Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Cork

14:52

Date 2025-10-12

Distance 2m4f100y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Kevin's Pride Bay J:J J Slevin T:John C McConnell	J:J J Slevin T:John C McConnell	164	—	12222-	114	118	88	172d	—	—	0	45.9	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Solid in defeat; lacks a recent start but if runs up to his 114 rating then has big claims
2	Big Dispute Brown J:Michael Kenneally(7) T:Con McSweeney	J:Michael Kenneally(7) T:Con McSweeney	162	—	8060-2	102	108	77	153d	—	—	+3	24.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Better run when second at Killarney in May; still has to improve on that after a break
4	Found A Diamond Brown J:Shane Markey(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Shane Markey(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	162	—	652-6	105	109	90	17d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Some decent hurdle runs but has to improve plenty from recent Listowel comeback
5	Itsaworkinmaniam Chestnut J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M McMahon	J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M McMahon	162	—	F-15F2	-	107	92	22d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
A 16l runner-up to what looks a smart rival at Navan last time; has to improve on that
9	Happy Me Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:W J Burke	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:W J Burke	158	—	4230-0	103	117	88	136d	—	—	+7	15.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Below form on last two starts; could get involved if back to his best after a break
8	Loyal Praetorian Bay J:Mr L M Kelleher(7) T:Gerard Kelleher	J:Mr L M Kelleher(7) T:Gerard Kelleher	160	—	16-5	-	-	-	157d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Point winner ran ok in two bumpers; has to find improvement on hurdles debut after a break
7	Total Transparency Bay J:Mr D L Queally T:Declan Queally	J:Mr D L Queally T:Declan Queally	162	—	4P8	-	74	19	17d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Was beaten a long way at Listowel on hurdles debut and has to improve hugely
6	Kir Royal Blou Chestnut J:Gavin Brouder(3) T:W J Burke	J:Gavin Brouder(3) T:W J Burke	162	—	00-300	72	71	-	18d	—	—	+5	5.8	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Beaten a long way in two handicaps lately and has a rating of only 72 so can't be fancied
NR	Couldntmakeitup Bay J:Peter Smithers(7) T:J A Nash	J:Peter Smithers(7) T:J A Nash	162	t	3-26U3	102	110	50	62d	—	—	—	15.1	—	—
Some solid runs but probably found 2m7f a bit far last time; has to find improvement

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kevin's Pride	evn	evn	evn	evn	11/10
Big Dispute	7/2	10/3	7/2	11/4	7/2
Found A Diamond	11/2	11/2	11/2	9/2	9/2
Itsaworkinmaniam	8/1	8/1	8/1	7/1	8/1
Happy Me	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	17/2
Loyal Praetorian	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Total Transparency	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Kir Royal Blou	125/1	100/1	125/1	125/1	100/1
Couldntmakeitup	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kevin's Pride

45.9

OR: 16 Form: 14.5 Odds: 15.4

11/10

2nd

Big Dispute

24.2

OR: 13 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Found A Diamond

17.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Happy Me

15.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Couldntmakeitup

15.1

OR: 13 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Kir Royal Blou

5.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Itsaworkinmaniam

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Loyal Praetorian

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Total Transparency

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kevin's Pride	114	118	88
Found A Diamond	105	109	90
Happy Me	103	117	88
Big Dispute	102	108	77
Couldntmakeitup	102	110	50
Kir Royal Blou	72	71	—
Itsaworkinmaniam	—	107	92
Loyal Praetorian	—	—	—
Total Transparency	—	74	19

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Found A Diamond	17d ago	Fit
Total Transparency	17d ago	Fit
Kir Royal Blou	18d ago	Fit
Itsaworkinmaniam	22d ago	Fit
Couldntmakeitup	62d ago	Fresh
Happy Me	136d ago	Long break
Big Dispute	153d ago	Long break
Loyal Praetorian	157d ago	Long break
Kevin's Pride	172d ago	Long break