
Elvington	18d ago	Fit
Amalfina	22d ago	Fit
Royal Countess	26d ago	Fit
Angelardo	30d ago	Fit
Velvet Vulcan	35d ago	Fit
Inspire Hope	161d ago	Long break