Arc All-Weather £1Million Bonus Is Back Nursery Handicap

Lingfield (AW)

15:00

Date 2025-10-14

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,978

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Kilkenny Warrior Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	133	—	0051	68	74	48	21d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	22.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Improved form on handicap debut when winning a Southwell nursery; up 9lb but a contender
8 (8)	Parole Officer Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:S Woods	J:Billy Loughnane T:S Woods	132	b	622336	67	75	44	28d	—	—	+1	14	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Promise in maiden/novice company but disappointing on handicap debut; blinkers now tried
6 (3)	Uncertainty Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	133	—	20304	68	74	49	12d	—	—	0	9.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Third in 6f novices; decent 4th in 7f Chelmsford nursery on h'cap debut; each-way chance
11 (10)	Torbados Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Charles Hills	J:Rob Hornby T:Charles Hills	129	—	U270	64	71	-	10d	—	—	-1	8.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Second in a Windsor 6f novice last month; below par both runs since (over 7f last time)
9 (12)	Corniche Girl Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	131	—	340517	66	71	47	21d	—	—	+6	13.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won over 6f on second nursery start but not so good either side of that, first over 7f
1 (11)	Marwaan Grey J:Jack Callan(5) T:Hilal Kobeissi	J:Jack Callan(5) T:Hilal Kobeissi	135	—	7516	70	71	46	21d	—	—	+7	13.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won 7f AW maiden in August; pulled too hard over 1m on h'cap debut; interesting back at 7f
10 (5)	Startled Lady Bay J:Hector Crouch T:William Knight	J:Hector Crouch T:William Knight	130	h	92304	65	73	45	25d	—	—	+2	8.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Promise in 6f maidens but disappointing on her only go at 7f; hood tried on handicap debut
4 (4)	Khuskhas Chestnut J:Pat Cosgrave T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	133	—	9167	68	73	47	28d	—	—	+6	11	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won 6f fillies' maiden in June but disappointing in her two nurseries; bit to prove now
7 (1)	Spacewoman Chestnut J:Nicola Currie T:Henry Candy	J:Nicola Currie T:Henry Candy	133	—	2327	68	73	44	22d	—	—	+6	12.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Placed in maiden/novice company but pulled too hard on nursery debut; longer trip a worry
3 (2)	From The Hip Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	133	—	633	68	77	48	28d	—	—	+6	11	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Showed promise in maiden/novice company; interesting candidate up in trip on h'cap debut
14 (13)	Sashay Away Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Loughnane	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Loughnane	125	p	546	60	71	46	12d	—	—	0	3.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Some promise in maiden/novices; interesting back up in trip with headgear on h'cap debut
12 (7)	Iconic Dawn Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Hughie Morrison	J:Charles Bishop T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	035	63	74	44	28d	—	—	+3	6.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Third in a 6f maiden here; met trouble in running next time; interesting back at 7f
13 (9)	Superstorm Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Charlie Fellowes	127	—	878	62	70	34	28d	—	—	+1	3.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Modest form over 6f; needs to improve for step up to 7f on handicap debut
2 (14)	Must Be Ten Bay J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	135	b	238	70	73	24	41d	—	—	+7	10.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Runner-up on debut (6f); disappointing since (on AW latest); blinkers tried on h'cap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kilkenny Warrior	15/8	2/1	85/40	9/4	85/40
Parole Officer	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Uncertainty	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Torbados	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Corniche Girl	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Marwaan	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Startled Lady	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Khuskhas	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Spacewoman	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	11/1
From The Hip	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Sashay Away	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	18/1
Iconic Dawn	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Superstorm	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Must Be Ten	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kilkenny Warrior

22.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Parole Officer

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Marwaan

13.7

OR: 5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Corniche Girl

13.1

OR: 4 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Spacewoman

12.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Khuskhas

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.5

18/1

From The Hip

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Must Be Ten

10.4

OR: 5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Uncertainty

9.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Startled Lady

8.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Torbados

8.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Iconic Dawn

6.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

28/1

Superstorm

3.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Sashay Away

3.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Marwaan	70	71	46
Must Be Ten	70	73	24
Kilkenny Warrior	68	74	48
Uncertainty	68	74	49
Khuskhas	68	73	47
Spacewoman	68	73	44
From The Hip	68	77	48
Parole Officer	67	75	44
Corniche Girl	66	71	47
Startled Lady	65	73	45
Torbados	64	71	—
Iconic Dawn	63	74	44
Superstorm	62	70	34
Sashay Away	60	71	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Torbados	10d ago	Quick return
Uncertainty	12d ago	Quick return
Sashay Away	12d ago	Quick return
Kilkenny Warrior	21d ago	Fit
Corniche Girl	21d ago	Fit
Marwaan	21d ago	Fit
Spacewoman	22d ago	Fit
Startled Lady	25d ago	Fit
Parole Officer	28d ago	Fit
Khuskhas	28d ago	Fit
From The Hip	28d ago	Fit
Iconic Dawn	28d ago	Fit
Superstorm	28d ago	Fit
Must Be Ten	41d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.